Estrela at Moreirense

Updated

Estrela

19.6%24.4%56.0%
WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.65
2Final Score 2

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+1100
T 0-0 at Famalicao+340
W 1-3 vs Casa Pia AC+140
L 0-3 at Braga+800
T 1-1 vs Chaves-110
Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Vitoria+335
W 0-1 vs Arouca+125
L 0-1 at Boavista+145
T 0-0 vs Rio Ave+130
W 1-0 at SC Farense+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+300-+250+220+256+220+256+246.4
Moreirense-105-+115+121+119+121+121+139.2
Draw+230-+225+215+229+215+229+241.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+330----+270+270+246.4
Moreirense-105----+110+110+139.2
Draw+225----+230+230+241.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 30.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +273 to +256
Moreirense ML moved from +110 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 70.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +285 to +250
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115-o2-128o2-124o2¼+106o2-124o2-124o2-113
Underu2¼-105-u2+108u2+104u2¼-126u2+104u2¼-126u2+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-113
Under-----u2+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.05%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 413.52%
Exactly 62.86%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.28%
Exactly 321.46%
Exactly 56.81%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 042.07%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.77%
Exactly 34.55%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 019.13%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 226.17%
Exactly 314.43%
Exactly 45.97%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.14%
Exactly 221.19%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.24%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 066.97%
Exactly 126.85%
Exactly 25.38%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 046.49%
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 213.63%
Exactly 33.48%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals6.24%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals30.58%
Wins by 3+ goals13.28%
Wins by 4+ goals4.70%
Wins by 5+ goals1.38%
Wins by 6+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal13.30%
Wins by 2 goals4.74%
Wins by 3 goals1.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.41%
Wins by 2 goals17.30%
Wins by 3 goals8.58%
Wins by 4 goals3.32%
Wins by 5 goals1.05%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.95%8.05%
1.571.68%28.32%
2.546.13%53.87%
3.524.67%75.33%
4.511.15%88.85%
5.54.34%95.66%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.93%42.07%
1.521.50%78.50%
2.55.74%94.26%
3.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.87%19.13%
1.549.24%50.76%
2.523.07%76.93%
3.58.64%91.36%
4.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.86%31.14%
1.532.53%67.47%
2.511.34%88.66%
3.53.10%96.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Moreirense
Score012345
0
8.05%
13.31%
11.01%
6.07%
2.51%
0.83%
1
6.97%
11.52%
9.53%
5.25%
2.17%
0.72%
2
3.02%
4.99%
4.13%
2.27%
0.94%
0.31%
3
0.87%
1.44%
1.19%
0.66%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.19%
0.31%
0.26%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Estrela
1-06.97%
2-03.02%
2-14.99%
3-00.87%
3-11.44%
3-21.19%
4-00.19%
4-10.31%
4-20.26%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.05%
1-111.52%
2-24.13%
3-30.66%
Moreirense
0-113.31%
0-211.01%
1-29.53%
0-36.07%
1-35.25%
2-32.27%
0-42.51%
1-42.17%
2-40.94%
3-40.27%
0-50.83%
1-50.72%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Moreirense
Score01234
0
31.14%
23.85%
9.13%
2.33%
0.45%
1
12.48%
9.56%
3.66%
0.93%
0.18%
2
2.50%
1.92%
0.73%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.33%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Estrela
1-012.48%
2-02.50%
2-11.92%
3-00.33%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-031.14%
1-19.56%
2-20.73%
Moreirense
0-123.85%
0-29.13%
1-23.66%
0-32.33%
1-30.93%
2-30.19%
0-40.45%
1-40.18%
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