NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.9%
88.1%
+410
-500
+430
-480
+10-110
-9½-108
+10-110
-9½-108
14.2
31.3
45.5
o47½-108
u48-110
o47½-110
u48-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
39.3%
60.7%
+165
-175
+160
-175
+3+110
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-116
20.5
23.7
44.2
o37½-108
u37½-108
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.1%
63.9%
+160
-170
+165
-170
+3+105
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3½+100
21.0
24.6
45.6
o47½-105
u47½-108
o47½-110
u48-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Bears
Cleveland Browns
26.1%
73.9%
+305
-340
+314
-330
+7½-105
-7½-109
+7½-110
-7½-110
6
26
-0.27727-0.27365-0.30274
Atlanta Falcons
New York Giants
49.2%
50.8%
+125
-140
+130
-143
+2½+100
-2½-114
+3-120
-2½-110
17
14
-0.83833-0.85590-0.71011
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
22.5%
77.5%
+260
-300
+260
-294
+7-110
-7-104
+7-110
-7-105
30
24
-1.30833-1.30460-1.48970
New Orleans Saints
New England Patriots
42.5%
57.5%
+130
-145
+130
-145
+3-119
-3+101
+3-110
-2½-120
28
13
-0.85918-0.85918-0.85597
Washington Commanders
Buffalo Bills
17.4%
82.6%
+285
-340
+300
-323
+7-108
-7-109
+7+100
-7-110
21
43
-0.28978-0.28323-0.19086
Baltimore Ravens
Detroit Lions
78.0%
22.0%
-375
+310
-360
+320
-7½-109
+7½-105
-7½-110
+8-110
19
17
-0.26921-0.26562-0.24790
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
41.6%
58.4%
+190
-210
+190
-210
+4½-110
-4½-104
+5-110
-4½-110
16
25
-0.41146-0.41146-0.53794
Arizona Cardinals
Jacksonville Jaguars
75.5%
24.5%
-380
+315
-370
+325
-8-109
+8½-110
-7½-110
+8½-110
31
19
-0.26572-0.26151-0.28075
Carolina Panthers
Houston Texans
75.0%
25.0%
-420
+345
-400
+348
-9+100
+8½-108
-8-110
+8½-110
24
9
-0.24548-0.24609-0.28812
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
13.5%
86.5%
+465
-525
+460
-570
+11½-109
-11½-109
+12-110
-11½-110
17
35
-0.19120-0.19053-0.14446
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens
55.1%
44.9%
-190
+175
-185
+178
-3½-109
+4-110
-3½-110
+4-110
35
36
-1.03022-1.03125-0.80051
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Chargers
39.3%
60.7%
+145
-150
+145
-151
+3-105
-3-105
+3-110
-3-105
20
17
-0.90421-0.90580-0.93451
Tennessee Titans
Seattle Seahawks
26.7%
73.3%
+245
-275
+260
-275
+6½-109
-6-116
+6½-110
-6½-110
33
30
-1.26128-1.29197-1.32073
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20.0%
80.0%
+600
-750
+600
-745
+13-102
-13-105
+13-110
-12½-110
25
48
-0.15007-0.15017-0.22339
Minnesota Vikings
Arizona Cardinals
36.0%
64.0%
+175
-195
+176
-190
+3½-105
-3½-109
+3½-105
-3½-110
33
34
-0.43833-0.44020-0.44680
New England Patriots
New York Jets
67.0%
33.0%
-240
+220
-233
+210
-6-104
+6-114
-5½-110
+6-110
25
6
-0.36652-0.37914-0.40109
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.