Estrela at Estoril

Updated

Estrela

24.5%27.2%48.3%
Estrela WinDrawEstoril Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.40
0Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Benfica+1050
L 0-3 at Vitoria+510
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+260
T 1-1 vs FC Vizela+185
L 4-1 vs Arouca+175
Estoril
Money Line
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+235
L 2-1 vs Arouca+145
L 3-1 vs Moreirense+140
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+1000
W 0-4 vs SC Farense-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+220-+260+290+291+290+291+309.6
Estoril+120--105-105-106-105-105+105.1
Draw+225-+265+255+269+255+269+272.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+270----+290+290+309.6
Estoril+105-----105-105+105.1
Draw+240----+255+255+272.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 10.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +270 to +264
Estoril ML moved from +105 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +295 to +260
Estoril ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125-o2½-108o2½-107o2½-107o2½-107o2½-107o2½+103
Underu2¼+105-u2½-112u2½-113u2½-111u2½-113u2½-111u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.87%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 411.83%
Exactly 62.11%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.85%
Exactly 320.43%
Exactly 55.48%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 040.13%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.73%
Exactly 35.09%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 024.59%
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 224.20%
Exactly 311.31%
Exactly 43.97%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.22%
Exactly 219.67%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 065.53%
Exactly 127.70%
Exactly 25.85%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 052.23%
Exactly 133.92%
Exactly 211.02%
Exactly 32.39%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals8.29%
Wins by 3+ goals2.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals23.46%
Wins by 3+ goals8.88%
Wins by 4+ goals2.69%
Wins by 5+ goals0.65%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal16.15%
Wins by 2 goals6.17%
Wins by 3 goals1.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal24.82%
Wins by 2 goals14.58%
Wins by 3 goals6.19%
Wins by 4 goals2.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.13%9.87%
1.567.28%32.72%
2.540.81%59.19%
3.520.39%79.61%
4.58.56%91.44%
5.53.08%96.92%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.87%40.13%
1.523.23%76.77%
2.56.50%93.50%
3.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.41%24.59%
1.540.91%59.09%
2.516.72%83.28%
3.55.40%94.60%
4.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.78%34.22%
1.529.08%70.92%
2.59.41%90.59%
3.52.37%97.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Estoril
Score012345
0
9.87%
13.84%
9.71%
4.54%
1.59%
0.45%
1
9.01%
12.64%
8.87%
4.15%
1.45%
0.41%
2
4.11%
5.77%
4.05%
1.89%
0.66%
0.19%
3
1.25%
1.76%
1.23%
0.58%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.29%
0.40%
0.28%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
Estrela
1-09.01%
2-04.11%
2-15.77%
3-01.25%
3-11.76%
3-21.23%
4-00.29%
4-10.40%
4-20.28%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-09.87%
1-112.64%
2-24.05%
3-30.58%
Estoril
0-113.84%
0-29.71%
1-28.87%
0-34.54%
1-34.15%
2-31.89%
0-41.59%
1-41.45%
2-40.66%
3-40.20%
0-50.45%
1-50.41%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Estoril
Score01234
0
34.22%
22.23%
7.22%
1.56%
0.25%
1
14.47%
9.40%
3.05%
0.66%
0.11%
2
3.06%
1.99%
0.64%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.43%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Estrela
1-014.47%
2-03.06%
2-11.99%
3-00.43%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-034.22%
1-19.40%
2-20.64%
Estoril
0-122.23%
0-27.22%
1-23.05%
0-31.56%
1-30.66%
2-30.14%
0-40.25%
1-40.11%