Toronto at Pittsburgh

Updated

Toronto Maple Leafs

(21-10-2)
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6
50.2%49.8%
Toronto WinPittsburgh Win
3.35Projected Goals 3.32
5Final Score 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

(15-14-5)
Rank20
P/G3.1
PA/G3.7
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6
Rank20
P/G3.1
PA/G3.7

Goalies

Matt Murray

StartsRecordSV%GAA
10-1-00.8264.05

Casey DeSmith

StartsRecordSV%GAA
62-3-10.9162.67

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Vancouver CanucksVAN: Spencer Martin • TOR: Erik Kallgren-168
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT: Casey DeSmith • TOR: Erik Kallgren-145
L 4-3 vs Vegas Golden KnightsVEG: Logan Thompson • TOR: Erik Kallgren+100
W 3-1 at Carolina HurricanesTOR: Erik Kallgren • CAR: Frederik Andersen+155
W 1-2 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Linus Ullmark • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-130
Pittsburgh Penguins
Money Line
L 4-5 at Montreal CanadiensPIT: Tristan Jarry • MTL: Jake Allen-160
W 4-2 at Toronto Maple LeafsPIT: Casey DeSmith • TOR: Erik Kallgren+138
W 4-1 at Washington CapitalsPIT: Casey DeSmith • WSH: Darcy Kuemper-117
L 3-2 vs Seattle KrakenSEA: Martin Jones • PIT: Tristan Jarry-190
L 3-6 at Buffalo SabresPIT: Casey DeSmith • BUF: Eric Comrie-115

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • LWKyle CliffordIR
  • DTJ BrodieIR
  • DJordie BennIR
  • DJake MuzzinIR
  • DTimothy LiljegrenIR
  • GOIlya SamsonovOut
  • GOMatt MurrayProbable

Pittsburgh Penguins

Status
  • CEvgeni MalkinQuestionable
  • CFilip HallanderQuestionable
  • DPierre-Olivier JosephQuestionable
  • CTeddy BluegerQuestionable
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-110-114-115-113-115-113-113-104.4
Pittsburgh-110+102-105+102-105+102+102+104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-105-115-110-120-110-111-110-104.4
Pittsburgh-105-105+100+100-110+101+101+104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -108 to -115
Pittsburgh ML moved from +102 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -108 to -118
Pittsburgh ML moved from -101 to -107

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-255-1½+214-1½+210-1½+200-1½+210-1½+200-1½+214-1½+221
Pittsburgh-1½+215+1½-246+1½-250+1½-240+1½-250+1½-240+1½-240+1½-221
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-260-1½+210-1½+213-1½+210-1½+210-1½+215-1½+215-1½+221
Pittsburgh-1½+230+1½-250+1½-245+1½-240+1½-250+1½-245+1½-240+1½-221

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-130o6½-118o6½-125o6½-117o6½-123o6½-117o6½-117o6½-112
Underu6½+110u6½+102u6½+105u6½+106u6½+103u6½+106u6½+106u6½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-125o6½-125o6½-120o6½-120o6½-120o6½-125o6½-120o6½-112
Underu6½+105u6½+105u6½+100u6½+100u6½+100u6½+105u6½+105u6½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-130 to o7+105
The Under moved from u7-130 to u6½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-130 to o7+115
No Steam Moves On Under
St. Louis at Colorado
Washington at Florida