Stromsgodset at Lillestrom

Updated

Stromsgodset

23.4%18.7%57.9%
Stromsgodset WinDrawLillestrom Win
0.90Projected Goals 2.23
1Final Score 4

Lillestrom

Last 5 Games

Stromsgodset
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Mjondalen-155
T 1-1 at Tromso+380
W 0-6 vs Molde+400
L 0-2 at Sandefjord+240
T 1-1 vs Bodo/Glimt+310
Lillestrom
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bodo/Glimt+550
T 0-0 vs Valerenga+105
W 3-1 at Rosenborg+490
W 0-3 vs Stabaek-195
L 1-5 at Viking+325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stromsgodset+340+500+510+555+593+510+593+595.4
Lillestrom-132-218-200-201-224-200-200-190.3
Draw+270+340+355+377+346+355+377+398.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stromsgodset+340----+510+510+595.4
Lillestrom-135-----190-190-190.3
Draw+300----+350+350+398.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stromsgodset: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stromsgodset: 30.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stromsgodset: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stromsgodset ML moved from +564 to +554
Lillestrom ML moved from -210 to -224

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stromsgodset: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stromsgodset: 20.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stromsgodset: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stromsgodset ML moved from +390 to +365
Lillestrom ML moved from -170 to -190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-108o3-113o3-108-o3-113o3-108o3+100
Underu3-125u3-112u3-107u3-107-u3-107u3-107u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+100
Under-----u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.37%
Exactly 221.41%
Exactly 417.49%
Exactly 65.71%
Exactly 81.00%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.68%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.95%
Exactly 72.55%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Stromsgodset
Exactly 040.64%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.47%
Exactly 34.94%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 010.75%
Exactly 123.98%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 319.88%
Exactly 411.08%
Exactly 54.94%
Exactly 61.84%
Exactly 70.59%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.47%
Exactly 224.65%
Exactly 44.32%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.02%
Exactly 311.91%
Exactly 51.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stromsgodset
Exactly 065.91%
Exactly 127.48%
Exactly 25.73%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 035.61%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.98%
Exactly 36.53%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stromsgodset
Wins by 2+ goals4.34%
Wins by 3+ goals1.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals44.06%
Wins by 3+ goals23.83%
Wins by 4+ goals10.78%
Wins by 5+ goals4.14%
Wins by 6+ goals1.35%
Wins by 7+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Stromsgodset
Lillestrom
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Stromsgodset
Wins by 1 goal9.45%
Wins by 2 goals3.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals20.23%
Wins by 3 goals13.04%
Wins by 4 goals6.65%
Wins by 5 goals2.79%
Wins by 6 goals0.99%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.63%4.37%
1.581.95%18.05%
2.560.54%39.46%
3.538.20%61.80%
4.520.71%79.29%
5.59.76%90.24%
6.54.05%95.95%
7.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Stromsgodset Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.36%40.64%
1.522.77%77.23%
2.56.29%93.71%
3.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.25%10.75%
1.565.27%34.73%
2.538.54%61.46%
3.518.66%81.34%
4.57.58%92.42%
5.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.53%23.47%
1.542.51%57.49%
2.517.86%82.14%
3.55.95%94.05%
4.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stromsgodset
Lillestrom
Score012345
0
4.37%
9.74%
10.87%
8.08%
4.50%
2.01%
1
3.93%
8.77%
9.78%
7.27%
4.05%
1.81%
2
1.77%
3.95%
4.40%
3.27%
1.83%
0.81%
3
0.53%
1.19%
1.32%
0.98%
0.55%
0.24%
4
0.12%
0.27%
0.30%
0.22%
0.12%
0.06%
Stromsgodset
1-03.93%
2-01.77%
2-13.95%
3-00.53%
3-11.19%
3-21.32%
4-00.12%
4-10.27%
4-20.30%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-04.37%
1-18.77%
2-24.40%
3-30.98%
4-40.12%
Lillestrom
0-19.74%
0-210.87%
1-29.78%
0-38.08%
1-37.27%
2-33.27%
0-44.50%
1-44.05%
2-41.83%
3-40.55%
0-52.01%
1-51.81%
2-50.81%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Stromsgodset
Lillestrom
Score012345
0
23.47%
24.23%
12.51%
4.31%
1.11%
0.23%
1
9.78%
10.10%
5.22%
1.80%
0.46%
0.10%
2
2.04%
2.11%
1.09%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.28%
0.29%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Stromsgodset
1-09.78%
2-02.04%
2-12.11%
3-00.28%
3-10.29%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-023.47%
1-110.10%
2-21.09%
Lillestrom
0-124.23%
0-212.51%
1-25.22%
0-34.31%
1-31.80%
2-30.37%
0-41.11%
1-40.46%
0-50.23%