Chaves at Estoril

Updated

Chaves

19.2%24.6%56.2%
WinDrawEstoril Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.64
0Final Score 4

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
W 1-2 vs FC Vizela+185
L 1-2 at Portimonense+200
L 2-0 vs Benfica+925
L 0-5 at Vitoria+410
W 2-4 vs Gil Vicente FC+170
Estoril
Money Line
L 1-3 at Braga+600
W 0-4 vs Casa Pia AC+145
W 1-0 at Porto+1250
L 0-1 at Portimonense+175
L 1-0 vs Benfica+800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+255+310+300+295+323+320+323+341.1
Estoril+100-112-115-110-119-120-112-108.1
Draw+250+275+260+266+281+275+281+293.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+260----+290+290+341.1
Estoril+100-----110-110-108.1
Draw+265----+270+270+293.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +280 to +270
Estoril ML moved from -110 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chaves ML
Estoril ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-125o2½-122o2½-125o2½-118o2½-125o2½-118o2½-114
Underu2½+102u2½+107u2½+102u2½+105u2½+100u2½+105u2½+107u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-114
Under-----u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.42%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 413.16%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.83%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.51%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 043.20%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.22%
Exactly 34.26%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 019.48%
Exactly 131.87%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 314.21%
Exactly 45.81%
Exactly 51.90%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.79%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 42.28%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 067.80%
Exactly 126.35%
Exactly 25.12%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 046.89%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.45%
Exactly 33.39%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals5.98%
Wins by 3+ goals1.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals30.57%
Wins by 3+ goals13.19%
Wins by 4+ goals4.63%
Wins by 5+ goals1.35%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal13.16%
Wins by 2 goals4.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal25.64%
Wins by 2 goals17.38%
Wins by 3 goals8.56%
Wins by 4 goals3.28%
Wins by 5 goals1.03%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.58%8.42%
1.570.75%29.25%
2.544.97%55.03%
3.523.71%76.29%
4.510.55%89.45%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.80%43.20%
1.520.54%79.46%
2.55.32%94.68%
3.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.52%19.48%
1.548.65%51.35%
2.522.59%77.41%
3.58.38%91.62%
4.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.21%31.79%
1.531.77%68.23%
2.510.90%89.10%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Estoril
Score012345
0
8.42%
13.77%
11.26%
6.14%
2.51%
0.82%
1
7.06%
11.56%
9.45%
5.15%
2.11%
0.69%
2
2.97%
4.85%
3.97%
2.16%
0.88%
0.29%
3
0.83%
1.36%
1.11%
0.60%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.17%
0.28%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Chaves
1-07.06%
2-02.97%
2-14.85%
3-00.83%
3-11.36%
3-21.11%
4-00.17%
4-10.28%
4-20.23%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-08.42%
1-111.56%
2-23.97%
3-30.60%
Estoril
0-113.77%
0-211.26%
1-29.45%
0-36.14%
1-35.15%
2-32.16%
0-42.51%
1-42.11%
2-40.88%
3-40.25%
0-50.82%
1-50.69%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Estoril
Score01234
0
31.79%
24.08%
9.12%
2.30%
0.44%
1
12.36%
9.36%
3.54%
0.89%
0.17%
2
2.40%
1.82%
0.69%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.31%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-012.36%
2-02.40%
2-11.82%
3-00.31%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-031.79%
1-19.36%
2-20.69%
Estoril
0-124.08%
0-29.12%
1-23.54%
0-32.30%
1-30.89%
2-30.17%
0-40.44%
1-40.17%