Arouca at Estoril

Updated

Arouca

29.9%29.7%40.4%
Arouca WinDrawEstoril Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.16
2Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 1-2 at Vitoria+360
L 3-0 vs Benfica+675
W 4-1 at Estrela+165
W 0-3 vs Gil Vicente FC-105
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+110
Estoril
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Moreirense+140
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+1000
W 0-4 vs SC Farense-115
T 1-1 at Famalicao+215
W 0-4 vs Chaves-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+187+182+170+180+180+180+182+193.8
Estoril+159+148+150+145+145+145+150+157.1
Draw+228+254+240+252+252+252+254+269.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+185----+185+185+193.8
Estoril+150----+145+145+157.1
Draw+235----+245+245+269.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +188 to +180
Estoril ML moved from +150 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
No Steam Moves On Estoril ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-101o2½-127o2¾-112o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2½-127o2¾+109
Underu2½-117u2½+107u2¾-108u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-108u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.0%
 
No58.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.19%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 49.97%
Exactly 61.47%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.65%
Exactly 318.94%
Exactly 54.20%
Exactly 70.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 038.69%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.52%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 031.50%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.02%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.74%
Exactly 217.92%
Exactly 41.42%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.82%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 064.42%
Exactly 128.33%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 058.58%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 28.38%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals10.65%
Wins by 3+ goals2.85%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals17.04%
Wins by 3+ goals5.50%
Wins by 4+ goals1.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal19.19%
Wins by 2 goals7.80%
Wins by 3 goals2.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal23.35%
Wins by 2 goals11.54%
Wins by 3 goals4.09%
Wins by 4 goals1.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.81%12.19%
1.562.16%37.84%
2.535.17%64.83%
3.516.23%83.77%
4.56.26%93.74%
5.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.31%38.69%
1.524.57%75.43%
2.57.13%92.87%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.50%31.50%
1.532.11%67.89%
2.511.09%88.91%
3.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.26%37.74%
1.525.49%74.51%
2.57.57%92.43%
3.51.75%98.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Estoril
Score012345
0
12.19%
14.08%
8.13%
3.13%
0.90%
0.21%
1
11.57%
13.37%
7.72%
2.97%
0.86%
0.20%
2
5.50%
6.35%
3.67%
1.41%
0.41%
0.09%
3
1.74%
2.01%
1.16%
0.45%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.41%
0.48%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Arouca
1-011.57%
2-05.50%
2-16.35%
3-01.74%
3-12.01%
3-21.16%
4-00.41%
4-10.48%
4-20.28%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-012.19%
1-113.37%
2-23.67%
3-30.45%
Estoril
0-114.08%
0-28.13%
1-27.72%
0-33.13%
1-32.97%
2-31.41%
0-40.90%
1-40.86%
2-40.41%
3-40.13%
0-50.21%
1-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Estoril
Score01234
0
37.74%
20.18%
5.40%
0.96%
0.13%
1
16.59%
8.87%
2.37%
0.42%
0.06%
2
3.65%
1.95%
0.52%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.53%
0.29%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-016.59%
2-03.65%
2-11.95%
3-00.53%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-037.74%
1-18.87%
2-20.52%
Estoril
0-120.18%
0-25.40%
1-22.37%
0-30.96%
1-30.42%
0-40.13%