Lillestrom at Valerenga

Updated

Lillestrom

37.0%26.9%36.1%
Lillestrom WinDrawValerenga Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.25
4Final Score 3

Valerenga

Last 5 Games

Lillestrom
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Molde+220
W 3-4 vs Stromsgodset-175
L 0-2 at Viking+215
W 1-3 vs HamKam-120
L 1-2 at Aalesund-120
Valerenga
Money Line
L 1-3 at Brann+525
L 2-0 vs Sarpsborg 08+105
W 1-0 at Aalesund+140
L 2-1 vs Molde+170
T 1-1 at Haugesund+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+211+158+145+150+157+150+158+162.5
Valerenga+132+180+175+181+190+181+190+195.0
Draw+247+238+220+240+244+240+244+257.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+170----+150+150+162.5
Valerenga+155----+180+180+195.0
Draw+250----+240+240+257.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Valerenga: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Valerenga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +145 to +138
Valerenga ML moved from +193 to +181

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Valerenga: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Valerenga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +150 to +135
Valerenga ML moved from +190 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-112o2½-115o2½-109o2½-109o2½-109o2½-109o2½+101
Underu2½+118u2½-106u2½-105u2½-111u2½-106u2½-111u2½-105u2½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+101
Under-----u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-118 to u2½-109

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.12%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 413.45%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.39%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.75%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 028.24%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 39.52%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Valerenga
Exactly 028.75%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.33%
Exactly 39.28%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.27%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 055.69%
Exactly 132.60%
Exactly 29.54%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valerenga
Exactly 056.15%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 29.35%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals16.14%
Wins by 3+ goals5.49%
Wins by 4+ goals1.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Valerenga
Wins by 2+ goals15.58%
Wins by 3+ goals5.24%
Wins by 4+ goals1.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Lillestrom
Valerenga
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal20.79%
Wins by 2 goals10.65%
Wins by 3 goals4.00%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Valerenga
Wins by 1 goal20.49%
Wins by 2 goals10.35%
Wins by 3 goals3.83%
Wins by 4 goals1.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.88%8.12%
1.571.49%28.51%
2.545.90%54.10%
3.524.48%75.52%
4.511.03%88.97%
5.54.28%95.72%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.76%28.24%
1.536.05%63.95%
2.513.48%86.52%
3.53.96%96.04%

Total Goals Valerenga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.25%28.75%
1.535.41%64.59%
2.513.07%86.93%
3.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.73%31.27%
1.532.38%67.62%
2.511.25%88.75%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lillestrom
Valerenga
Score012345
0
8.12%
10.12%
6.31%
2.62%
0.82%
0.20%
1
10.27%
12.80%
7.98%
3.31%
1.03%
0.26%
2
6.49%
8.09%
5.04%
2.09%
0.65%
0.16%
3
2.74%
3.41%
2.13%
0.88%
0.28%
0.07%
4
0.86%
1.08%
0.67%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.22%
0.27%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Lillestrom
1-010.27%
2-06.49%
2-18.09%
3-02.74%
3-13.41%
3-22.13%
4-00.86%
4-11.08%
4-20.67%
4-30.28%
5-00.22%
5-10.27%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-08.12%
1-112.80%
2-25.04%
3-30.88%
Valerenga
0-110.12%
0-26.31%
1-27.98%
0-32.62%
1-33.31%
2-32.09%
0-40.82%
1-41.03%
2-40.65%
3-40.28%
0-50.20%
1-50.26%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Lillestrom
Valerenga
Score01234
0
31.27%
18.05%
5.21%
1.00%
0.14%
1
18.31%
10.56%
3.05%
0.59%
0.08%
2
5.36%
3.09%
0.89%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.05%
0.60%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Lillestrom
1-018.31%
2-05.36%
2-13.09%
3-01.05%
3-10.60%
3-20.17%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-031.27%
1-110.56%
2-20.89%
Valerenga
0-118.05%
0-25.21%
1-23.05%
0-31.00%
1-30.59%
2-30.17%
0-40.14%