Benfica at Estoril

Updated

Benfica

72.4%17.3%10.3%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.27Projected Goals 0.72
1Final Score 0

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Porto-115
W 3-1 at Portimonense-475
W 2-1 at FC Vizela-300
W 0-4 vs Vitoria-400
W 3-2 at Gil Vicente FC-350
Estoril
Money Line
L 2-3 at Vitoria+330
T 2-2 vs FC Vizela+155
L 3-5 at Gil Vicente FC+280
L 2-1 vs Boavista+170
L 1-2 at Estrela+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-345-317-335-360-360-360-317-293.6
Estoril+800+805+700+850+850+850+850+896.7
Draw+460+492+475+520+520+520+520+550.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-355-----365-365-293.6
Estoril+875----+800+800+896.7
Draw+485----+535+535+550.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -345 to -360
Estoril ML moved from +650 to +625

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -345 to -365
Estoril ML moved from +800 to +775

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½-105o3½-108o3½-106o3½-106o3½-106o3½-105o3½+104
Underu3+105u3½-111u3½-112u3½-114u3½-114u3½-114u3½-111u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+104
Under-----u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-106 to o3½+104
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.05%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 416.72%
Exactly 64.97%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.08%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.98%
Exactly 72.12%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 010.39%
Exactly 123.53%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 320.10%
Exactly 411.38%
Exactly 55.15%
Exactly 61.94%
Exactly 70.63%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 048.62%
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 212.64%
Exactly 33.04%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.10%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 311.05%
Exactly 51.06%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 035.05%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.26%
Exactly 36.73%
Exactly 41.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 071.61%
Exactly 123.91%
Exactly 23.99%
Exactly 30.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals48.60%
Wins by 3+ goals27.00%
Wins by 4+ goals12.52%
Wins by 5+ goals4.92%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals2.68%
Wins by 3+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Estoril
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal23.69%
Wins by 2 goals21.60%
Wins by 3 goals14.48%
Wins by 4 goals7.61%
Wins by 5 goals3.27%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal7.54%
Wins by 2 goals2.17%
Wins by 3 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.95%5.05%
1.579.87%20.13%
2.557.35%42.65%
3.534.95%65.05%
4.518.23%81.77%
5.58.25%91.75%
6.53.28%96.72%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.61%10.39%
1.566.08%33.92%
2.539.45%60.55%
3.519.34%80.66%
4.57.96%92.04%
5.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.38%48.62%
1.516.32%83.68%
2.53.68%96.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.90%25.10%
1.540.20%59.80%
2.516.22%83.78%
3.55.17%94.83%
4.51.36%98.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Estoril
Score0123
0
5.05%
3.64%
1.31%
0.32%
1
11.44%
8.25%
2.97%
0.72%
2
12.95%
9.34%
3.37%
0.81%
3
9.77%
7.05%
2.54%
0.61%
4
5.53%
3.99%
1.44%
0.35%
5
2.51%
1.81%
0.65%
0.16%
Benfica
1-011.44%
2-012.95%
2-19.34%
3-09.77%
3-17.05%
3-22.54%
4-05.53%
4-13.99%
4-21.44%
4-30.35%
5-02.51%
5-11.81%
5-20.65%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.05%
1-18.25%
2-23.37%
3-30.61%
Estoril
0-13.64%
0-21.31%
1-22.97%
0-30.32%
1-30.72%
2-30.81%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Estoril
Score0123
0
25.10%
8.38%
1.40%
0.16%
1
26.31%
8.79%
1.47%
0.16%
2
13.79%
4.61%
0.77%
0.09%
3
4.82%
1.61%
0.27%
0.03%
4
1.26%
0.42%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.09%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-026.31%
2-013.79%
2-14.61%
3-04.82%
3-11.61%
3-20.27%
4-01.26%
4-10.42%
5-00.26%
Draw
0-025.10%
1-18.79%
2-20.77%
Estoril
0-18.38%
0-21.40%
1-21.47%
0-30.16%
1-30.16%