NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.0%
89.0%
+430
-525
+435
-500
+10-108
-10-108
+10-108
-10-108
13.6
31.5
45.1
o48½-108
u48½-105
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
38.6%
61.4%
+170
-190
+175
-185
+3½-108
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-108
20.4
23.7
44.1
o37-108
u37½-110
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.9%
63.1%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+3½-113
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3-115
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47-108
u47-108
o47-110
u47-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
61.0%
39.0%
-310
+260
-310
+290
-7½+105
+7-105
-7-110
+7½-115
20
19
-0.31290-0.29201-0.49389
Miami Dolphins
Tennessee Titans
37.4%
62.6%
+153
-167
+150
-160
+3+101
-3-118
+3+100
-3-110
3
34
-0.48977-0.50078-0.46896
Jacksonville Jaguars
New England Patriots
13.8%
86.2%
+820
-1200
+980
-1400
+17½-110
-17-109
+17½-115
-17-110
10
50
-0.11132-0.09459-0.14887
Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals
57.8%
42.2%
-190
+170
-180
+170
-3½-109
+3½-109
-3½-110
+4-110
31
34
-1.01846-1.00641-0.86192
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
54.4%
45.6%
-240
+215
-260
+225
-6-109
+6-109
-6-110
+6-110
20
16
-0.37138-0.35489-0.60829
Atlanta Falcons
Buffalo Bills
18.5%
81.5%
+690
-890
+750
-1000
+14½-115
-14½+103
+14-110
-14-110
15
29
-0.13173-0.12170-0.20399
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Jets
80.4%
19.6%
-870
+670
-850
+660
-14½-104
+15-115
-14½-105
+14½-110
28
24
-0.13522-0.13721-0.21847
New York Giants
Chicago Bears
38.5%
61.5%
+245
-285
+240
-280
+6½-109
-7+105
+6½-110
-6½-110
3
29
-0.33042-0.33588-0.48630
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
32.1%
67.9%
+320
-380
+330
-370
+8½-109
-9½+100
+8½-110
-8½-110
23
20
-1.46439-1.47819-1.13516
Miami Dolphins
New Orleans Saints
42.3%
57.7%
-164
+150
-160
+155
-3-114
+3+100
-3-110
+3-105
20
3
-0.49707-0.49303-0.86109
Washington Commanders
Dallas Cowboys
23.5%
76.5%
+380
-450
+374
-430
+10-109
-11+110
+10-110
-10-110
14
56
-0.22684-0.23114-0.26840
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
41.9%
58.1%
-110
-107
-105
-110
+0-105
+1-114
+1-110
+0-110
13
17
-0.69981-0.68201-0.54343
Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs
21.2%
78.8%
+360
-425
+365
-420
+10-108
-10-109
+10-110
-10-110
10
36
-0.23786-0.23606-0.23772
Chicago Bears
Seattle Seahawks
23.5%
76.5%
+270
-320
+260
-300
+7-107
-7½+110
+7-110
-7-110
25
24
-1.33998-1.30833-1.44902
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
48.6%
51.4%
-104
-110
-105
-110
+1-109
+0-110
+1-110
+0-110
33
21
-0.70680-0.70441-0.72099
Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets
39.2%
60.8%
+115
-130
+120
-130
+1+107
-2-109
+2½-110
-2-110
21
26
-0.60042-0.59012-0.49839
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.