NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-2)
Detroit Red Wings (13-15-4)
Unknown
Unknown
62.6%
37.4%




3.63
2.52
6.15


Chicago Blackhawks (12-19-2)
Buffalo Sabres (11-18-4)
Unknown
Unknown
40.9%
59.1%




2.42
3.41
5.83


Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1)
New Jersey Devils (21-11-3)
Unknown
Unknown
47.7%
52.3%




3.04
3.28
6.32


Boston Bruins (17-13-4)
Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-5)
Unknown
Unknown
53.1%
46.9%




3.21
2.88
6.09


Nashville Predators (9-17-7)
St. Louis Blues (15-16-4)
Unknown
Unknown
49.9%
50.1%




2.93
2.94
5.87


Minnesota Wild (20-9-4)
Dallas Stars (19-13-0)
Unknown
Unknown
37.0%
63.0%




2.30
3.42
5.72


Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0)
Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
51.2%
48.8%




3.29
3.16
6.45


Vegas Golden Knights (21-8-3)
San Jose Sharks (11-19-5)
Unknown
Unknown
68.8%
31.2%




3.82
2.47
6.29


Games for Dec 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Kraken
Colorado Avalanche
34.8%
65.2%
+250
-270
+270
-300
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
2
5
-0.33041-0.30775-0.42737
Ottawa Senators
Edmonton Oilers
38.4%
61.6%
+156
-172
+160
-171
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
1
3
-0.48102-0.47594-0.48383
Anaheim Ducks
Utah Hockey Club
32.0%
68.0%
+184
-205
+190
-210
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
5
4
-1.06775-1.08672-1.13993
Los Angeles Kings
Washington Capitals
37.9%
62.1%
+141
-155
+140
-154
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
3
-0.52037-0.52308-0.47694
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
45.8%
54.2%
-105
-101
-107
+102
-1½+221
+1½-229
-1½+216
+1½-240
4
2
-0.68363-0.67178-0.78045
Carolina Hurricanes
New York Rangers
56.2%
43.8%
-145
+134
-148
+135
-1½+173
+1½-188
-1½+171
+1½-190
3
1
-0.54352-0.53828-0.57697
Seattle Kraken
Vegas Golden Knights
37.9%
62.1%
+169
-181
+170
-176
+1½-147
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
6
-0.45561-0.45793-0.47575
Ottawa Senators
Vancouver Canucks
49.8%
50.2%
+116
-130
+115
-124
+1½-215
-1½+190
+1½-216
-1½+205
5
4
-0.79791-0.78397-0.69637
Pittsburgh Penguins
New Jersey Devils
28.9%
71.1%
+225
-240
+225
-240
+1½-112
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
0
3
-0.36179-0.36179-0.34174
Minnesota Wild
Winnipeg Jets
35.4%
64.6%
+148
-160
+150
-159
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+155
0
5
-0.50395-0.50173-0.43767
New York Islanders
Toronto Maple Leafs
40.2%
59.8%
+115
-119
+120
-118
+1½-217
-1½+205
+1½-200
-1½+216
6
3
-0.77392-0.78428-0.91061
Buffalo Sabres
Boston Bruins
37.1%
62.9%
+163
-180
+165
-170
+1½-155
-1½+142
+1½-154
-1½+145
1
3
-0.46466-0.46959-0.46315
Columbus Blue Jackets
Philadelphia Flyers
44.7%
55.3%
+127
-140
+130
-135
+1½-182
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
5
-0.56258-0.56352-0.59209
Detroit Red Wings
Montreal Canadiens
50.9%
49.1%
-115
+102
-115
+108
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+205
+1½-230
1
5
-0.73260-0.74790-0.71031
Chicago Blackhawks
Calgary Flames
40.5%
59.5%
+155
-170
+158
-170
+1½-167
-1½+153
+1½-164
-1½+155
4
6
-0.48418-0.47970-0.51872
San Jose Sharks
Edmonton Oilers
22.5%
77.5%
+346
-395
+360
-395
+1½+137
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-144
2
3
-0.24763-0.24093-0.25436
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks65-1 (0.833)0-0.60445 
Sportsbooks65-1 (0.833)0-0.60059 
DRatings64-2 (0.667)0-0.64758
-0.04313
-0.04699

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/21/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Winnipeg Jets (24-10-1, 49 pts)51.525.45.2108.199.3%63.4%37.9%21.1%11.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (22-8-3, 47 pts)51.323.57.2109.999.6%62.6%36.0%20.0%10.0%
3New Jersey Devils (22-11-3, 47 pts)48.726.27.1104.698.6%51.6%26.1%13.5%7.2%
4Washington Capitals (22-8-2, 46 pts)51.824.06.2109.999.8%61.3%32.8%17.6%9.9%
5Florida Panthers (21-11-2, 44 pts)49.326.66.1104.798.8%59.1%32.9%16.8%9.0%
6Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-2, 44 pts)47.428.16.5101.396.0%46.6%21.3%9.8%4.8%
7Minnesota Wild (20-10-4, 44 pts)45.128.18.799.086.0%33.9%14.7%6.2%2.3%
8Los Angeles Kings (19-9-5, 43 pts)44.327.79.998.688.1%36.2%14.7%6.4%2.4%
9Edmonton Oilers (20-11-2, 42 pts)48.427.26.4103.296.0%58.8%32.4%17.9%9.3%
10Carolina Hurricanes (20-11-1, 41 pts)49.527.25.3104.398.7%54.7%30.1%16.0%8.8%
11Colorado Avalanche (20-15-0, 40 pts)46.131.64.396.580.1%36.3%17.5%8.3%3.6%
12Boston Bruins (18-13-4, 40 pts)40.632.39.190.452.9%13.4%4.3%1.5%0.5%
13Vancouver Canucks (16-10-7, 39 pts)40.029.812.392.252.7%18.5%6.9%2.2%0.6%
14Calgary Flames (16-11-7, 39 pts)37.931.612.588.326.1%7.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
15Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2, 38 pts)49.026.66.4104.498.2%60.5%34.1%18.5%10.3%
16Dallas Stars (19-13-0, 38 pts)47.330.14.699.288.8%48.4%24.4%12.1%5.7%
17Ottawa Senators (18-13-2, 38 pts)43.831.46.994.476.2%28.8%11.2%4.5%1.9%
18Utah Hockey Club (16-11-5, 37 pts)42.229.99.994.367.2%28.5%11.7%4.7%1.8%
19Pittsburgh Penguins (15-15-5, 35 pts)36.135.510.482.512.7%3.2%0.8%0.2%0.0%
20St. Louis Blues (15-16-4, 34 pts)37.035.79.483.38.6%2.5%0.7%0.2%0.1%
21Philadelphia Flyers (15-15-4, 34 pts)36.735.79.583.011.8%4.6%1.3%0.2%0.1%
22New York Rangers (16-15-1, 33 pts)40.535.26.387.337.4%10.8%3.8%1.2%0.5%
23New York Islanders (13-14-7, 33 pts)34.635.012.481.69.3%2.6%0.8%0.1%0.1%
24Seattle Kraken (15-18-2, 32 pts)36.937.97.381.05.0%3.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (13-15-6, 32 pts)34.136.311.679.86.6%2.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
26Montreal Canadiens (14-16-3, 31 pts)33.339.49.375.91.5%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Detroit Red Wings (13-16-4, 30 pts)32.539.310.275.21.0%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
28Anaheim Ducks (12-15-4, 28 pts)32.239.410.374.81.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29San Jose Sharks (11-19-6, 28 pts)29.041.111.970.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Nashville Predators (10-17-7, 27 pts)32.137.512.476.61.5%0.3%0.1%0.1%0.0%
31Buffalo Sabres (11-19-4, 26 pts)30.941.29.971.80.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Chicago Blackhawks (12-20-2, 26 pts)31.842.47.971.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.