NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.0%
89.0%
+430
-520
+435
-500
+10-108
-10-108
+10-108
-10-108
13.6
31.5
45.1
o48½-108
u48½-108
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
37.4%
62.6%
+170
-190
+180
-185
+3½-108
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-108
21.0
24.5
45.5
o37-110
u37½-108
o37-110
u37½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.9%
63.1%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+3½-113
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3-115
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47-108
u47-108
o47-110
u47½-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
37.9%
62.1%
+131
-140
+130
-142
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
-3+105
30
27
-0.85334-0.85426-0.96988
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
41.5%
58.5%
+230
-270
+225
-240
+6-109
-6-109
+6-110
-6-110
13
10
-1.22615-1.19214-0.88008
Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
40.9%
59.1%
+180
-195
+185
-200
+4-105
-4-102
+4-110
-4-110
19
16
-1.04762-1.06470-0.89499
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
39.1%
60.9%
+150
-168
+160
-170
+3+100
-3-114
+3½-115
-3-110
11
34
-0.49353-0.47678-0.49559
Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs
23.7%
76.3%
+475
-600
+525
-630
+12-110
-11½-109
+12½-110
-12-110
21
42
-0.18473-0.17008-0.27111
San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys
33.9%
66.1%
+165
-180
+165
-175
+3½-109
-3-125
+3+110
-3½-110
23
17
-0.99458-0.98819-1.08196
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27.1%
72.9%
+290
-320
+300
-330
+7½-110
-7½+110
+7½-115
-7-110
15
31
-0.29008-0.28198-0.31594
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
34.6%
65.4%
+195
-210
+205
-210
+4½-105
-4½-109
+5-110
-4-110
17
47
-0.40573-0.39473-0.42431
Las Vegas Raiders
Cincinnati Bengals
33.9%
66.1%
+230
-250
+225
-240
+6-105
-6-109
+6-110
-6-110
19
26
-0.35364-0.36179-0.41470
Los Angeles Chargers
Las Vegas Raiders
51.9%
48.1%
-165
+150
-160
+150
-3-114
+3+100
-3-110
+3-110
32
35
-0.93869-0.93156-0.73220
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
31.6%
68.4%
+150
-170
+155
-165
+3½-115
-3½+101
+3+105
-3-110
27
24
-0.94549-0.95078-1.15103
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
34.5%
65.5%
+205
-230
+208
-230
+5½-109
-5½-109
+5½-105
-5-110
38
30
-1.13968-1.14633-1.06563
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
74.0%
26.0%
-210
+190
-200
+200
-4½-109
+4½-104
-4-110
+4½-110
30
20
-0.41146-0.40546-0.30070
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
15.9%
84.1%
+420
-490
+450
-500
+10½-104
-12½+107
+11-110
-10½-110
17
41
-0.20828-0.19737-0.17265
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
11.3%
88.7%
+800
-1000
+800
-1050
+16-109
-16-105
+16-110
-15½-110
10
27
-0.11531-0.11484-0.11972
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
67.5%
32.5%
-240
+225
-230
+220
-5½-110
+6-109
-5½-110
+6-110
24
33
-1.19214-1.17257-1.12541
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.