NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 22, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1)
New York Rangers (16-15-1)
Unknown
Unknown
56.2%
43.8%
-140
+125



3.54
2.87
6.41
o6-101
u6-115

Florida Panthers (21-11-2)
Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2)
Unknown
Unknown
45.8%
54.2%
-101
-111



2.90
3.34
6.24
o6½+109
u6½-125

Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4)
Washington Capitals (22-8-2)
Unknown
Unknown
38.0%
62.0%




2.40
3.50
5.90


Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
32.0%
68.0%
+208
-235



2.39
3.70
6.09
o6-115
u6-101

Ottawa Senators (17-13-2)
Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2)
Unknown
Unknown
38.4%
61.6%




2.66
3.74
6.40


Seattle Kraken (15-17-2)
Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0)
Unknown
MacKenzie Blackwood
34.8%
65.2%




2.51
3.73
6.24


Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Avalanche
Anaheim Ducks
62.6%
37.4%
-202
+184
-210
+195
-1½+121
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-125
4
2
-0.42292-0.40573-0.46785
New York Rangers
Dallas Stars
38.9%
61.1%
+159
-166
+160
-165
+1½-163
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
1
-0.96176-0.96273-0.94446
Utah Hockey Club
Minnesota Wild
47.4%
52.6%
+103
-111
+105
-110
+1½-227
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+215
2
1
-0.72654-0.72940-0.74739
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
41.5%
58.5%
+136
-150
+135
-148
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
3
-0.88211-0.87647-0.87837
Carolina Hurricanes
Washington Capitals
51.0%
49.0%
-152
+137
-148
+145
-1½+167
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
1
3
-0.88770-0.90101-0.71429
Toronto Maple Leafs
Buffalo Sabres
60.0%
40.0%
-145
+135
-139
+145
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+175
+1½-180
6
3
-0.54173-0.53169-0.51059
St. Louis Blues
Florida Panthers
27.9%
72.1%
+259
-296
+276
-300
+1½+102
-1½-117
+1½+100
-1½-115
1
2
-0.31675-0.30351-0.32730
Colorado Avalanche
San Jose Sharks
67.4%
32.6%
-246
+220
-257
+230
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
4
2
-0.36432-0.35132-0.39488
Vancouver Canucks
Vegas Golden Knights
37.6%
62.4%
+149
-155
+150
-155
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
1
3
-0.50725-0.50566-0.47170
Boston Bruins
Edmonton Oilers
35.5%
64.5%
+160
-177
+161
-170
+1½-150
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
3
-0.47120-0.47531-0.43863
Ottawa Senators
Calgary Flames
54.6%
45.4%
-130
+117
-130
+122
-1½+193
+1½-220
-1½+200
+1½-204
3
2
-0.59626-0.58609-0.60519
Seattle Kraken
Chicago Blackhawks
55.5%
44.5%
-140
+135
-140
+137
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+185
+1½-197
1
3
-0.86325-0.86814-0.81072
Pittsburgh Penguins
Nashville Predators
41.9%
58.1%
+142
-150
+140
-150
+1½-170
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
4
-0.89690-0.89199-0.86898
Los Angeles Kings
Philadelphia Flyers
56.1%
43.9%
-156
+145
-155
+150
-1½+160
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-170
7
3
-0.51269-0.50566-0.57862
St. Louis Blues
Tampa Bay Lightning
29.9%
70.1%
+191
-215
+200
-210
+1½-131
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+120
1
3
-0.40777-0.40015-0.35525
New Jersey Devils
Columbus Blue Jackets
65.3%
34.7%
-212
+190
-207
+195
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-130
2
4
-1.08874-1.09497-1.05765
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks73-4 (0.429)0-0.67707 
Sportsbooks73-4 (0.429)0-0.67293 
DRatings73-4 (0.429)0-0.65575
0.02132
0.01718

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/20/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (23-10-1, 47 pts)50.825.95.3106.998.9%60.9%36.3%19.2%9.4%
2Washington Capitals (22-8-2, 46 pts)51.923.86.4110.199.8%63.2%35.6%18.8%11.0%
3Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3, 45 pts)50.624.17.3108.599.1%60.2%34.0%18.6%9.1%
4New Jersey Devils (21-11-3, 45 pts)48.226.67.2103.797.4%52.1%26.0%13.2%7.2%
5Florida Panthers (21-11-2, 44 pts)49.426.56.1104.999.4%57.1%29.7%15.2%8.6%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-2, 44 pts)48.526.96.6103.698.4%49.1%23.9%11.3%6.0%
7Minnesota Wild (20-9-4, 44 pts)45.827.58.8100.390.9%40.3%17.0%8.0%3.0%
8Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4, 42 pts)45.427.79.099.788.8%38.3%16.3%7.1%2.6%
9Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1, 41 pts)49.227.45.4103.799.0%54.6%28.3%14.7%8.3%
10Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2, 40 pts)47.827.76.5102.293.9%58.5%32.3%17.9%8.4%
11Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0, 40 pts)46.131.44.596.880.0%39.3%18.7%8.8%4.0%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts)49.226.36.5104.999.1%61.6%35.5%19.7%11.2%
13Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts)47.330.14.699.285.9%46.4%24.6%12.7%6.0%
14Vancouver Canucks (16-10-6, 38 pts)40.929.811.393.257.8%23.0%8.2%3.0%1.1%
15Boston Bruins (17-13-4, 38 pts)39.732.99.488.946.4%15.7%4.9%1.5%0.4%
16Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5, 37 pts)42.429.610.094.766.1%25.2%10.3%4.0%1.5%
17Calgary Flames (15-11-7, 37 pts)37.232.212.687.022.3%3.8%0.9%0.3%0.1%
18Ottawa Senators (17-13-2, 36 pts)42.832.27.192.669.7%24.0%8.8%3.2%1.3%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-14-5, 35 pts)36.435.010.683.415.6%3.8%1.2%0.3%0.1%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts)36.736.09.482.77.2%2.8%0.8%0.2%0.1%
21New York Rangers (16-15-1, 33 pts)40.635.16.387.541.0%12.3%4.5%1.6%0.5%
22Philadelphia Flyers (14-15-4, 32 pts)36.136.39.681.811.9%1.4%0.5%0.2%0.0%
23Seattle Kraken (15-17-2, 32 pts)37.237.47.481.86.9%1.4%0.5%0.2%0.1%
24Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-5, 31 pts)34.936.410.680.59.1%2.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
25New York Islanders (12-14-7, 31 pts)33.635.612.880.07.5%2.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
26Detroit Red Wings (13-15-4, 30 pts)33.238.510.376.62.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
27Montreal Canadiens (13-16-3, 29 pts)32.740.09.374.61.9%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
28Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4, 28 pts)32.339.110.675.20.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-5, 27 pts)29.841.211.070.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Chicago Blackhawks (12-19-2, 26 pts)32.641.57.973.10.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (11-18-4, 26 pts)31.540.510.073.11.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Nashville Predators (9-17-7, 25 pts)31.338.112.675.30.7%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.