Pittsburgh at Miami

Updated
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9
33.9%66.1%
Pittsburgh WinMiami Win
19.7Projected Points 24.1
10Final Score 16
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3

Quarterbacks

Kenny Pickett

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.32171.014

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.64259.083

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
W 18-20 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • PIT: Kenny Pickett+380
L 3-38 at Buffalo BillsPIT: Unknown • BUF: Josh Allen+630
L 24-20 vs New York JetsNYJ: Unknown • PIT: Mitchell Trubisky-160
L 17-29 at Cleveland BrownsPIT: Mitchell Trubisky • CLE: Jacoby Brissett+195
L 17-14 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • PIT: Mitchell Trubisky+140
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 24-16 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Kirk Cousins • MIA: Skylar Thompson+155
L 17-40 at New York JetsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NYJ: Zach Wilson-162
L 15-27 at Cincinnati BengalsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • CIN: Joe Burrow+180
W 19-21 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+181
W 42-38 at Baltimore RavensMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BAL: Lamar Jackson+160

Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • TEPat FreiermuthProbable
  • SMinkah FitzpatrickProbable
  • QBKenny PickettProbable
  • CBCameron SuttonProbable
  • CBLevi WallaceProbable
  • DEDeMarvin LealIR
  • WRSteven SimsOut
  • WRCalvin Austin IIIIR
  • CBAhkello WitherspoonOut
  • DTLarry OgunjobiProbable

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • DTChristian WilkinsProbable
  • CBNik NeedhamOut for Season
  • TEDurham SmytheProbable
  • TECethan CarterIR
  • WRJaylen WaddleProbable
  • QBSkylar ThompsonOut
  • QBTua TagovailoaProbable
  • DETrey FlowersIR
  • DEEmmanuel OgbahOut
  • CBKader KohouOut
  • TTerron ArmsteadProbable
  • DBKeion CrossenOut
NNE 9 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)78°77°76°77°
Humidity66%70%72%74%
Precipitation0%1%1%3%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindNNE 9 mphNNE 9 mphNE 9 mphNE 8 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+220+265+265+260-+260+265+284.0
Miami-270-325-330-310--310-310-284.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+240+250+261+255+255+260+261+284.0
Miami-280-300-305-310-310-310-300-284.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+6-110+7½-113+7½-115+7½-118-+7½-118+7½-113+8-119
Miami-6-110-7½-103-7½-105-7½-102--7½-102-7½-102-8+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+6½-110+7-110+7+100+7+100+7-110+7-110+7+100+8-119
Miami-6½-110-7-110-7-120-7-120-7-110-7-110-7-110-8+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +6+100 to +6-110
Miami Spread moved from -7-115 to -7½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pittsburgh Spread
Miami Spread moved from -7-120 to -7½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o44½-108o44½-105o44-110-o44-110o44½-105o44+100
Underu42½-110u44½-108u44½-115u44-110-u44-110u44½-108u44+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44½-110o44½-110o44-110o44+100
Underu45-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-110u44+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o44-114
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44-110