Buffalo at Toronto

Updated
Rank14
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2
40.3%59.7%
Buffalo WinToronto Win
2.81Projected Goals 3.82
1Final Score 2
Rank12
P/G3.0
PA/G2.5
Rank14
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2
Rank12
P/G3.0
PA/G2.5

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
3519-16-20.9142.46

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2815-5-60.8833.23

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Winnipeg JetsWPG: Laurent Brossoit • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-101
W 2-7 vs Vegas Golden KnightsVEG: Logan Thompson • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-102
W 3-2 at Tampa Bay LightningBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+135
L 2-3 at Florida PanthersBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • FLA: Sergei Bobrovsky+193
W 2-3 vs Carolina HurricanesCAR: Spencer Martin • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen+120
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Jeremy Swayman • TOR: Joseph Woll-123
W 3-4 vs New York RangersNYR: Igor Shesterkin • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-125
W 2-4 vs Utah Hockey ClubUTA: Connor Ingram • TOR: Joseph Woll-222
L 6-2 vs Vegas Golden KnightsVEG: Adin Hill • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-154
W 4-3 at Colorado AvalancheTOR: Ilya Samsonov • COL: Alexandar Georgiev+110

Injuries

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • GOUkko-Pekka LuukkonenUnknown
  • DMattias SamuelssonOut for Season
  • DErik JohnsonOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • GOIlya SamsonovUnknown
  • DConor TimminsProbable
  • CDavid KampfProbable
  • DMark GiordanoOut
  • DJake McCabeOut
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+162+160+147+156+160+156+160+162.9
Toronto-182-180-172-175-180-175-172-162.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-125+160+159+160+160+160+160+162.9
Toronto+125-180-175-180-180-180-175-162.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 20.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo ML moved from +155 to +147
Toronto ML moved from -183 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 20.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo ML moved from +170 to +160
Toronto ML moved from +125 to -190

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½-160+1½-148+1½-163+1½-154+1½-150+1½-154+1½-148+1½-142
Toronto-1½+140-1½+132-1½+137-1½+134-1½+130-1½+134-1½+137-1½+142
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½-150+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150+1½-142
Toronto-1½+130-1½+130-1½+136-1½+130-1½+135-1½+130-1½+136-1½+142

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-101o6½-123o6½-115o6½-113o6½-115o6½-113o6½-113o6½-105
Underu6½-115u6½+107u6½-105u6½-103u6½-105u6½-103u6½+107u6½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-115o6½-115o6½-110o6½-115o6½-110o6½-110o6½-105
Underu6½-110u6½-105u6½-105u6½-110u6½-105u6½-110u6½-105u6½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-105 to u6½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under