Arouca at Tondela

Updated

Arouca

29.5%28.7%41.9%
Arouca WinDrawTondela Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.24
2Final Score 2

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Pacos+130
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+850
T 1-1 vs Moreirense+125
W 3-1 at Vitoria+350
L 3-0 vs Maritimo+125
Tondela
Money Line
L 0-4 at Porto+2000
T 1-1 vs Belenenses-120
L 1-2 at Famalicao+415
L 1-0 vs Braga+400
L 0-1 at Estoril+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+235+195+190+191+183+190+195+206.5
Tondela+110+145+157+162+154+157+162+175.2
Draw+235+215+189+208+221+189+221+222.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+185----+180+180+206.5
Tondela+155----+165+165+175.2
Draw+225----+215+215+222.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Tondela: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +179 to +171
Tondela ML moved from +167 to +153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Tondela: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
No Steam Moves On Tondela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2¼+102o2¼+102o2¼+102-o2¼+102o2¼+102o2¼+109
Underu2½-102u2¼-122u2¼-122u2¼-117-u2¼-122u2¼-117u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.82%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 411.02%
Exactly 61.82%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.07%
Exactly 319.83%
Exactly 54.90%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 037.24%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 35.98%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 029.06%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 222.19%
Exactly 39.14%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.72%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 41.67%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 063.30%
Exactly 128.95%
Exactly 26.62%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 056.43%
Exactly 132.29%
Exactly 29.24%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals10.74%
Wins by 3+ goals2.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals18.46%
Wins by 3+ goals6.28%
Wins by 4+ goals1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Tondela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal18.69%
Wins by 2 goals7.78%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal23.38%
Wins by 2 goals12.18%
Wins by 3 goals4.58%
Wins by 4 goals1.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.18%10.82%
1.565.11%34.89%
2.538.36%61.64%
3.518.53%81.47%
4.57.51%92.49%
5.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.76%37.24%
1.525.97%74.03%
2.57.81%92.19%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.94%29.06%
1.535.02%64.98%
2.512.83%87.17%
3.53.69%96.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.28%35.72%
1.527.51%72.49%
2.58.58%91.42%
3.52.08%97.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Tondela
Score012345
0
10.82%
13.37%
8.26%
3.40%
1.05%
0.26%
1
10.69%
13.21%
8.16%
3.36%
1.04%
0.26%
2
5.28%
6.52%
4.03%
1.66%
0.51%
0.13%
3
1.74%
2.15%
1.33%
0.55%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.43%
0.53%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-010.69%
2-05.28%
2-16.52%
3-01.74%
3-12.15%
3-21.33%
4-00.43%
4-10.53%
4-20.33%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.82%
1-113.21%
2-24.03%
3-30.55%
Tondela
0-113.37%
0-28.26%
1-28.16%
0-33.40%
1-33.36%
2-31.66%
0-41.05%
1-41.04%
2-40.51%
3-40.17%
0-50.26%
1-50.26%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Tondela
Score01234
0
35.72%
20.44%
5.85%
1.11%
0.16%
1
16.34%
9.35%
2.67%
0.51%
0.07%
2
3.74%
2.14%
0.61%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.57%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-016.34%
2-03.74%
2-12.14%
3-00.57%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-035.72%
1-19.35%
2-20.61%
Tondela
0-120.44%
0-25.85%
1-22.67%
0-31.11%
1-30.51%
2-30.12%
0-40.16%
Famalicão at FC Vizela
Belenenses at Santa Clara