Sarpsborg 08 at Lillestrom

Updated

Sarpsborg 08

17.4%20.9%61.7%
WinDrawLillestrom Win
0.98Projected Goals 2.02
2Final Score 1

Lillestrom

Last 5 Games

Sarpsborg 08
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Brann+260
T 1-1 at Stabaek+180
T 0-0 at Haugesund+160
T 0-0 vs Odd-125
W 2-0 at Valerenga+245
Lillestrom
Money Line
W 1-0 at Odd+130
L 2-1 vs Bodo/Glimt+205
W 4-3 at Valerenga+150
W 1-2 vs Molde+220
W 3-4 vs Stromsgodset-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarpsborg 08+274+224+215+220+227+220+227+235.7
Lillestrom-101+119+115+118+122+118+122+128.7
Draw+270+264+245+260+265+260+265+277.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarpsborg 08+300----+240+240+235.7
Lillestrom-120----+110+110+128.7
Draw+290----+260+260+277.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sarpsborg 08: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sarpsborg 08 ML moved from +225 to +215
Lillestrom ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sarpsborg 08: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sarpsborg 08: 20.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sarpsborg 08 ML moved from +265 to +240
Lillestrom ML moved from -120 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-137o2½-140o2¾-110o2¾-108o3+126o2¾-108o2½-140o2¾+102
Underu2½+115u2½+118u2¾-110u2¾-112u3-141u2¾-112u3-141u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+102
Under-----u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.0%
 
No46.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.00%
Exactly 222.43%
Exactly 416.78%
Exactly 65.02%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.97%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.06%
Exactly 72.15%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarpsborg 08
Exactly 037.83%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.87%
Exactly 35.79%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 013.21%
Exactly 126.74%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.26%
Exactly 49.24%
Exactly 53.74%
Exactly 61.26%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.98%
Exactly 224.03%
Exactly 43.85%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.65%
Exactly 311.11%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarpsborg 08
Exactly 063.76%
Exactly 128.69%
Exactly 26.46%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 039.17%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.20%
Exactly 35.37%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sarpsborg 08
Wins by 2+ goals5.85%
Wins by 3+ goals1.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals37.71%
Wins by 3+ goals18.87%
Wins by 4+ goals7.81%
Wins by 5+ goals2.69%
Wins by 6+ goals0.75%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Sarpsborg 08
Lillestrom
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sarpsborg 08
Wins by 1 goal11.49%
Wins by 2 goals4.34%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal23.92%
Wins by 2 goals18.84%
Wins by 3 goals11.05%
Wins by 4 goals5.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.61%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.00%5.00%
1.580.03%19.97%
2.557.60%42.40%
3.535.19%64.81%
4.518.41%81.59%
5.58.35%91.65%
6.53.33%96.67%
7.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Sarpsborg 08 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.17%37.83%
1.525.39%74.61%
2.57.52%92.48%
3.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.79%13.21%
1.560.05%39.95%
2.532.99%67.01%
3.514.73%85.27%
4.55.49%94.51%
5.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.02%24.98%
1.540.38%59.62%
2.516.34%83.66%
3.55.23%94.77%
4.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sarpsborg 08
Lillestrom
Score012345
0
5.00%
10.12%
10.24%
6.91%
3.50%
1.42%
1
4.86%
9.83%
9.95%
6.72%
3.40%
1.38%
2
2.36%
4.78%
4.84%
3.26%
1.65%
0.67%
3
0.76%
1.55%
1.57%
1.06%
0.54%
0.22%
4
0.19%
0.38%
0.38%
0.26%
0.13%
0.05%
Sarpsborg 08
1-04.86%
2-02.36%
2-14.78%
3-00.76%
3-11.55%
3-21.57%
4-00.19%
4-10.38%
4-20.38%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-05.00%
1-19.83%
2-24.84%
3-31.06%
4-40.13%
Lillestrom
0-110.12%
0-210.24%
1-29.95%
0-36.91%
1-36.72%
2-33.26%
0-43.50%
1-43.40%
2-41.65%
3-40.54%
0-51.42%
1-51.38%
2-50.67%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Sarpsborg 08
Lillestrom
Score012345
0
24.98%
23.41%
10.97%
3.43%
0.80%
0.15%
1
11.24%
10.53%
4.94%
1.54%
0.36%
0.07%
2
2.53%
2.37%
1.11%
0.35%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.38%
0.36%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Sarpsborg 08
1-011.24%
2-02.53%
2-12.37%
3-00.38%
3-10.36%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-024.98%
1-110.53%
2-21.11%
Lillestrom
0-123.41%
0-210.97%
1-24.94%
0-33.43%
1-31.54%
2-30.35%
0-40.80%
1-40.36%
0-50.15%
Valerenga at Haugesund
Molde at Aalesund