Games In Progress
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins New Jersey Devils | 28.9% 71.1% | +225 -240 +225 -240 | +1½-112 -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+105 | 0 3 | -0.36179-0.36179 | -0.34174 | |
| Minnesota Wild Winnipeg Jets | 35.4% 64.6% | +148 -160 +150 -159 | +1½-168 -1½+160 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 0 5 | -0.50395-0.50173 | -0.43767 | |
| New York Islanders Toronto Maple Leafs | 40.2% 59.8% | +115 -119 +120 -118 | +1½-217 -1½+205 +1½-200 -1½+216 | 6 3 | -0.77392-0.78428 | -0.91061 | |
| Buffalo Sabres Boston Bruins | 37.1% 62.9% | +163 -180 +165 -170 | +1½-155 -1½+142 +1½-154 -1½+145 | 1 3 | -0.46466-0.46959 | -0.46315 | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets Philadelphia Flyers | 44.7% 55.3% | +127 -140 +130 -135 | +1½-182 -1½+167 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 4 5 | -0.56258-0.56352 | -0.59209 | |
| Detroit Red Wings Montreal Canadiens | 50.9% 49.1% | -115 +102 -115 +108 | -1½+215 +1½-240 -1½+205 +1½-230 | 1 5 | -0.73260-0.74790 | -0.71031 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks Calgary Flames | 40.5% 59.5% | +155 -170 +158 -170 | +1½-167 -1½+153 +1½-164 -1½+155 | 4 6 | -0.48418-0.47970 | -0.51872 | |
| San Jose Sharks Edmonton Oilers | 22.5% 77.5% | +346 -395 +360 -395 | +1½+137 -1½-150 +1½+140 -1½-144 | 2 3 | -0.24763-0.24093 | -0.25436 | |
| Los Angeles Kings Nashville Predators | 52.9% 47.1% | -106 -105 +104 -110 | +1½-270 -1½+240 -1½+245 -1½+230 | 2 3 | -0.69545-0.66054 | -0.75387 | |
| Colorado Avalanche Anaheim Ducks | 62.6% 37.4% | -202 +184 -210 +195 | -1½+121 +1½-130 -1½+120 +1½-125 | 4 2 | -0.42292-0.40573 | -0.46785 | |
| New York Rangers Dallas Stars | 38.9% 61.1% | +159 -166 +160 -165 | +1½-163 -1½+155 +1½-160 -1½+150 | 3 1 | -0.96176-0.96273 | -0.94446 | |
| Utah Hockey Club Minnesota Wild | 47.4% 52.6% | +103 -111 +105 -110 | +1½-227 -1½+215 +1½-240 -1½+215 | 2 1 | -0.72654-0.72940 | -0.74739 | |
| Montreal Canadiens Detroit Red Wings | 41.5% 58.5% | +136 -150 +135 -148 | +1½-183 -1½+170 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 4 3 | -0.88211-0.87647 | -0.87837 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes Washington Capitals | 51.0% 49.0% | -152 +137 -148 +145 | -1½+167 +1½-183 -1½+165 +1½-180 | 1 3 | -0.88770-0.90101 | -0.71429 | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs Buffalo Sabres | 60.0% 40.0% | -145 +135 -139 +145 | -1½+164 +1½-180 -1½+175 +1½-180 | 6 3 | -0.54173-0.53169 | -0.51059 | |
| St. Louis Blues Florida Panthers | 27.9% 72.1% | +259 -296 +276 -300 | +1½+102 -1½-117 +1½+100 -1½-115 | 1 2 | -0.31675-0.30351 | -0.32730 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 9 | 6-3 (0.667) | 0 | -0.53631 | |
| Sportsbooks | 9 | 7-2 (0.778) | 0 | -0.53444 | |
| DRatings | 9 | 6-3 (0.667) | 0 | -0.55361 | -0.01731 -0.01917 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 12/20/24| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win Rd. 1 | Win Rd. 2 | Conf. Champ. | Stanley Cup |
| 1 | Winnipeg Jets (23-10-1, 47 pts) | 50.8 | 25.9 | 5.3 | 106.9 | 98.9% | 60.9% | 36.3% | 19.2% | 9.4% |
| 2 | Washington Capitals (22-8-2, 46 pts) | 51.9 | 23.8 | 6.4 | 110.1 | 99.8% | 63.2% | 35.6% | 18.8% | 11.0% |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3, 45 pts) | 50.6 | 24.1 | 7.3 | 108.5 | 99.1% | 60.2% | 34.0% | 18.6% | 9.1% |
| 4 | New Jersey Devils (21-11-3, 45 pts) | 48.2 | 26.6 | 7.2 | 103.7 | 97.4% | 52.1% | 26.0% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| 5 | Florida Panthers (21-11-2, 44 pts) | 49.4 | 26.5 | 6.1 | 104.9 | 99.4% | 57.1% | 29.7% | 15.2% | 8.6% |
| 6 | Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-2, 44 pts) | 48.5 | 26.9 | 6.6 | 103.6 | 98.4% | 49.1% | 23.9% | 11.3% | 6.0% |
| 7 | Minnesota Wild (20-9-4, 44 pts) | 45.8 | 27.5 | 8.8 | 100.3 | 90.9% | 40.3% | 17.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| 8 | Los Angeles Kings (19-9-4, 42 pts) | 45.4 | 27.7 | 9.0 | 99.7 | 88.8% | 38.3% | 16.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| 9 | Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1, 41 pts) | 49.2 | 27.4 | 5.4 | 103.7 | 99.0% | 54.6% | 28.3% | 14.7% | 8.3% |
| 10 | Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2, 40 pts) | 47.8 | 27.7 | 6.5 | 102.2 | 93.9% | 58.5% | 32.3% | 17.9% | 8.4% |
| 11 | Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0, 40 pts) | 46.1 | 31.4 | 4.5 | 96.8 | 80.0% | 39.3% | 18.7% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| 12 | Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts) | 49.2 | 26.3 | 6.5 | 104.9 | 99.1% | 61.6% | 35.5% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| 13 | Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts) | 47.3 | 30.1 | 4.6 | 99.2 | 85.9% | 46.4% | 24.6% | 12.7% | 6.0% |
| 14 | Vancouver Canucks (16-10-6, 38 pts) | 40.9 | 29.8 | 11.3 | 93.2 | 57.8% | 23.0% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 15 | Boston Bruins (17-13-4, 38 pts) | 39.7 | 32.9 | 9.4 | 88.9 | 46.4% | 15.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 16 | Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5, 37 pts) | 42.4 | 29.6 | 10.0 | 94.7 | 66.1% | 25.2% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| 17 | Calgary Flames (15-11-7, 37 pts) | 37.2 | 32.2 | 12.6 | 87.0 | 22.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 18 | Ottawa Senators (17-13-2, 36 pts) | 42.8 | 32.2 | 7.1 | 92.6 | 69.7% | 24.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| 19 | Pittsburgh Penguins (15-14-5, 35 pts) | 36.4 | 35.0 | 10.6 | 83.4 | 15.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 20 | St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts) | 36.7 | 36.0 | 9.4 | 82.7 | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 21 | New York Rangers (16-15-1, 33 pts) | 40.6 | 35.1 | 6.3 | 87.5 | 41.0% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 22 | Philadelphia Flyers (14-15-4, 32 pts) | 36.1 | 36.3 | 9.6 | 81.8 | 11.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 23 | Seattle Kraken (15-17-2, 32 pts) | 37.2 | 37.4 | 7.4 | 81.8 | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 24 | Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-5, 31 pts) | 34.9 | 36.4 | 10.6 | 80.5 | 9.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 25 | New York Islanders (12-14-7, 31 pts) | 33.6 | 35.6 | 12.8 | 80.0 | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 26 | Detroit Red Wings (13-15-4, 30 pts) | 33.2 | 38.5 | 10.3 | 76.6 | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Montreal Canadiens (13-16-3, 29 pts) | 32.7 | 40.0 | 9.3 | 74.6 | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4, 28 pts) | 32.3 | 39.1 | 10.6 | 75.2 | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | San Jose Sharks (11-19-5, 27 pts) | 29.8 | 41.2 | 11.0 | 70.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Chicago Blackhawks (12-19-2, 26 pts) | 32.6 | 41.5 | 7.9 | 73.1 | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Buffalo Sabres (11-18-4, 26 pts) | 31.5 | 40.5 | 10.0 | 73.1 | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | Nashville Predators (9-17-7, 25 pts) | 31.3 | 38.1 | 12.6 | 75.3 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
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