Aalesund at Sarpsborg 08

Updated

Aalesund

15.2%19.1%65.7%
WinDrawSarpsborg 08 Win
0.97Projected Goals 2.21
1Final Score 3

Sarpsborg 08

Last 5 Games

Aalesund
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Molde+460
L 0-1 at Stabaek+370
T 0-0 vs Haugesund+115
L 0-3 at Molde+1250
L 0-4 at Sandefjord+230
Sarpsborg 08
Money Line
W 2-1 at Lillestrom+240
W 1-2 vs Brann+260
T 1-1 at Stabaek+180
T 0-0 at Haugesund+160
T 0-0 vs Odd-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aalesund+424+465+420+465+497+465+497+493.1
Sarpsborg 08-154-169-170-180-177-180-169-158.0
Draw+312+325+310+335+347+335+347+356.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aalesund+490----+490+490+493.1
Sarpsborg 08-185-----185-185-158.0
Draw+330----+330+330+356.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sarpsborg 08: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aalesund: 0.0%
Sarpsborg 08: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aalesund: 10.0%
Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aalesund ML moved from +485 to +465
Sarpsborg 08 ML moved from -172 to -179

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sarpsborg 08: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aalesund: 0.0%
Sarpsborg 08: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aalesund: 10.0%
Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aalesund ML moved from +510 to +490
Sarpsborg 08 ML moved from -185 to -195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-141o3+105o2¾-122o2¾-121o2½-146o2¾-121o2½-146o2¾-110
Underu2½+119u3-125u2¾+102u2¾+101u2½+131u2¾+101u3-125u2¾+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-110
Under-----u2¾+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.1%
 
No44.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.17%
Exactly 221.06%
Exactly 417.70%
Exactly 65.95%
Exactly 81.07%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.26%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 511.24%
Exactly 72.70%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Aalesund
Exactly 038.12%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.73%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarpsborg 08
Exactly 010.95%
Exactly 124.22%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 319.75%
Exactly 410.92%
Exactly 54.83%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 70.56%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.98%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 44.48%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.79%
Exactly 312.18%
Exactly 51.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aalesund
Exactly 063.98%
Exactly 128.57%
Exactly 26.38%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarpsborg 08
Exactly 035.91%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.83%
Exactly 36.43%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aalesund
Wins by 2+ goals5.01%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Sarpsborg 08
Wins by 2+ goals42.35%
Wins by 3+ goals22.64%
Wins by 4+ goals10.14%
Wins by 5+ goals3.85%
Wins by 6+ goals1.24%
Wins by 7+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Aalesund
Sarpsborg 08
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Aalesund
Wins by 1 goal10.15%
Wins by 2 goals3.74%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Sarpsborg 08
Wins by 1 goal23.27%
Wins by 2 goals19.71%
Wins by 3 goals12.51%
Wins by 4 goals6.29%
Wins by 5 goals2.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.83%4.17%
1.582.57%17.43%
2.561.51%38.49%
3.539.22%60.78%
4.521.52%78.48%
5.510.27%89.73%
6.54.32%95.68%
7.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Aalesund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.88%38.12%
1.525.12%74.88%
2.57.39%92.61%
3.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Sarpsborg 08 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.05%10.95%
1.564.83%35.17%
2.538.04%61.96%
3.518.30%81.70%
4.57.38%92.62%
5.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.02%22.98%
1.543.23%56.77%
2.518.38%81.62%
3.56.20%93.80%
4.51.72%98.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aalesund
Sarpsborg 08
Score012345
0
4.17%
9.23%
10.21%
7.53%
4.16%
1.84%
1
4.03%
8.90%
9.85%
7.26%
4.01%
1.78%
2
1.94%
4.29%
4.75%
3.50%
1.94%
0.86%
3
0.62%
1.38%
1.53%
1.13%
0.62%
0.28%
4
0.15%
0.33%
0.37%
0.27%
0.15%
0.07%
Aalesund
1-04.03%
2-01.94%
2-14.29%
3-00.62%
3-11.38%
3-21.53%
4-00.15%
4-10.33%
4-20.37%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-04.17%
1-18.90%
2-24.75%
3-31.13%
4-40.15%
Sarpsborg 08
0-19.23%
0-210.21%
1-29.85%
0-37.53%
1-37.26%
2-33.50%
0-44.16%
1-44.01%
2-41.94%
3-40.62%
0-51.84%
1-51.78%
2-50.86%
3-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Aalesund
Sarpsborg 08
Score012345
0
22.98%
23.53%
12.05%
4.11%
1.05%
0.22%
1
10.26%
10.51%
5.38%
1.84%
0.47%
0.10%
2
2.29%
2.35%
1.20%
0.41%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.34%
0.35%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Aalesund
1-010.26%
2-02.29%
2-12.35%
3-00.34%
3-10.35%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-022.98%
1-110.51%
2-21.20%
Sarpsborg 08
0-123.53%
0-212.05%
1-25.38%
0-34.11%
1-31.84%
2-30.41%
0-41.05%
1-40.47%
2-40.10%
0-50.22%