NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-6)
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Unknown
Unknown
10.5%
89.5%
+460
-545
+450
-550
+10½-107
-10½-108
+10½+100
-10½-108
13.1
32.7
45.8
o48½-107
u48½-105
o48-110
u49-110
New York Giants (2-8)
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Unknown
Unknown
42.8%
57.2%
+180
-195
+176
-200
+4-105
-4-108
+4-108
-4-108
21.4
24.1
45.5
o37½-110
u38-108
o38-110
u38-110
Miami Dolphins (4-6)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Unknown
Unknown
39.0%
61.0%
+155
-170
+150
-170
+3½-113
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-115
21.4
24.7
46.1
o47-104
u47-108
o47-110
u47½-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers
60.5%
39.5%
-250
+235
-240
+220
-5½-108
+6½-109
-6-110
+6-110
37
15
-0.34919-0.36652-0.50320
Detroit Lions
New England Patriots
39.1%
60.9%
+150
-150
+135
-154
+3+101
-3+100
+3-110
-3+100
0
29
-0.51083-0.53171-0.49571
Los Angeles Chargers
Cleveland Browns
53.4%
46.6%
-120
+115
-118
+105
-1-108
+2½-109
-1½-110
+1½-110
30
28
-0.61667-0.64249-0.62764
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
64.9%
35.1%
-165
+150
-162
+155
-3-118
+3+102
-3-110
+3+100
17
40
-0.93869-0.94652-1.04765
Tennessee Titans
Washington Commanders
52.1%
47.9%
-110
+110
-110
+100
+0-108
+1½-109
+0-110
+1-110
21
17
-0.64663-0.67015-0.65291
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
26.1%
73.9%
+310
-345
+330
-365
+8½-108
-7½-109
+8½-110
-8-110
22
29
-0.27353-0.25950-0.30205
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19.3%
80.7%
+420
-465
+400
-460
+10½-110
-10-108
+10-110
-10-110
15
21
-0.20999-0.21791-0.21491
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
14.1%
85.9%
+665
-855
+630
-850
+14-108
-14-105
+14-110
-14-110
3
38
-0.13629-0.14246-0.15170
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
26.9%
73.1%
+265
-310
+264
-310
+7-109
-6½-113
+7-110
-7+100
13
6
-1.32437-1.32234-1.31178
Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans Saints
28.5%
71.5%
+205
-225
+197
-215
+5½-108
-5½-108
+5½-110
-5-110
32
39
-0.38769-0.40099-0.33593
New York Giants
Green Bay Packers
26.2%
73.8%
+355
-370
+384
-400
+9-105
-8-109
+9½-110
-8½-110
27
22
-1.52211-1.58353-1.33830
Indianapolis Colts
Denver Broncos
41.5%
58.5%
+165
-180
+160
-170
+3½-115
-3-118
+3½-110
-3½-101
12
9
-0.99458-0.96964-0.87933
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
46.7%
53.3%
+110
-127
+115
-120
+2-108
-2-108
+2-110
-1½-110
9
24
-0.61580-0.61667-0.62886
Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
49.0%
51.0%
+115
-130
+115
-130
+2-105
-2-108
+2-110
-2-110
41
31
-0.79536-0.79536-0.71435
New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers
23.1%
76.9%
+370
-435
+415
-450
+9½-108
-9½-108
+9½-110
-9½-110
24
27
-0.23245-0.21295-0.26325
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
48.1%
51.9%
+130
-138
+135
-140
+2½+101
-2½-108
+3-110
-2½-110
23
32
-0.55953-0.54782-0.65637
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.