Lillestrom at Sarpsborg 08

Updated

Lillestrom

32.9%25.8%41.2%
Lillestrom WinDrawSarpsborg 08 Win
1.24Projected Goals 1.43
0Final Score 1

Sarpsborg 08

Last 5 Games

Lillestrom
Money Line
T 1-1 vs HamKam-185
W 1-0 at Sandefjord+120
L 5-0 vs Bodo/Glimt+215
W 2-0 at Haugesund+140
L 3-2 vs Kristiansund-180
Sarpsborg 08
Money Line
W 3-0 at Tromso+245
L 1-0 vs Odd-135
L 0-1 at Viking+265
L 0-2 at Bodo/Glimt+465
L 3-1 vs Molde+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+214+210+210+210+216+210+216+225.5
Sarpsborg 08+114+125+125+118+113+118+125+128.9
Draw+294+266+240+272+264+272+272+290.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+205----+190+190+225.5
Sarpsborg 08+115----+130+130+128.9
Draw+290----+270+270+290.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 10.0%
Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +195 to +185
Sarpsborg 08 ML moved from +130 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Sarpsborg 08: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Sarpsborg 08: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +205 to +180
No Steam Moves On Sarpsborg 08 ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+112o2¾-120o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-104
Underu3-113u3-132u2¾+100u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u3-132u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2¾-117

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.90%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 414.70%
Exactly 63.50%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.44%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 57.86%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 028.72%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarpsborg 08
Exactly 024.01%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 311.62%
Exactly 44.14%
Exactly 51.18%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.99%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 39.17%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 056.12%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 29.36%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarpsborg 08
Exactly 051.66%
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 211.27%
Exactly 32.48%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals14.01%
Wins by 3+ goals4.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Sarpsborg 08
Wins by 2+ goals19.53%
Wins by 3+ goals7.31%
Wins by 4+ goals2.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal18.90%
Wins by 2 goals9.35%
Wins by 3 goals3.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Sarpsborg 08
Wins by 1 goal21.61%
Wins by 2 goals12.22%
Wins by 3 goals5.11%
Wins by 4 goals1.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.10%6.90%
1.574.66%25.34%
2.550.00%50.00%
3.528.02%71.98%
4.513.33%86.67%
5.55.47%94.53%
6.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.28%28.72%
1.535.45%64.55%
2.513.10%86.90%
3.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals Sarpsborg 08 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.99%24.01%
1.541.73%58.27%
2.517.29%82.71%
3.55.68%94.32%
4.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.01%28.99%
1.535.11%64.89%
2.512.89%87.11%
3.53.72%96.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08
Score012345
0
6.90%
9.84%
7.02%
3.34%
1.19%
0.34%
1
8.60%
12.27%
8.75%
4.16%
1.48%
0.42%
2
5.37%
7.66%
5.46%
2.60%
0.93%
0.26%
3
2.23%
3.18%
2.27%
1.08%
0.39%
0.11%
4
0.70%
0.99%
0.71%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.17%
0.25%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Lillestrom
1-08.60%
2-05.37%
2-17.66%
3-02.23%
3-13.18%
3-22.27%
4-00.70%
4-10.99%
4-20.71%
4-30.34%
5-00.17%
5-10.25%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-06.90%
1-112.27%
2-25.46%
3-31.08%
4-40.12%
Sarpsborg 08
0-19.84%
0-27.02%
1-28.75%
0-33.34%
1-34.16%
2-32.60%
0-41.19%
1-41.48%
2-40.93%
3-40.39%
0-50.34%
1-50.42%
2-50.26%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08
Score01234
0
28.99%
19.15%
6.32%
1.39%
0.23%
1
16.75%
11.06%
3.65%
0.80%
0.13%
2
4.84%
3.20%
1.06%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.93%
0.62%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Lillestrom
1-016.75%
2-04.84%
2-13.20%
3-00.93%
3-10.62%
3-20.20%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-028.99%
1-111.06%
2-21.06%
Sarpsborg 08
0-119.15%
0-26.32%
1-23.65%
0-31.39%
1-30.80%
2-30.23%
0-40.23%
1-40.13%