NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.9%
88.1%
+405
-475
+430
-480
+9½+100
-9½-108
+10-110
-9½-110
14.2
31.3
45.5
o47½-108
u47½-105
o47½-110
u48-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
39.3%
60.7%
+170
-180
+165
-175
+3½-105
-3½-107
+3½-105
-3-120
20.5
23.7
44.2
o37½-108
u37½-108
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.1%
63.9%
+160
-175
+160
-170
+3½-108
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½+100
21.0
24.6
45.6
o47½-105
u47½-108
o47½-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
32.1%
67.9%
+205
-225
+220
-230
+5½-110
-5-109
+6-110
-5-110
48
37
-1.13513-1.17257-1.13532
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
18.4%
81.6%
+460
-575
+500
-605
+11-107
-11-109
+11-110
-11-110
9
21
-0.19031-0.17749-0.20375
Baltimore Ravens
Tennessee Titans
50.6%
49.4%
-180
+167
-180
+165
-3½-104
+3½-113
-3-120
+3½-110
20
13
-0.45907-0.46185-0.68207
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Commanders
67.4%
32.6%
-425
+425
-470
+415
-10-102
+10-105
-10-110
+10-110
31
23
-0.21131-0.21146-0.39504
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
36.9%
63.1%
+162
-177
+155
-164
+3½-115
-3-111
+3+100
-3-110
30
20
-0.98363-0.94936-0.99704
Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo Bills
38.9%
61.1%
+285
-330
+290
-320
+7-119
-7+105
+7-110
-7+100
24
27
-0.29152-0.29008-0.49269
Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles
58.8%
41.2%
-270
+250
-270
+250
-7+110
+7-120
-6½-110
+6½-110
20
14
-0.32572-0.32572-0.53157
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
52.1%
47.9%
+105
-120
+105
-118
+1+100
-1-114
+1-105
-1-110
7
18
-0.63709-0.64105-0.73601
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
58.9%
41.1%
-145
+129
-150
+135
-2½-118
+2½+101
-2½-110
+3-120
32
31
-0.54891-0.53234-0.52853
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
67.3%
32.7%
-340
+280
-340
+300
-7½+100
+7+100
-7-110
+7+100
26
23
-0.28133-0.27265-0.39589
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
51.4%
48.6%
-290
+250
-285
+250
-6½-109
+7-116
-6½-110
+6½+100
38
21
-0.31616-0.31846-0.66472
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
80.1%
19.9%
-255
+225
-260
+230
-5½-115
+6-105
-5½-110
+6-110
33
7
-0.34912-0.34307-0.22223
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
72.5%
27.5%
-325
+270
-330
+300
-7½+110
+7-105
-7-110
+7+100
41
38
-0.29140-0.27612-0.32114
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
70.3%
29.7%
-210
+190
-210
+190
-4½-109
+5-104
-4½-110
+5-110
35
16
-0.40603-0.40603-0.35287
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
7.8%
92.2%
+880
-1280
+850
-1200
+16-112
-15½-109
+16-110
-15-110
14
28
-0.09129-0.09551-0.08091
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
45.5%
54.5%
-165
+150
-165
+160
-3-115
+3+101
-3-110
+3+100
26
56
-0.94500-0.96498-0.60701
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.