NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 16, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4)
Florida Panthers (47-31-4)
Unknown
Unknown
41.2%
58.8%
+203
-227
+210
-235
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+115
2.34
3.28
5.62
o5½-113
u5½+101
o5½-110
u5½-105
Games for May 15, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Blues
New York Rangers
30.1%
69.9%
+191
-210
+187
-200
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+125
5
2
-1.08901-1.06930-1.20224
Dallas Stars
Carolina Hurricanes
43.2%
56.8%
+110
-120
+112
-116
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+205
4
6
-0.62755-0.63038-0.56518
Nashville Predators
New Jersey Devils
35.7%
64.3%
+117
-128
+120
-128
+1½-200
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+189
2
5
-0.59931-0.59314-0.44211
Vegas Golden Knights
Philadelphia Flyers
57.9%
42.1%
-129
+115
-120
+115
-1½+185
+1½-207
-1½+200
+1½-200
5
4
-0.60195-0.61667-0.54619
Washington Capitals
Florida Panthers
42.5%
57.5%
+152
-165
+155
-157
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+156
4
1
-0.94353-0.93912-0.85642
Colorado Avalanche
Tampa Bay Lightning
44.6%
55.4%
+103
-116
+109
-110
+1½-232
-1½+205
+1½-212
-1½+220
2
8
-0.65089-0.64890-0.59066
Utah Hockey Club
Toronto Maple Leafs
38.6%
61.4%
+165
-178
+165
-180
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
2
3
-0.46334-0.46185-0.48800
New York Rangers
Edmonton Oilers
51.3%
48.7%
+126
-138
+132
-130
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-180
-1½+175
2
6
-0.56708-0.56678-0.71949
Buffalo Sabres
San Jose Sharks
65.7%
34.3%
-131
+120
-134
+130
-1½+168
+1½-184
-1½+175
+1½-185
4
2
-0.58864-0.56488-0.41939
St. Louis Blues
New York Islanders
40.2%
59.8%
+143
-153
+140
-154
+1½-183
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
3
-0.51909-0.52308-0.51467
Dallas Stars
Tampa Bay Lightning
49.3%
50.7%
-113
+102
-115
+110
-1½+210
+1½-235
-1½+210
+1½-230
4
2
-0.65915-0.63673-0.70712
Utah Hockey Club
Pittsburgh Penguins
53.3%
46.7%
-133
+122
-125
+126
-1½+188
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-204
6
1
-0.58173-0.58582-0.62901
Vegas Golden Knights
Montreal Canadiens
67.2%
32.8%
-171
+160
-170
+155
-1½+147
+1½-162
-1½+150
+1½-160
6
2
-0.47594-0.48418-0.39791
Vancouver Canucks
Ottawa Senators
43.8%
56.2%
+126
-140
+125
-135
+1½-193
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+185
4
3
-0.84084-0.82968-0.82535
Boston Bruins
Detroit Red Wings
51.7%
48.3%
-138
+125
-136
+126
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+190
+1½-200
2
1
-0.56900-0.56976-0.66016
New Jersey Devils
Washington Capitals
50.6%
49.4%
-139
+125
-140
+130
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+190
+1½-188
3
2
-0.56768-0.55696-0.68051
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.56463 
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.56156 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.64396
-0.07934
-0.08241

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/13/25
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%100.0%88.4%44.2%22.1%
2Dallas Stars (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%100.0%84.4%43.1%21.3%
3Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5, 101 pts)48.029.05.0101.0100.0%100.0%86.8%41.3%19.7%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 108 pts)52.026.04.0108.0100.0%100.0%53.6%28.4%15.0%
5Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 98 pts)47.031.04.098.0100.0%100.0%46.4%22.5%11.4%
6Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4, 116 pts)56.022.04.0116.0100.0%100.0%15.6%9.1%5.1%
7Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10, 110 pts)50.022.010.0110.0100.0%100.0%13.2%6.5%3.2%
8Washington Capitals (51-22-9, 111 pts)51.022.09.0111.0100.0%100.0%11.6%4.9%2.4%
9Los Angeles Kings (48-25-9, 105 pts)48.025.09.0105.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8, 102 pts)47.027.08.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4, 102 pts)49.029.04.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Minnesota Wild (45-30-7, 97 pts)45.030.07.097.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14St. Louis Blues (44-30-8, 96 pts)44.030.08.096.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Calgary Flames (41-27-14, 96 pts)41.027.014.096.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16New Jersey Devils (42-33-7, 91 pts)42.033.07.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Vancouver Canucks (38-30-14, 90 pts)38.030.014.090.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Columbus Blue Jackets (40-33-9, 89 pts)40.033.09.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Utah Hockey Club (38-31-13, 89 pts)38.031.013.089.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Detroit Red Wings (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Rangers (39-36-7, 85 pts)39.036.07.085.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New York Islanders (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Anaheim Ducks (35-37-10, 80 pts)35.037.010.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Pittsburgh Penguins (34-36-12, 80 pts)34.036.012.080.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Buffalo Sabres (36-39-7, 79 pts)36.039.07.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Boston Bruins (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Seattle Kraken (35-41-6, 76 pts)35.041.06.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Philadelphia Flyers (33-39-10, 76 pts)33.039.010.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (30-44-8, 68 pts)30.044.08.068.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (25-46-11, 61 pts)25.046.011.061.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (20-50-12, 52 pts)20.050.012.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.