Buffalo at Kansas City

Updated
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
39.7%60.3%
Buffalo WinKansas City Win
23.3Projected Points 26.6
36Final Score 42
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.317259.03615

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.317285.03713

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 17-47 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen-210
W 10-27 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen-1050
W 15-29 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • BUF: Josh Allen-1000
W 33-21 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-105
W 14-31 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Cam Newton • BUF: Josh Allen-850
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 21-42 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • KC: Patrick Mahomes-630
W 28-24 at Denver BroncosKC: Patrick Mahomes • DEN: Drew Lock-600
L 31-34 at Cincinnati BengalsKC: Patrick Mahomes • CIN: Joe Burrow-180
W 10-36 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • KC: Patrick Mahomes-420
W 34-28 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Justin Herbert-165

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • No Reported Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • RBDarrel WilliamsOut
  • TLucas NiangOut for Season
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireProbable
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Probable
  • CBRashad FentonOut
NE 2 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)36°34°33°32°
Humidity55%63%67%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNE 2 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 5 mphSSE 6 mph
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+125+115+125+115+115+125+125+125.0
Kansas City-145-135-145-135-135-145-135-125.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+125+120+117+115+110+110+120+125.0
Kansas City-145-140-135-135-130-130-130-125.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+2-110+2½-110+2½+105+2½-110+2½-109+2½+105+2½+105+2½+100
Kansas City-2-110-2½-110-2½-125-2½-110-2½-109-2½-125-2½-109-2½-100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+2½-110+2-110+2½-110+2½-110+2-110+2-110+2½-110+2½+100
Kansas City-2½-110-2-110-2½-110-2½-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2½-100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 40.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +2-104 to +1½-109
Kansas City Spread moved from -2½-115 to -2½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread
No Steam Moves On Kansas City Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo52½-110o54½-115o54-110o53½-110o54-109o54-110o53½-110o54+102
Underu52½-110u54½-105u54-110u53½-110u54-109u54-110u54½-105u54-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53½-110o54½-110o54-110o54-110o54½-110o54½-110o54-110o54+102
Underu53½-110u54½-110u54-110u54-110u54½-110u54½-110u54½-110u54-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54½-110 to o54½-115
The Under moved from u54½-110 to u54½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54-110 to o54½-110
The Under moved from u54½-110 to u54-110