Estrela at Braga

Updated

Estrela

6.9%13.8%79.3%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.63Projected Goals 2.59
0Final Score 3

Braga

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Chaves-110
L 0-2 at Porto+1400
W 0-3 vs Portimonense-105
L 0-1 at Estoril+290
L 4-1 vs Benfica+1050
Braga
Money Line
W 4-0 at Boavista-140
W 1-2 vs SC Farense-230
L 0-5 at Sporting CP+550
W 0-1 vs Moreirense-225
T 1-1 vs Chaves-330

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+625-+650+750+742+750+750+790.9
Braga-265--275-290-276-290-275-244.1
Draw+380-+390+435+429+435+435+460.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+775----+800+800+790.9
Braga-310-----310-310-244.1
Draw+455----+445+445+460.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +766 to +742
Braga ML moved from -293 to -301

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +775 to +700
Braga ML moved from -295 to -310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108-o3-108o3-112o3-108o3-112o3-108o3-102
Underu3-112-u3-112u3-108u3-110u3-108u3-108u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-102
Under-----u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.99%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 417.91%
Exactly 66.20%
Exactly 81.15%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.85%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 511.54%
Exactly 72.85%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 052.92%
Exactly 133.68%
Exactly 210.72%
Exactly 32.27%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 07.54%
Exactly 119.48%
Exactly 225.19%
Exactly 321.71%
Exactly 414.03%
Exactly 57.26%
Exactly 63.13%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.50%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 44.64%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.56%
Exactly 312.45%
Exactly 51.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 074.48%
Exactly 121.95%
Exactly 23.23%
Exactly 30.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 030.21%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 221.64%
Exactly 38.64%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals1.61%
Wins by 3+ goals0.27%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals57.77%
Wins by 3+ goals35.45%
Wins by 4+ goals18.38%
Wins by 5+ goals8.15%
Wins by 6+ goals3.12%
Wins by 7+ goals1.04%
Wins by 8+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal5.28%
Wins by 2 goals1.34%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal21.46%
Wins by 2 goals22.32%
Wins by 3 goals17.07%
Wins by 4 goals10.23%
Wins by 5 goals5.03%
Wins by 6 goals2.09%
Wins by 7 goals0.75%
Wins by 8 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.01%3.99%
1.583.16%16.84%
2.562.47%37.53%
3.540.24%59.76%
4.522.33%77.67%
5.510.79%89.21%
6.54.60%95.40%
7.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.08%52.92%
1.513.40%86.60%
2.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.46%7.54%
1.572.98%27.02%
2.547.79%52.21%
3.526.09%73.91%
4.512.05%87.95%
5.54.80%95.20%
6.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.50%22.50%
1.543.94%56.06%
2.518.91%81.09%
3.56.46%93.54%
4.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Braga
Score012345
0
3.99%
10.31%
13.33%
11.49%
7.43%
3.84%
1
2.54%
6.56%
8.48%
7.31%
4.73%
2.44%
2
0.81%
2.09%
2.70%
2.33%
1.50%
0.78%
3
0.17%
0.44%
0.57%
0.49%
0.32%
0.16%
Estrela
1-02.54%
2-00.81%
2-12.09%
3-00.17%
3-10.44%
3-20.57%
Draw
0-03.99%
1-16.56%
2-22.70%
3-30.49%
Braga
0-110.31%
0-213.33%
1-28.48%
0-311.49%
1-37.31%
2-32.33%
0-47.43%
1-44.73%
2-41.50%
3-40.32%
0-53.84%
1-52.44%
2-50.78%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Braga
Score012345
0
22.50%
26.93%
16.12%
6.43%
1.93%
0.46%
1
6.63%
7.94%
4.75%
1.90%
0.57%
0.14%
2
0.98%
1.17%
0.70%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
Estrela
1-06.63%
2-00.98%
2-11.17%
Draw
0-022.50%
1-17.94%
2-20.70%
Braga
0-126.93%
0-216.12%
1-24.75%
0-36.43%
1-31.90%
2-30.28%
0-41.93%
1-40.57%
0-50.46%
1-50.14%
Vitória at Estoril
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