NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4)
Ottawa Senators (45-30-7)
Unknown
Unknown
49.4%
50.6%
+102
-114
+105
-112
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+220
2.87
2.93
5.80
o5½+102
u5½-118
o5½+105
u5½-120
Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10)
Minnesota Wild (45-30-7)
Unknown
Unknown
54.4%
45.6%
-158
+142
-160
+147
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
3.03
2.56
5.59
o5½-103
u5½-110
o5½-105
u5½-110
Dallas Stars (50-26-6)
Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4)
Unknown
Unknown
40.9%
59.1%
+165
-172
+160
-171
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2.56
3.54
6.10
o6-118
u6+105
o6-120
u6+105
Overall Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Kings (48-25-9)
Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5)
Unknown
Calvin Pickard
47.0%
53.0%
+134
-150
+130
-140
+1½-195
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
2.68
3.00
5.68
o5½-125
u5½+113
o5½-125
u6-110

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Edmonton Oilers
Los Angeles Kings
43.3%
56.7%
+108
-112
+108
-114
+1½-232
-1½+290
+1½-215
-1½+200
3
1
-0.74139-0.74575-0.83658
Minnesota Wild
Vegas Golden Knights
36.1%
63.9%
+220
-213
+210
-230
+1½-135
-1½+145
+1½-130
-1½+115
2
3
-0.37790-0.38037-0.44784
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
37.8%
62.2%
+229
-240
+230
-245
+1½-113
-1½+111
+1½-115
-1½+110
4
5
-0.35809-0.35538-0.47419
Ottawa Senators
Toronto Maple Leafs
40.8%
59.2%
+147
-160
+150
-160
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
4
0
-0.92425-0.93156-0.89715
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars
49.0%
51.0%
-130
+150
-142
+133
-1½+186
+1½-207
-1½+185
+1½-200
2
6
-0.88090-0.86171-0.67291
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
44.9%
55.1%
+138
-145
+131
-142
+1½-193
-1½+176
+1½-200
-1½+180
2
4
-0.53645-0.55259-0.59517
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
47.5%
52.5%
+125
+190
+132
-136
+1½-193
+1½-125
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
4
-0.82805-0.55846-0.64373
Washington Capitals
Montreal Canadiens
51.4%
48.6%
-127
+115
-130
+122
-1½+190
+1½-212
-1½+185
+1½-200
5
2
-0.60506-0.58609-0.66598
Carolina Hurricanes
New Jersey Devils
51.8%
48.2%
-179
+575
-180
+167
-1½+160
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
5
2
-0.20776-0.45907-0.65766
Winnipeg Jets
St. Louis Blues
50.7%
49.3%
-126
+114
-125
+117
-1½+215
+1½-236
-1½+220
+1½-237
1
5
-0.78531-0.79098-0.70769
Dallas Stars
Colorado Avalanche
41.9%
58.1%
+167
+120
+170
-184
+1½-158
+1½-180
+1½-150
-1½+135
0
4
-0.60101-0.45213-0.54340
Toronto Maple Leafs
Ottawa Senators
49.9%
50.1%
+100
-110
+110
-110
+1½-260
-1½+230
+1½-230
-1½+220
3
4
-0.67015-0.64663-0.69145
Vegas Golden Knights
Minnesota Wild
53.8%
46.2%
-110
+141
-155
+145
+1½-225
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-180
4
3
-0.58341-0.51371-0.61923
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
45.1%
54.9%
+116
-126
+125
-130
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+195
5
1
-0.79039-0.82055-0.79536
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
49.7%
50.3%
+130
+375
+134
-140
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
4
7
-1.12009-0.54962-0.68756
Carolina Hurricanes
New Jersey Devils
52.4%
47.6%
-162
+1100
-160
+155
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+175
+1½-180
2
3
-2.13065-0.94358-0.74217
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.60041 
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.60326 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.66394
-0.06353
-0.06067

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/28/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 108 pts)52.026.04.0108.0100.0%91.4%49.7%28.6%14.4%
2Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4, 116 pts)56.022.04.0116.0100.0%61.0%35.3%21.6%12.9%
3Dallas Stars (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%86.7%41.0%21.7%11.4%
4Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%91.2%47.9%22.7%10.8%
5Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 98 pts)47.031.04.098.0100.0%86.6%40.5%20.9%10.2%
6Washington Capitals (51-22-9, 111 pts)51.022.09.0111.0100.0%92.7%45.9%20.8%9.5%
7Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10, 110 pts)50.022.010.0110.0100.0%63.0%32.5%16.1%8.4%
8Los Angeles Kings (48-25-9, 105 pts)48.025.09.0105.0100.0%53.5%29.9%13.9%7.2%
9Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5, 101 pts)48.029.05.0101.0100.0%46.5%25.0%10.8%5.5%
10St. Louis Blues (44-30-8, 96 pts)44.030.08.096.0100.0%39.0%16.5%7.6%3.2%
11Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4, 102 pts)49.029.04.0102.0100.0%13.3%7.2%4.2%2.3%
12Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 102 pts)47.027.08.0102.0100.0%13.4%6.3%3.4%1.6%
13Minnesota Wild (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%37.0%12.6%4.0%1.4%
14Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%8.6%3.5%1.5%0.6%
15New Jersey Devils (42-33-7, 91 pts)42.033.07.091.0100.0%8.8%3.8%1.4%0.5%
16Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%7.4%2.4%0.8%0.3%
17Calgary Flames (41-27-14, 96 pts)41.027.014.096.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Vancouver Canucks (38-30-14, 90 pts)38.030.014.090.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Columbus Blue Jackets (40-33-9, 89 pts)40.033.09.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Utah Hockey Club (38-31-13, 89 pts)38.031.013.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Detroit Red Wings (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Rangers (39-36-7, 85 pts)39.036.07.085.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Islanders (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Pittsburgh Penguins (34-36-12, 80 pts)34.036.012.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Anaheim Ducks (35-37-10, 80 pts)35.037.010.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Buffalo Sabres (36-39-7, 79 pts)36.039.07.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Boston Bruins (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Seattle Kraken (35-41-6, 76 pts)35.041.06.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Philadelphia Flyers (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (30-44-8, 68 pts)30.044.08.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (25-46-11, 61 pts)25.046.011.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (20-50-12, 52 pts)20.050.012.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.