Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(8-6)
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
70.8%29.2%
Tampa Bay WinPittsburgh Win
25.1Projected Points 18.4
18Final Score 20

Pittsburgh Steelers

(10-4)
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
Rank11
P/G24.0
PA/G18.9

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
59.02201.021

Kenny Pickett

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.71224.004

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 15-21 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Marcus Mariota • TB: Tom Brady-460
L 41-31 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady-130
L 14-12 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • TB: Tom Brady-120
W 20-10 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Jameis Winston-141
W 19-3 at Dallas CowboysTB: Tom Brady • DAL: Dak Prescott-130
Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
L 3-38 at Buffalo BillsPIT: Unknown • BUF: Josh Allen+630
L 24-20 vs New York JetsNYJ: Unknown • PIT: Mitchell Trubisky-160
L 17-29 at Cleveland BrownsPIT: Mitchell Trubisky • CLE: Jacoby Brissett+195
L 17-14 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • PIT: Mitchell Trubisky+140
W 23-20 at Cincinnati BengalsPIT: Mitchell Trubisky • CIN: Joe Burrow+270

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • TJosh WellsIR
  • DLAkiem HicksOut
  • SMike EdwardsOut
  • SLogan RyanOut
  • RBGiovani BernardIR
  • WRJulio JonesDoubtful
  • CBSean Murphy-BuntingOut

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • CBCameron SuttonOut
  • WRCalvin Austin IIIIR
  • STerrell EdmundsProbable
  • TEPat FreiermuthOut
  • CBLevi WallaceOut
  • SMarcus AllenProbable
  • DTLarry OgunjobiProbable
  • CBAhkello WitherspoonOut
  • DTMontravius AdamsProbable
  • DEDeMarvin LealOut
  • SMinkah FitzpatrickOut
SSW 4 mph
Acrisure Field, Pittsburgh, PA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)63°64°64°64°
Humidity39%36%35%38%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindSSW 4 mphSW 5 mphSW 8 mphWSW 9 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-280-460-480-415-280-415-280-345.7
Pittsburgh+235+360+350+335+235+335+360+345.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-350-480-425-475-475-450-425-345.7
Pittsburgh+290+380+353+380+375+375+380+345.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-6.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-6½-108-9½-108-10+100-9½-113-6½-109-9½-113-6½-109-10+109
Pittsburgh+6½-108+9½-108+10-120+9½-107+6½-109+9½-107+9½-107+10-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-7½-110-10-110-9½-110-10-110-9½-110-9½-110-9½-110-10+109
Pittsburgh+7½-110+10-110+9½-110+10-110+9½-110+9½-110+10-110+10-109

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 70.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -9½-104 to -9½-117
Pittsburgh Spread moved from +10-115 to +10-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 30.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -9½-110 to -10-110
No Steam Moves On Pittsburgh Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-108o47-108o46½-110o46½-112o44½-109o46½-112o44½-109o46½+100
Underu45-108u47-108u46½-110u46½-108u44½-109u46½-108u47-108u46½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46-110o46½-110o46-110o46½+100
Underu44-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 60.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-108 to o47-108
The Under moved from u45-110 to u45-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110
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