Miami at Buffalo

Updated
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1
24.5%75.5%
Miami WinBuffalo Win
19.9Projected Points 27.7
29Final Score 32
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.511273.0225

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.813273.02611

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 17-23 at Los Angeles ChargersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • LAC: Justin Herbert-165
L 17-33 at San Francisco 49ersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo+228
W 15-30 vs Houston TexansHOU: Kyle Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-850
W 17-39 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Jacoby Brissett • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-170
W 35-32 at Chicago BearsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • CHI: Justin Fields-180
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 12-20 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen-450
W 24-10 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-200
W 28-25 at Detroit LionsBUF: Josh Allen • DET: Jared Goff-450
W 23-31 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Unknown • BUF: Unknown-350
L 33-30 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Kirk Cousins • BUF: Josh Allen-260

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • QBTeddy BridgewaterOut
  • DBElijah CampbellOut
  • TAustin JacksonIR
  • CBEric RoweOut
  • TTerron ArmsteadProbable
  • WRRiver CracraftOut
  • RBJeff Wilson Jr.Out

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBMatt MilanoProbable
  • DTEd OliverProbable
  • LBVon MillerOut for Season
  • OLRyan BatesOut
  • FBReggie GilliamProbable
  • DTJordan PhillipsOut
SW 10 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)29°29°29°29°
Humidity77%77%77%78%
Precipitation13%14%11%13%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSW 10 mphSW 10 mphSW 11 mphSW 10 mph
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+270+290+280+280+255+280+290+268.4
Buffalo-330-360-360-350-310-350-310-268.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+290+320+296+300+300+290+320+268.4
Buffalo-350-380-350-360-360-350-350-268.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+7½-120+7-113+7-110+7-110+7½-130+7-110+7-110+7½-119
Buffalo-7½+100-7-103-7-110-7-110-7½+110-7-110-7-103-7½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+7½-110+7-110+7-115+7-110+7-105+7-110+7-105+7½-119
Buffalo-7½-110-7-110-7-105-7-110-7-115-7-110-7-105-7½+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +7-108 to +6½-108
Buffalo Spread moved from -7-114 to -7½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +7-115 to +6½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -7-110 to -7½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o44½-108o44½-110o44½-113o44½-110o44½-113o44½-108o44½+100
Underu47½-110u44½-108u44½-110u44½-107u44½-110u44½-107u44½-107u44½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o44½-110o45½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½+100
Underu45-110u44½-110u45½-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-110u45½-110u44½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44½-110
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45½-110
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110