NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 30, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11)
Washington Capitals (51-22-9)
Unknown
Unknown
37.2%
62.8%
+165
-184
+168
-185
+1½-155
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
2.42
3.54
5.96
o6-108
u6-103
o6-105
u6-110
Florida Panthers (47-31-4)
Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8)
Unknown
Unknown
45.8%
54.2%
+100
-111
-102
-106
+1½-260
-1½+222
+1½-250
-1½+230
2.66
3.12
5.78
o5½-108
u5½-106
o5½-115
u5½+100
St. Louis Blues (44-30-8)
Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4)
Unknown
Unknown
39.2%
60.8%
+155
-166
+155
-165
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
2.23
3.29
5.52
o5½+123
u5½-138
o5½+120
u5½-135
Games for Apr 29, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Capitals
Montreal Canadiens
54.1%
45.9%
-109
+102
-115
+107
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+200
+1½-230
3
6
-0.71953-0.74537-0.77921
Winnipeg Jets
St. Louis Blues
55.3%
44.7%
-111
+100
-110
+106
-1½+226
+1½-265
-1½+230
+1½-250
2
7
-0.71888-0.73191-0.80444
Vegas Golden Knights
Minnesota Wild
55.5%
44.5%
-147
+190
-153
+142
-1½+180
+1½-145
-1½+175
+1½-185
2
5
-1.00280-0.90157-0.80925
Toronto Maple Leafs
Ottawa Senators
51.3%
48.7%
+122
-134
+120
-124
+1½-225
-1½+198
+1½-220
-1½+200
3
2
-0.82034-0.79653-0.66793
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
46.3%
53.7%
+108
-116
+110
-114
+1½-241
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+215
2
0
-0.75001-0.75080-0.76970
Edmonton Oilers
Los Angeles Kings
44.2%
55.8%
+175
-117
+110
-120
+1½-110
-1½+205
+1½-220
-1½+200
2
6
-0.51549-0.62755-0.58381
Dallas Stars
Colorado Avalanche
42.4%
57.6%
+167
-183
+173
-185
+1½-140
-1½+225
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
1
-1.00302-1.01960-0.85743
Montreal Canadiens
Washington Capitals
39.6%
60.4%
+425
-169
+160
-170
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+148
1
3
-0.26481-0.47678-0.50469
Minnesota Wild
Vegas Golden Knights
36.7%
63.3%
+390
-206
+200
-220
+1½-133
-1½+130
+1½-130
-1½+115
5
2
-1.45831-1.11923-1.00248
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
44.4%
55.6%
+105
-116
+112
-115
+1½-245
-1½+215
+1½-245
-1½+215
6
2
-0.74238-0.75796-0.81267
Ottawa Senators
Toronto Maple Leafs
42.0%
58.0%
+137
-150
+140
-145
+1½-180
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
3
-0.53253-0.53299-0.54537
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
40.8%
59.2%
+600
-235
+235
-248
+1½-118
-1½+112
+1½-120
-1½+109
1
3
-0.18537-0.34987-0.52376
Edmonton Oilers
Los Angeles Kings
44.0%
56.0%
+133
-115
+131
-140
+1½-199
+1½-220
+1½-210
-1½+190
5
6
-0.58911-0.55511-0.58062
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars
50.2%
49.8%
-115
+330
-120
+115
-1½+195
+1½-207
-1½+200
+1½-200
3
4
-1.19392-0.77596-0.69794
St. Louis Blues
Winnipeg Jets
39.1%
60.9%
+171
-190
+171
-185
+1½-157
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+140
1
2
-0.44674-0.45009-0.49638
Montreal Canadiens
Washington Capitals
39.9%
60.1%
+173
-185
+179
-185
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
3
-0.44744-0.43965-0.50889
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.60041 
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.60326 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.66394
-0.06353
-0.06067

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/28/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 108 pts)52.026.04.0108.0100.0%91.4%49.7%28.6%14.4%
2Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4, 116 pts)56.022.04.0116.0100.0%61.0%35.3%21.6%12.9%
3Dallas Stars (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%86.7%41.0%21.7%11.4%
4Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%91.2%47.9%22.7%10.8%
5Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 98 pts)47.031.04.098.0100.0%86.6%40.5%20.9%10.2%
6Washington Capitals (51-22-9, 111 pts)51.022.09.0111.0100.0%92.7%45.9%20.8%9.5%
7Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10, 110 pts)50.022.010.0110.0100.0%63.0%32.5%16.1%8.4%
8Los Angeles Kings (48-25-9, 105 pts)48.025.09.0105.0100.0%53.5%29.9%13.9%7.2%
9Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5, 101 pts)48.029.05.0101.0100.0%46.5%25.0%10.8%5.5%
10St. Louis Blues (44-30-8, 96 pts)44.030.08.096.0100.0%39.0%16.5%7.6%3.2%
11Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4, 102 pts)49.029.04.0102.0100.0%13.3%7.2%4.2%2.3%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 102 pts)47.027.08.0102.0100.0%13.4%6.3%3.4%1.6%
13Minnesota Wild (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%37.0%12.6%4.0%1.4%
14Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%8.6%3.5%1.5%0.6%
15New Jersey Devils (42-33-7, 91 pts)42.033.07.091.0100.0%8.8%3.8%1.4%0.5%
16Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%7.4%2.4%0.8%0.3%
17Calgary Flames (41-27-14, 96 pts)41.027.014.096.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Vancouver Canucks (38-30-14, 90 pts)38.030.014.090.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Columbus Blue Jackets (40-33-9, 89 pts)40.033.09.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Utah Hockey Club (38-31-13, 89 pts)38.031.013.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Detroit Red Wings (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Rangers (39-36-7, 85 pts)39.036.07.085.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Islanders (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Pittsburgh Penguins (34-36-12, 80 pts)34.036.012.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Anaheim Ducks (35-37-10, 80 pts)35.037.010.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Buffalo Sabres (36-39-7, 79 pts)36.039.07.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Boston Bruins (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Seattle Kraken (35-41-6, 76 pts)35.041.06.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Philadelphia Flyers (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (30-44-8, 68 pts)30.044.08.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (25-46-11, 61 pts)25.046.011.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (20-50-12, 52 pts)20.050.012.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.