Tampa Bay at Toronto

Updated

Tampa Bay Lightning

(10-6-2)
Rank8
P/G3.7
PA/G3.1
42.6%57.4%
Tampa Bay WinToronto Win
2.70Projected Goals 3.49
7Final Score 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

(12-6-2)
Rank12
P/G3.0
PA/G2.5
Rank8
P/G3.7
PA/G3.1
Rank12
P/G3.0
PA/G2.5

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
6034-22-40.9152.65

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4027-10-50.9192.33

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Ville Husso • TBL: Brian Elliott-228
L 4-3 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-210
L 4-7 at Ottawa SenatorsTBL: Brian Elliott • OTT: Cam Talbot-130
L 1-6 at New York IslandersTBL: Brian Elliott • NYI: Ilya Sorokin+152
L 3-6 at New York RangersTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • NYR: Igor Shesterkin+113
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 3-2 at New York RangersTOR: Joseph Woll • NYR: Jaroslav Halak+123
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Joseph Woll • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+197
W 2-1 at Florida PanthersTOR: Ilya Samsonov • FLA: Alex Lyon+131
W 1-7 vs Montreal CanadiensMTL: Sam Montembeault • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-350
L 1-2 at Boston BruinsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • BOS: Jeremy Swayman+131

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • LWTanner JeannotOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DMark GiordanoProbable
  • DErik GustafssonQuestionable
  • GOIlya SamsonovUnknown
  • CJohn TavaresProbable
  • GOMatt MurrayOut
  • CSam LaffertyProbable
  • CBobby McMannIR
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+136+144+135+144+137+144+144+150.2
Toronto-150-161-160-160-157-160-157-150.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+128+135+140+140+135+140+140+150.2
Toronto-140-155-154-165-155-155-154-150.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +138 to +127
Toronto ML moved from -154 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +140 to +133
Toronto ML moved from -152 to -162

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-195+1½-202+1½-195+1½-205+1½-200+1½-205+1½-195+1½-185
Toronto-1½+170-1½+178-1½+165-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+178-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-210+1½-200+1½-200+1½-195+1½-185+1½-200+1½-185+1½-185
Toronto-1½+184-1½+175-1½+176-1½+162-1½+165-1½+175-1½+176-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-105o6-118o6-105o6-109o6-105o6-109o6-105o6-104
Underu6-105u6+102u6-115u6-101u6-115u6-101u6+102u6+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6+100o6+100o6-110o6-110o6+100o6+100o6+100o6-104
Underu6-120u6-120u6-110u6-110u6-120u6-120u6-110u6+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6+111 to o6-115
The Under moved from u6-105 to u6-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6+100 to o6-110
No Steam Moves On Under
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