NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 22, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Winnipeg Jets (16-3-0)
Pittsburgh Penguins (7-10-4)
Unknown
Unknown
66.4%
33.6%




3.81
2.56
6.37


Buffalo Sabres (8-9-1)
Anaheim Ducks (8-8-2)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%




3.71
2.64
6.35


Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Buffalo Sabres
Los Angeles Kings
44.6%
55.4%
+155
-170
+155
-165
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
1
0
-0.95763-0.95078-0.80762
Nashville Predators
Seattle Kraken
49.0%
51.0%
-135
+127
-135
+133
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
0
3
-0.83466-0.84952-0.67242
San Jose Sharks
Dallas Stars
17.7%
82.3%
+385
-440
+387
-450
+1½+152
-1½-168
+1½+150
-1½-160
2
5
-0.22558-0.22392-0.19479
Carolina Hurricanes
Philadelphia Flyers
67.2%
32.8%
-225
+200
-220
+204
-1½+110
+1½-117
-1½+110
+1½-128
4
1
-0.39304-0.39102-0.39704
Vegas Golden Knights
Toronto Maple Leafs
51.4%
48.6%
-109
-103
-108
+102
-1½+230
+1½-246
+1½-260
-1½+229
0
3
-0.70698-0.71728-0.72136
New York Rangers
Vancouver Canucks
56.3%
43.7%
-140
+130
-130
+124
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+190
+1½-200
4
3
-0.55696-0.58212-0.57412
New York Islanders
Calgary Flames
48.7%
51.3%
-107
+100
-103
-103
+1½-260
-1½+225
+1½-270
-1½+232
1
2
-0.70991-0.69315-0.66799
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
41.4%
58.6%
+155
-169
+161
-168
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
2
-0.95628-0.96932-0.88211
Minnesota Wild
St. Louis Blues
59.9%
40.1%
-160
+145
-151
+150
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-180
4
2
-0.50878-0.50978-0.51313
Florida Panthers
Winnipeg Jets
46.1%
53.9%
+107
-117
+110
-112
+1½-245
-1½+225
+1½-223
-1½+225
3
6
-0.63974-0.64257-0.61754
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pittsburgh Penguins
63.0%
37.0%
-158
+150
-150
+140
-1½+160
+1½-168
-1½+165
+1½-178
3
2
-0.50269-0.52736-0.46154
Edmonton Oilers
Ottawa Senators
49.7%
50.3%
+105
-116
+110
-110
+1½-250
-1½+225
+1½-220
+1½-250
5
2
-0.74238-0.74194-0.69919
Detroit Red Wings
San Jose Sharks
63.4%
36.6%
-145
+133
-145
+135
-1½+167
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-180
4
5
-0.86669-0.87165-1.00537
Washington Capitals
Utah Hockey Club
52.7%
47.3%
+110
-122
+112
-120
+1½-220
-1½+203
+1½-230
-1½+215
6
2
-0.76735-0.76841-0.63974
Anaheim Ducks
Dallas Stars
20.4%
79.6%
+370
-426
+376
-440
+1½+147
-1½-163
+1½+145
-1½-160
4
2
-1.56993-1.58484-1.58738
Edmonton Oilers
Montreal Canadiens
69.0%
31.0%
-260
+235
-257
+230
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½+101
+1½-110
0
3
-1.22946-1.21659-1.16980
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks52-3 (0.400)0-0.62358 
Sportsbooks52-3 (0.400)0-0.62650 
DRatings53-2 (0.600)0-0.55865
0.06493
0.06786

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/19/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (13-4-0, 26 pts)52.823.95.3111.099.3%73.3%47.2%32.3%20.9%
2Winnipeg Jets (16-3-0, 32 pts)54.822.05.2114.799.9%75.7%49.2%35.2%20.3%
3New York Rangers (12-4-1, 25 pts)49.825.56.7106.396.1%59.7%29.8%17.7%9.6%
4Dallas Stars (11-6-0, 22 pts)48.427.75.8102.794.7%59.8%30.1%18.9%9.4%
5Florida Panthers (12-6-1, 25 pts)48.626.96.5103.794.3%60.5%36.6%16.8%9.1%
6Vegas Golden Knights (11-5-2, 24 pts)46.627.67.8101.092.3%57.9%36.3%15.4%6.4%
7Tampa Bay Lightning (10-6-1, 21 pts)46.728.46.9100.388.3%56.1%29.0%11.0%5.2%
8Washington Capitals (13-4-1, 27 pts)48.626.46.9104.295.5%42.1%18.0%8.9%4.2%
9Edmonton Oilers (10-8-2, 22 pts)43.930.37.995.676.6%45.7%24.6%9.6%3.6%
10New Jersey Devils (12-7-2, 26 pts)45.328.97.898.384.5%33.9%14.5%6.3%2.8%
11Minnesota Wild (12-3-3, 27 pts)46.226.59.2101.793.8%39.5%15.2%7.4%2.6%
12Toronto Maple Leafs (11-6-2, 24 pts)43.929.88.396.176.9%34.6%14.0%4.4%1.6%
13Colorado Avalanche (10-9-0, 20 pts)43.032.66.492.466.2%26.5%11.2%4.8%1.6%
14Los Angeles Kings (10-6-3, 23 pts)41.530.89.792.767.2%27.6%10.5%2.9%0.8%
15Vancouver Canucks (9-6-3, 21 pts)40.931.39.891.559.3%24.4%9.4%2.6%0.7%
16Calgary Flames (10-6-3, 23 pts)40.231.99.890.351.7%18.9%6.1%1.5%0.3%
17Seattle Kraken (9-9-1, 19 pts)40.034.27.987.841.4%13.2%4.7%1.2%0.3%
18Buffalo Sabres (8-9-1, 17 pts)39.534.77.886.832.8%8.9%2.5%0.7%0.2%
19Ottawa Senators (8-9-1, 17 pts)40.334.07.788.238.6%12.0%3.8%0.9%0.2%
20Boston Bruins (8-9-3, 19 pts)37.634.89.684.923.6%6.2%1.8%0.3%0.1%
21Utah Hockey Club (7-8-3, 17 pts)36.735.110.283.621.1%5.4%1.6%0.4%0.1%
22New York Islanders (7-7-5, 19 pts)37.432.811.886.627.5%6.0%1.7%0.3%0.1%
23Columbus Blue Jackets (7-9-2, 16 pts)35.037.49.679.68.3%1.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
24Nashville Predators (6-10-3, 15 pts)35.636.310.181.415.4%2.3%0.7%0.2%0.0%
25Anaheim Ducks (8-8-2, 18 pts)34.237.99.978.38.0%1.8%0.3%0.0%0.0%
26Pittsburgh Penguins (7-10-4, 18 pts)33.737.111.278.65.4%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Detroit Red Wings (7-9-2, 16 pts)35.337.49.379.910.3%2.1%0.4%0.1%0.0%
28Philadelphia Flyers (8-9-2, 18 pts)36.835.99.282.914.7%2.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
29St. Louis Blues (8-11-1, 17 pts)35.638.18.379.510.2%1.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
30Montreal Canadiens (7-10-2, 16 pts)32.939.49.775.53.9%1.1%0.2%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (6-12-1, 13 pts)31.641.68.872.01.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (6-10-4, 16 pts)28.641.212.269.40.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.