Lillestrom at Haugesund

Updated

Lillestrom

45.7%24.8%29.5%
Lillestrom WinDrawHaugesund Win
1.59Projected Goals 1.22
2Final Score 0

Haugesund

Last 5 Games

Lillestrom
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Kristiansund-180
L 0-1 at Sandefjord+300
T 4-4 vs Odd-160
L 0-4 at Molde+365
W 0-1 vs Haugesund-125
Haugesund
Money Line
W 2-1 at Odd+290
W 0-3 vs Stabaek-125
L 1-2 at Tromso+460
L 2-0 vs Brann+315
L 0-1 at Lillestrom+305

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+190+136+140+134+127+134+140+145.8
Haugesund+135+207+190+210+208+210+210+225.6
Draw+235+243+230+233+240+233+243+249.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+185----+140+140+145.8
Haugesund+145----+195+195+225.6
Draw+245----+240+240+249.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Haugesund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 10.0%
Haugesund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Haugesund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +140 to +134
Haugesund ML moved from +172 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Haugesund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 20.0%
Haugesund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Haugesund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +160 to +140
Haugesund ML moved from +195 to +175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-108o2½-105o2½-106o2½-108o2½-106o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-108u2½-108u2½-115u2½-114u2½-112u2½-114u2½-108u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.1%
 
No43.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.05%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 415.61%
Exactly 64.09%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.97%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.76%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 020.55%
Exactly 132.51%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 313.57%
Exactly 45.37%
Exactly 51.70%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Haugesund
Exactly 029.45%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 38.97%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.29%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 39.96%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 048.06%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 212.90%
Exactly 33.15%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Haugesund
Exactly 056.77%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals23.34%
Wins by 3+ goals9.53%
Wins by 4+ goals3.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.88%
Haugesund
Wins by 2+ goals12.19%
Wins by 3+ goals3.95%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Lillestrom
Haugesund
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal22.35%
Wins by 2 goals13.81%
Wins by 3 goals6.35%
Wins by 4 goals2.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.68%
Haugesund
Wins by 1 goal17.27%
Wins by 2 goals8.24%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.95%6.05%
1.576.98%23.02%
2.553.18%46.82%
3.530.92%69.08%
4.515.31%84.69%
5.56.56%93.44%
6.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.45%20.55%
1.546.94%53.06%
2.521.21%78.79%
3.57.64%92.36%
4.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Haugesund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.55%29.45%
1.534.55%65.45%
2.512.55%87.45%
3.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.71%27.29%
1.537.27%62.73%
2.514.26%85.74%
3.54.30%95.70%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lillestrom
Haugesund
Score012345
0
6.05%
7.40%
4.52%
1.84%
0.56%
0.14%
1
9.57%
11.71%
7.16%
2.92%
0.89%
0.22%
2
7.58%
9.26%
5.66%
2.31%
0.71%
0.17%
3
4.00%
4.89%
2.99%
1.22%
0.37%
0.09%
4
1.58%
1.93%
1.18%
0.48%
0.15%
0.04%
5
0.50%
0.61%
0.37%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Lillestrom
1-09.57%
2-07.58%
2-19.26%
3-04.00%
3-14.89%
3-22.99%
4-01.58%
4-11.93%
4-21.18%
4-30.48%
5-00.50%
5-10.61%
5-20.37%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.05%
1-111.71%
2-25.66%
3-31.22%
4-40.15%
Haugesund
0-17.40%
0-24.52%
1-27.16%
0-31.84%
1-32.92%
2-32.31%
0-40.56%
1-40.89%
2-40.71%
3-40.37%
0-50.14%
1-50.22%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Lillestrom
Haugesund
Score01234
0
27.29%
15.45%
4.37%
0.82%
0.12%
1
19.99%
11.32%
3.20%
0.60%
0.09%
2
7.32%
4.15%
1.17%
0.22%
0.03%
3
1.79%
1.01%
0.29%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.33%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Lillestrom
1-019.99%
2-07.32%
2-14.15%
3-01.79%
3-11.01%
3-20.29%
4-00.33%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-027.29%
1-111.32%
2-21.17%
Haugesund
0-115.45%
0-24.37%
1-23.20%
0-30.82%
1-30.60%
2-30.22%
0-40.12%