NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4)
Nashville Predators (9-17-7)
Unknown
Unknown
52.9%
47.1%
-116
+107
-118
+110
-1½+220
+1½-241
-1½+220
+1½-246
3.02
2.70
5.72
o5½-106
u5½-108
o5½-110
u5½-105
San Jose Sharks (11-19-5)
Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2)
Unknown
Calvin Pickard
22.5%
77.5%
+345
-400
+360
-420
+1½+135
-1½-148
+1½+140
-1½-154
2.27
4.19
6.46
o6½-103
u6½-112
o6½+100
u6½-115
Chicago Blackhawks (12-19-2)
Calgary Flames (15-11-7)
Unknown
Unknown
40.5%
59.5%
+141
-157
+143
-155
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
2.44
3.44
5.88
o5½-107
u5½-108
o5½-110
u5½-110
Detroit Red Wings (13-15-4)
Montreal Canadiens (13-16-3)
Unknown
Unknown
50.9%
49.1%
-115
+103
-112
+107
-1½+215
+1½-255
-1½+216
+1½-248
3.15
3.06
6.21
o6-117
u6+103
o6-110
u6-105
Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-5)
Philadelphia Flyers (14-15-4)
Unknown
Unknown
44.9%
55.1%
+132
-146
+132
-142
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+170
2.91
3.46
6.37
o6½+104
u6½-118
o6½+100
u6½-120
Buffalo Sabres (11-18-4)
Boston Bruins (17-13-4)
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Unknown
38.0%
62.0%
+158
-172
+165
-174
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+154
2.31
3.41
5.72
o5½-118
u5½+104
o5½-120
u6-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Islanders (12-14-7)
Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-2)
Ilya Sorokin
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+157
-170
+163
-175
+1½-163
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+148
2.36
3.45
5.81
o6+103
u6-117
o5½-120
u6-120
Minnesota Wild (20-9-4)
Winnipeg Jets (23-10-1)
Jesper Wallstedt
Unknown
35.4%
64.6%
+150
-163
+150
-165
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+162
2.26
3.46
5.72
o5½-117
u5½+104
o5½-120
u5½+100
Pittsburgh Penguins (15-14-5)
New Jersey Devils (21-11-3)
Unknown
Unknown
28.9%
71.1%
+200
-215
+203
-220
+1½-128
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
2.50
3.92
6.42
o6½+102
u6½-113
o6-120
u6½-115
Ottawa Senators (17-13-2)
Vancouver Canucks (16-10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
49.8%
50.2%
+113
-126
+125
-122
+1½-222
-1½+200
+1½-200
-1½+205
2.95
2.98
5.93
o5½+100
u5½-106
o5½-115
u5½-105
All Bet Values Active
Seattle Kraken (15-17-2)
Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3)
Unknown
Unknown
37.0%
63.0%
+168
-188
+175
-188
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+137
2.45
3.59
6.04
o6+104
u6-118
o5½-120
u6-120
Games for Dec 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Winnipeg Jets
Anaheim Ducks
66.2%
33.8%
-145
+132
-142
+132
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-180
2
3
-0.86420-0.85923-1.08586
Vancouver Canucks
Utah Hockey Club
45.8%
54.2%
+102
-115
+105
-114
+1½-232
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+211
2
3
-0.65520-0.65009-0.61183
Florida Panthers
Minnesota Wild
54.3%
45.7%
-149
+137
-149
+137
-1½+170
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-185
6
1
-0.53363-0.53363-0.61124
Toronto Maple Leafs
Dallas Stars
44.6%
55.4%
+118
-133
+120
-128
+1½-205
-1½+188
+1½-216
-1½+195
5
3
-0.80842-0.80428-0.80652
Philadelphia Flyers
Detroit Red Wings
51.0%
49.0%
-104
-106
-104
-106
+1½-258
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+224
4
6
-0.68852-0.68852-0.71392
Winnipeg Jets
San Jose Sharks
69.3%
30.7%
-218
+199
-213
+200
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+122
+1½-130
4
3
-0.39735-0.39866-0.36625
Ottawa Senators
Seattle Kraken
50.8%
49.2%
-135
+122
-125
+123
-1½+210
+1½-220
-1½+205
+1½-220
3
0
-0.57893-0.59176-0.67704
Boston Bruins
Calgary Flames
50.6%
49.4%
-136
+122
-130
+126
-1½+190
+1½-217
-1½+200
+1½-210
4
3
-0.57755-0.57821-0.68108
Washington Capitals
Chicago Blackhawks
64.2%
35.8%
-188
+173
-185
+175
-1½+133
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-150
2
3
-1.02321-1.02427-1.02806
New Jersey Devils
St. Louis Blues
63.5%
36.5%
-183
+170
-180
+170
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-158
4
1
-0.45284-0.45497-0.45407
New York Rangers
Nashville Predators
51.6%
48.4%
+128
-135
+125
-132
+1½-207
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+190
0
2
-0.56729-0.57725-0.72555
New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes
31.3%
68.7%
+200
-225
+200
-220
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
0
4
-0.39304-0.39531-0.37592
Columbus Blue Jackets
Tampa Bay Lightning
28.7%
71.3%
+230
-260
+226
-250
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-108
-1½+100
3
5
-0.35037-0.35729-0.33791
Los Angeles Kings
Pittsburgh Penguins
56.9%
43.1%
-144
+133
-140
+130
-1½+171
+1½-179
-1½+177
+1½-200
2
3
-0.86503-0.85085-0.84125
Buffalo Sabres
Montreal Canadiens
56.1%
43.9%
-135
+122
-125
+118
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+200
+1½-224
1
6
-0.82212-0.79350-0.82360
Colorado Avalanche
Vancouver Canucks
52.9%
47.1%
-140
+130
-140
+135
-1½+178
+1½-198
-1½+180
+1½-187
1
3
-0.85085-0.86325-0.75387
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks73-4 (0.429)0-0.67707 
Sportsbooks73-4 (0.429)0-0.67293 
DRatings73-4 (0.429)0-0.65575
0.02132
0.01718

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/19/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (23-10-1, 47 pts)50.926.05.1106.999.3%59.0%33.6%18.7%9.5%
2Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3, 45 pts)50.424.27.4108.199.2%59.4%33.5%17.9%8.7%
3New Jersey Devils (21-11-3, 45 pts)48.326.67.2103.798.6%50.0%24.7%12.1%6.7%
4Washington Capitals (21-8-2, 44 pts)51.324.46.3108.999.7%61.9%33.8%17.9%10.0%
5Minnesota Wild (20-8-4, 44 pts)46.626.58.9102.193.6%43.1%18.9%8.7%3.5%
6Florida Panthers (20-11-2, 42 pts)49.026.86.2104.298.5%57.7%30.8%16.0%8.7%
7Toronto Maple Leafs (20-10-2, 42 pts)47.927.56.6102.498.2%49.2%23.9%11.1%5.2%
8Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4, 42 pts)45.127.99.099.387.8%40.3%17.5%7.3%3.0%
9Carolina Hurricanes (20-10-1, 41 pts)49.826.85.4104.999.0%57.5%31.7%17.6%10.1%
10Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2, 40 pts)47.927.76.4102.294.1%56.2%31.0%16.4%8.1%
11Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts)49.126.56.4104.798.5%60.7%34.3%17.8%10.0%
12Dallas Stars (19-12-0, 38 pts)48.329.04.7101.392.8%49.9%26.9%14.8%7.3%
13Colorado Avalanche (19-15-0, 38 pts)45.432.04.695.473.9%37.4%18.2%8.8%3.8%
14Vancouver Canucks (16-10-6, 38 pts)40.829.811.493.059.3%21.6%8.2%3.1%0.9%
15Boston Bruins (17-13-4, 38 pts)39.733.19.288.645.6%12.5%3.7%1.3%0.5%
16Calgary Flames (15-11-7, 37 pts)37.232.112.787.223.3%5.7%1.6%0.4%0.1%
17Ottawa Senators (17-13-2, 36 pts)42.932.17.092.872.1%27.5%10.5%4.2%1.7%
18Utah Hockey Club (15-11-5, 35 pts)41.130.710.292.555.1%22.7%9.2%3.7%1.4%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-14-5, 35 pts)36.335.110.683.319.0%3.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-3, 33 pts)37.336.48.382.89.0%2.2%0.6%0.2%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (14-15-4, 32 pts)36.236.19.782.112.5%3.5%1.1%0.3%0.1%
22Seattle Kraken (15-17-2, 32 pts)37.337.37.482.010.1%2.1%0.7%0.2%0.0%
23New York Rangers (15-15-1, 31 pts)39.635.96.685.731.1%10.9%3.6%1.3%0.5%
24Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-5, 31 pts)35.236.210.681.011.4%1.4%0.4%0.1%0.0%
25New York Islanders (12-14-7, 31 pts)33.735.712.780.08.3%1.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
26Detroit Red Wings (13-14-4, 30 pts)34.337.610.278.75.5%1.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%
27Anaheim Ducks (12-14-4, 28 pts)33.238.310.576.91.6%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (12-16-3, 27 pts)32.040.69.473.51.1%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-5, 27 pts)29.541.511.070.10.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Buffalo Sabres (11-17-4, 26 pts)32.139.810.174.40.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (12-19-2, 26 pts)32.641.48.073.20.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Nashville Predators (9-17-7, 25 pts)31.138.312.674.80.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.