NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.0%
89.0%
+430
-525
+435
-500
+10-107
-10-108
+10-108
-10-108
13.6
31.5
45.1
o48½-108
u48½-105
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
38.6%
61.4%
+170
-190
+175
-185
+3½-105
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-108
20.4
23.7
44.1
o37-108
u37½-110
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.9%
63.1%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+3½-113
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3-115
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47-108
u47-108
o47-110
u47-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Rams
Minnesota Vikings
51.8%
48.2%
-170
+155
-170
+164
-3½+100
+3½-113
-3-110
+3½-110
30
23
-0.48418-0.47101-0.65809
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
35.5%
64.5%
+290
-350
+304
-340
+7½-106
-7½-109
+7½-110
-7½-110
21
41
-0.28493-0.27788-0.43813
Detroit Lions
Atlanta Falcons
26.2%
73.8%
+290
-350
+320
-340
+9-125
-7½-109
+7½-110
-7½-110
16
20
-0.28493-0.26860-0.30370
Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans
77.0%
23.0%
-650
+505
-600
+550
-14+113
+13-109
-13-110
+13½-110
29
41
-1.83152-1.88269-1.46920
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
20.5%
79.5%
+445
-525
+460
-500
+11-109
-11-108
+11-110
-10½-110
10
34
-0.19757-0.19416-0.22999
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
69.6%
30.4%
-500
+430
-450
+415
-11-104
+11-114
-10½-110
+10½-110
32
6
-0.20410-0.21295-0.36229
Indianapolis Colts
Arizona Cardinals
47.9%
52.1%
+150
-165
+150
-160
+3+101
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
22
16
-0.93869-0.93156-0.73557
Cleveland Browns
Green Bay Packers
30.0%
70.0%
+375
-450
+345
-400
+9½-120
-7½-109
+8-110
-7½-110
22
24
-0.22897-0.24756-0.35609
San Francisco 49ers
Tennessee Titans
47.9%
52.1%
-164
+155
-175
+160
-3½+100
+3½-113
-3-110
+3+100
17
20
-0.94936-0.97625-0.65272
Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles
26.5%
73.5%
+395
-460
+385
-430
+10-109
-11+110
+10-110
-9½-110
17
27
-0.21989-0.22645-0.30746
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
29.9%
70.1%
+290
-335
+320
-340
+7-109
-7½+105
+7-110
-7-110
10
20
-0.28740-0.26860-0.35559
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
67.0%
33.0%
-320
+280
-300
+260
-7½+100
+7+105
-7-110
+7-101
17
9
-0.29670-0.31508-0.40019
Las Vegas Raiders
Cleveland Browns
51.1%
48.9%
-135
+133
-135
+130
-2½-109
+3-120
-2½-110
+2½-105
16
14
-0.55795-0.56352-0.67090
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23.6%
76.4%
+460
-525
+480
-550
+11½-106
-13+110
+12-110
-11½-110
9
0
-1.74120-1.77626-1.44456
Green Bay Packers
Baltimore Ravens
50.8%
49.2%
-380
+335
-360
+320
-9½+100
+9½-110
-8-110
+9½-110
31
30
-0.25494-0.26562-0.67769
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
41.9%
58.1%
+135
-140
+140
-145
+3-114
-2½-120
+3-115
-2½-110
15
10
-0.86325-0.88394-0.86974
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.