SC Farense at Estrela

Updated

SC Farense

27.0%28.3%44.7%
SC Farense WinDrawEstrela Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.29
3Final Score 0

Estrela

Last 5 Games

SC Farense
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Benfica+725
T 1-1 at Vitoria+560
W 0-2 vs Boavista+110
L 1-2 at Arouca+375
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+175
Estrela
Money Line
T 1-1 at Boavista+170
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+150
T 2-2 at Moreirense+270
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+1100
T 0-0 at Famalicao+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SC Farense+200-+320+285+365+285+365+315.2
Estrela+140--110-116-118-116-110+100.8
Draw+210-+230+255+250+255+255+282.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SC Farense+235----+315+315+315.2
Estrela+120-----110-110+100.8
Draw+235----+250+250+282.9

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
SC Farense: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SC Farense: 30.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

SC Farense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SC Farense: 80.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

SC Farense ML moved from +300 to +290
Estrela ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SC Farense: 30.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

SC Farense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SC Farense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

SC Farense ML moved from +240 to +225
Estrela ML moved from +105 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115-o2½-110o2½-115o2½-113o2½-115o2½-110o2½-104
Underu2¼-105-u2½-110u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.81%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 411.04%
Exactly 61.82%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.04%
Exactly 319.84%
Exactly 54.91%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - SC Farense
Exactly 039.26%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.16%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 027.52%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 222.91%
Exactly 39.85%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.69%
Exactly 218.94%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - SC Farense
Exactly 064.86%
Exactly 128.08%
Exactly 26.08%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 055.03%
Exactly 132.87%
Exactly 29.82%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

SC Farense
Wins by 2+ goals9.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals20.42%
Wins by 3+ goals7.22%
Wins by 4+ goals2.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

SC Farense
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
SC Farense
Wins by 1 goal17.55%
Wins by 2 goals6.93%
Wins by 3 goals1.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal24.22%
Wins by 2 goals13.20%
Wins by 3 goals5.18%
Wins by 4 goals1.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.19%10.81%
1.565.15%34.85%
2.538.40%61.60%
3.518.56%81.44%
4.57.52%92.48%
5.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals SC Farense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.74%39.26%
1.524.03%75.97%
2.56.87%93.13%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.48%27.52%
1.536.97%63.03%
2.514.06%85.94%
3.54.21%95.79%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.31%35.69%
1.527.54%72.46%
2.58.59%91.41%
3.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

SC Farense
Estrela
Score012345
0
10.81%
13.94%
8.99%
3.87%
1.25%
0.32%
1
10.10%
13.03%
8.41%
3.62%
1.17%
0.30%
2
4.72%
6.09%
3.93%
1.69%
0.55%
0.14%
3
1.47%
1.90%
1.23%
0.53%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.34%
0.44%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
SC Farense
1-010.10%
2-04.72%
2-16.09%
3-01.47%
3-11.90%
3-21.23%
4-00.34%
4-10.44%
4-20.29%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.81%
1-113.03%
2-23.93%
3-30.53%
Estrela
0-113.94%
0-28.99%
1-28.41%
0-33.87%
1-33.62%
2-31.69%
0-41.25%
1-41.17%
2-40.55%
3-40.17%
0-50.32%
1-50.30%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

SC Farense
Estrela
Score01234
0
35.69%
21.32%
6.37%
1.27%
0.19%
1
15.45%
9.23%
2.76%
0.55%
0.08%
2
3.34%
2.00%
0.60%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.48%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
SC Farense
1-015.45%
2-03.34%
2-12.00%
3-00.48%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-035.69%
1-19.23%
2-20.60%
Estrela
0-121.32%
0-26.37%
1-22.76%
0-31.27%
1-30.55%
2-30.12%
0-40.19%
Sporting CP at Porto
FC Vizela at Moreirense