Tampa Bay at Toronto

Updated

Tampa Bay Lightning

(18-10-2)
Rank1
P/G4.0
PA/G2.9
45.9%54.1%
Tampa Bay WinToronto Win
3.05Projected Goals 3.50
4Final Score 1

Toronto Maple Leafs

(21-10-2)
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6
Rank1
P/G4.0
PA/G2.9
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4728-17-20.9002.86

Joseph Woll

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2011-9-10.9102.87

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Alex Lyon • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-170
W 1-4 vs New York IslandersNYI: Semyon Varlamov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-142
W 1-3 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Linus Ullmark • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-109
W 3-2 at Anaheim DucksTBL: Jonas Johansson • ANA: Lukáš Dostál-200
L 3-4 at Los Angeles KingsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • LAK: Cam Talbot+115
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 4-6 vs Florida PanthersFLA: Sergei Bobrovsky • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+124
W 3-0 at Buffalo SabresTOR: Ilya Samsonov • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-145
W 1-5 vs Washington CapitalsWSH: Charlie Lindgren • TOR: Joseph Woll-175
L 6-3 vs New Jersey DevilsNJD: Jake Allen • TOR: Joseph Woll-142
L 1-2 at Carolina HurricanesTOR: Joseph Woll • CAR: Frederik Andersen+179

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • GOJonas JohanssonDoubtful
  • GOAndrei VasilevskiyUnknown

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DJoel EdmundsonOut
  • RWMitchell MarnerOut
  • CCalle JarnkrokOut
  • DMorgan RiellyProbable
  • DConor TimminsIR
  • GOJoseph WollUnknown
  • DTimothy LiljegrenQuestionable
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+110-106-110-102-110-102-102+103.7
Toronto-124-110-110-110-110-110-110-103.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+113-110-106-115-105-108-105+103.7
Toronto-126-110-104-105-115-102-102-103.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -105 to -115
Toronto ML moved from +101 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -105 to -115
Toronto ML moved from +100 to -102

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-220+1½-241+1½-250+1½-260+1½-250+1½-260+1½-241+1½-231
Toronto-1½+190-1½+209-1½+210-1½+220-1½+210-1½+220-1½+220-1½+231
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-220+1½-250+1½-254-1½+200+1½-240-1½+225+1½-240+1½-231
Toronto-1½+190-1½+210-1½+220+1½-250-1½+200+1½-265+1½-250-1½+231

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-130o6½-108o6½-108o6½-101o6½-110o6½-101o6½-101o6½+106
Underu6½+113u6½-108u6½-112u6½-115u6½-110u6½-115u6½-108u6½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115o6½-115o6½+100o6½-120o6½-115o6½+100o6½+100o6½+106
Underu6½-105u6½-105u6½-120u6½+100u6½-105u6½-120u6½+100u6½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½+102 to u6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-120
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