NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Florida Panthers (47-31-4)
Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4)
49.0%
51.0%
-135
+126
-125
+125
-1½+194
+1½-222
-1½+200
+1½-220
5.62
o5-121
u5+112
o5-125
u5½-160
2nd P
END-
3
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars
46.1%
53.9%
+137
-145
+135
-135
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
1
2
-0.53820-0.55431-0.61739
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
40.8%
59.2%
+182
-203
+195
-202
+1½-138
-1½+128
+1½-135
-1½+130
2
0
-1.06103-1.08963-0.89575
Dallas Stars
Winnipeg Jets
44.0%
56.0%
+119
-127
+120
-130
+1½-222
-1½+207
+1½-230
-1½+200
0
4
-0.59673-0.59012-0.57928
Carolina Hurricanes
Washington Capitals
49.2%
50.8%
-150
+137
-145
+140
-1½+170
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-175
3
1
-0.53253-0.53299-0.70865
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
47.1%
52.9%
+107
-120
+109
-117
+1½-227
-1½+198
+1½-215
-1½+200
1
0
-0.75568-0.75464-0.75315
Florida Panthers
Toronto Maple Leafs
46.6%
53.4%
-134
+122
-130
+120
-1½+183
+1½-207
-1½+190
+1½-210
6
1
-0.58032-0.59012-0.76443
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars
46.1%
53.9%
+255
-146
+138
-148
+1½+125
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
3
-0.38840-0.53302-0.61867
Vegas Golden Knights
Edmonton Oilers
44.8%
55.2%
+101
-108
+102
-112
+1½-227
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+200
0
3
-0.67201-0.66116-0.59397
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes
41.5%
58.5%
+195
-215
+220
-225
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+110
2
5
-0.40323-0.37251-0.53654
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
42.7%
57.3%
+177
-196
+175
-190
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
0
2
-0.43515-0.44150-0.55676
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars
47.6%
52.4%
+130
-140
+125
-134
+1½-165
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+195
2
5
-0.55696-0.57442-0.64647
Vegas Golden Knights
Edmonton Oilers
47.1%
52.9%
+100
-111
+102
-110
+1½-227
-1½+205
+1½-225
-1½+200
4
3
-0.71888-0.72177-0.75194
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes
42.3%
57.7%
+209
-235
+210
-231
+1½-125
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
0
4
-0.37934-0.37996-0.54981
Dallas Stars
Winnipeg Jets
43.8%
56.2%
+124
+280
+125
-133
+1½-222
+1½+150
+1½-220
-1½+195
0
4
-0.99193-0.57583-0.57627
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
44.4%
55.6%
+190
-208
+195
-202
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-135
-1½+130
4
5
-0.41252-0.40999-0.58781
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
43.7%
56.3%
+120
+180
+125
-130
+1½-215
+1½+110
+1½-200
-1½+185
5
4
-0.57982-0.82055-0.82881
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/17/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%100.0%100.0%50.9%25.8%
2Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5, 101 pts)48.029.05.0101.0100.0%100.0%100.0%49.6%24.4%
3Dallas Stars (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%50.4%24.4%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 108 pts)52.026.04.0108.0100.0%100.0%52.2%25.2%13.1%
5Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 98 pts)47.031.04.098.0100.0%100.0%47.8%23.9%12.3%
6Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4, 116 pts)56.022.04.0116.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Washington Capitals (51-22-9, 111 pts)51.022.09.0111.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10, 110 pts)50.022.010.0110.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Los Angeles Kings (48-25-9, 105 pts)48.025.09.0105.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 102 pts)47.027.08.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4, 102 pts)49.029.04.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Minnesota Wild (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14St. Louis Blues (44-30-8, 96 pts)44.030.08.096.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Calgary Flames (41-27-14, 96 pts)41.027.014.096.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17New Jersey Devils (42-33-7, 91 pts)42.033.07.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Vancouver Canucks (38-30-14, 90 pts)38.030.014.090.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Utah Hockey Club (38-31-13, 89 pts)38.031.013.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Columbus Blue Jackets (40-33-9, 89 pts)40.033.09.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Detroit Red Wings (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Rangers (39-36-7, 85 pts)39.036.07.085.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Islanders (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Pittsburgh Penguins (34-36-12, 80 pts)34.036.012.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Anaheim Ducks (35-37-10, 80 pts)35.037.010.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Buffalo Sabres (36-39-7, 79 pts)36.039.07.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Boston Bruins (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Seattle Kraken (35-41-6, 76 pts)35.041.06.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Philadelphia Flyers (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (30-44-8, 68 pts)30.044.08.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (25-46-11, 61 pts)25.046.011.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (20-50-12, 52 pts)20.050.012.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.