Detroit at New England

Updated

Detroit Lions

(12-2)
Rank1
P/G32.8
PA/G20.1
39.1%60.9%
Detroit WinNew England Win
22.5Projected Points 25.7
0Final Score 29

New England Patriots

(3-11)
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
Rank1
P/G32.8
PA/G20.1
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
57.72236.061

Bailey Zappe

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.7099.010

Last 5 Games

Detroit Lions
Money Line
L 48-45 vs Seattle SeahawksSEA: Geno Smith • DET: Jared Goff-165
L 24-28 at Minnesota VikingsDET: Jared Goff • MIN: Kirk Cousins+237
W 27-36 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Carson Wentz • DET: Jared Goff-110
L 38-35 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • DET: Jared Goff+210
W 30-37 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • DET: Jared Goff+180
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 24-27 at Green Bay PackersNE: Brian Hoyer • GB: Aaron Rodgers+415
L 37-26 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • NE: Mac Jones+130
W 17-14 at Pittsburgh SteelersNE: Mac Jones • PIT: Mitchell Trubisky-155
L 7-20 at Miami DolphinsNE: Mac Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+150
L 17-47 at Buffalo BillsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen+205

Injuries

Detroit Lions

Status
  • OLJonah JacksonProbable
  • WRJosh ReynoldsProbable
  • OLFrank RagnowProbable
  • DEJohn CominskyOut
  • KAustin SeibertProbable
  • CEvan BrownProbable
  • TET.J. HockensonProbable
  • LBChris BoardProbable
  • DBTracy WalkerIR
  • RBD'Andre SwiftOut
  • DECharles HarrisOut
  • WRDJ Chark Jr.Out
  • DTLevi OnwuzurikeIR
  • CBAmani OruwariyeOut
  • WRQuintez CephusOut
  • OLTommy KraemerIR
  • WRAmon-Ra St. BrownProbable

New England Patriots

Status
  • WRJakobi MeyersProbable
  • QBBailey ZappeNamed Starter
  • DLLawrence GuyOut
  • OLIsaiah WynnProbable
  • QBBrian HoyerIR
  • QBMac JonesOut
  • TEJonnu SmithDoubtful
  • WRTy MontgomeryIR
  • CBJalen MillsProbable
  • OLAndrew StueberIR
  • WRTyquan ThorntonProbable
WSW 11 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)60°60°61°61°
Humidity50%50%49%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWSW 11 mphW 10 mphW 10 mphW 10 mph
Craig Wrolstad
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit+105+135+130+133+150+133+150+142.8
New England-125-155-150-153-170-153-150-142.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit+115+135+135+135+135+135+135+142.8
New England-135-155-154-155-155-155-154-142.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit+1½-108+3-108+3-120+3-115+3+101+3-115+3+101+3-104
New England-1½-108-3-108-3+100-3-105-3-119-3-105-3+100-3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit+2½-110+3-110+3-120+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3-104
New England-2½-110-3-110-3+100-3-110-3-110-3-110-3+100-3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 0.0%
New England: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Detroit: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Detroit: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 20.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-115
New England Spread moved from -3-120 to -3½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 0.0%
New England: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Detroit: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Detroit: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit Spread moved from +1½-110 to +0-110
New England Spread moved from -3-110 to -3-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-108o47-108o47-110o47-108o45½-109o47-108o45½-109o47+100
Underu44½-108u47-108u47-110u47-112u45½-109u47-112u47-108u47+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47+100
Underu45½-110u47-110u47-110u47-110u47-110u47-110u47-110u47+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-115 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u47-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110
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