NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.0%
89.0%
+430
-525
+435
-500
+10-108
-10-108
+10-108
-10-108
13.6
31.5
45.1
o48½-108
u48½-105
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
38.6%
61.4%
+170
-190
+175
-185
+3½-108
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-108
20.4
23.7
44.1
o37-108
u37½-115
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.9%
63.1%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+3½-113
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3-115
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47-108
u47-108
o47-110
u47½-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
41.9%
58.1%
+230
-257
+240
-260
+6½-104
-7+110
+6½-105
-6½-110
16
21
-0.35132-0.34163-0.54338
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
49.2%
50.8%
+140
-150
+145
-154
+3-109
-3-109
+3-110
-3-105
16
13
-0.89199-0.91046-0.70846
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
64.1%
35.9%
-240
+210
-240
+220
-5½-110
+6-109
-5½-110
+6-110
22
7
-0.37637-0.36652-0.44473
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
72.1%
27.9%
-560
+460
-510
+450
-12+103
+11-109
-11-105
+11-110
28
25
-0.19100-0.19677-0.32671
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
78.1%
21.9%
-930
+680
-850
+700
-14½+103
+14-109
-14-110
+14-110
11
26
-2.08474-2.09899-1.52001
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
28.2%
71.8%
+165
-180
+165
-175
+3½-104
-3½-105
+4-110
-3½-105
17
31
-0.46185-0.46561-0.33130
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
67.7%
32.3%
-190
+175
-190
+180
-3½-110
+4½-110
-4-110
+4-110
30
37
-1.03022-1.04185-1.12945
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
55.3%
44.7%
-255
+235
-260
+225
-7+110
+6½-105
-6-110
+6½-110
51
26
-0.34753-0.35489-0.59296
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
81.6%
18.4%
-600
+500
-600
+500
-12½+100
+12-105
-11½-110
+12-110
28
24
-0.17768-0.17768-0.20279
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
46.0%
54.0%
-110
+110
+100
+112
+0-110
+2-110
+1½-110
+2-110
14
26
-0.74194-0.72270-0.61632
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
20.9%
79.1%
+550
-660
+540
-690
+13-110
-13½+105
+12½-110
-12½-110
10
37
-0.16311-0.16458-0.23409
Detroit Lions
Seattle Seahawks
16.8%
83.2%
+330
-375
+340
-360
+9-104
-9½+100
+9½-110
-8½-110
29
51
-0.25819-0.25496-0.18398
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
41.2%
58.8%
+265
-280
+250
-280
+7-110
-7+100
+7-110
-6½-115
10
18
-0.31614-0.32768-0.53106
Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys
35.3%
64.7%
+235
-260
+235
-260
+6½-109
-7+118
+6½-110
-6-110
25
22
-1.22946-1.22946-1.04262
Houston Texans
San Francisco 49ers
24.5%
75.5%
+500
-615
+600
-600
+13½-103
-14+103
+14-110
-13½-110
7
23
-0.17712-0.15415-0.28093
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
35.4%
64.6%
+295
-355
+312
-350
+8-109
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-110
13
34
-0.28101-0.27160-0.43737
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.