Buffalo at Vegas

Updated

Buffalo Sabres

(12-19-4)
Rank27
P/G3.0
PA/G3.4
26.4%73.6%
Buffalo WinVegas Win
2.20Projected Goals 3.72
2Final Score 5

Vegas Golden Knights

(23-8-3)
Rank7
P/G3.5
PA/G2.8
Rank27
P/G3.0
PA/G3.4
Rank7
P/G3.5
PA/G2.8

Goalies

Craig Anderson

StartsRecordSV%GAA
75-2-00.9272.28

Robin Lehner

StartsRecordSV%GAA
3218-12-10.9092.79

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 1-4 at Colorado AvalancheBUF: Dustin Tokarski • COL: Darcy Kuemper+475
W 3-1 at Utah Hockey ClubBUF: Craig Anderson • UTA: Karel Vejmelka+125
L 0-5 at Ottawa SenatorsBUF: Aaron Dell • OTT: Matt Murray+160
W 3-6 vs Philadelphia FlyersPHI: Martin Jones • BUF: Michael Houser+130
L 5-4 vs Dallas StarsDAL: Braden Holtby • BUF: Aaron Dell+200
Vegas Golden Knights
Money Line
W 3-2 at Tampa Bay LightningVEG: Robin Lehner • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+133
L 1-4 at Florida PanthersVEG: Robin Lehner • FLA: Spencer Knight+135
L 3-4 at Carolina HurricanesVEG: Laurent Brossoit • CAR: Frederik Andersen+180
W 1-0 at Washington CapitalsVEG: Robin Lehner • WSH: Vitek Vanecek+132
W 3-4 vs Montreal CanadiensMTL: Sam Montembeault • VEG: Robin Lehner-290

Injuries

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • CCasey MittelstadtOut
  • DWill ButcherOut
  • GOAaron DellOut
  • LWVinnie HinostrozaIR
  • RWTage ThompsonProbable
  • GOMalcolm SubbanOut for Season
  • RWJack QuinnOut
  • DColin MillerIR
  • LWZemgus GirgensonsIR
  • CRasmus AsplundProbable
  • GOUkko-Pekka LuukkonenIR
  • GOMichael HouserIR

Vegas Golden Knights

Status
  • CChandler StephensonIR
  • DZach WhitecloudOut
  • DNicolas HagueIR
  • DAlec MartinezOut
  • DDylan CoghlanIR
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+260+360+385+385+400+385+400+424.9
Vegas-295-500-455-485-500-455-455-424.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+285+340+395+360+400+360+400+424.9
Vegas-345-440-460-440-500-430-440-424.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 40.0%
Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Vegas: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo ML moved from +395 to +385
Vegas ML moved from -470 to -500

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 40.0%
Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Vegas: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo ML moved from +370 to +360
Vegas ML moved from -430 to -460

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½+115+1½+150+1½+160+1½+155+1½+150+1½+160+1½+160+1½+166
Vegas-1½-135-1½-175-1½-180-1½-175-1½-180-1½-180-1½-175-1½-166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½+110+1½+145+1½+155+1½+145+1½+155+1½+150+1½+155+1½+166
Vegas-1½-130-1½-165-1½-175-1½-165-1½-175-1½-170-1½-165-1½-166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo5½-118o6-115o6-129o6-125o6-120o6-129o6-115o6½+114
Underu5½+107u6-105u6+117u6+105u6+100u6+117u6+117u6½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-105o6-125o6-115o6-115o6-120o6-115o6-115o6½+114
Underu6-115u6+105u6-105u6-105u6+100u6-105u6+105u6½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o5½-120 to o5½-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-115 to o6-125
The Under moved from u6½-110 to u6-110
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