Estoril at Estrela

Updated

Estoril

31.6%29.5%38.9%
Estoril WinDrawEstrela Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 2

Estrela

Last Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave+160
L 3-4 at Arouca+285
W 1-3 vs Maritimo+140
T 2-2 at Casa Pia AC+255
W 0-2 vs Arouca+160
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-2 at Benfica+1600
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+195-+220+230+234+230+234+246.3
Estrela+165-+130+128+128+128+130+139.2
Draw+185-+215+225+229+225+229+241.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+160----+225+225+246.3
Estrela+185----+130+130+139.2
Draw+220----+220+220+241.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +250 to +235
Estrela ML moved from +142 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
Estrela ML moved from +170 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105-o2¼-108o2¼-113o2¼-109o2¼-113o2¼-108o2¼-103
Underu2¼-125-u2¼-112u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-103
Under-----u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.1%
 
No56.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.71%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.32%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.12%
Exactly 319.25%
Exactly 54.43%
Exactly 70.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 036.74%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.42%
Exactly 36.15%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 031.88%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.05%
Exactly 218.26%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.04%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 062.90%
Exactly 129.16%
Exactly 26.76%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 058.90%
Exactly 131.18%
Exactly 28.25%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals11.74%
Wins by 3+ goals3.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals16.09%
Wins by 3+ goals5.06%
Wins by 4+ goals1.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal19.85%
Wins by 2 goals8.46%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal22.66%
Wins by 2 goals11.02%
Wins by 3 goals3.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.29%11.71%
1.563.17%36.83%
2.536.24%63.76%
3.516.99%83.01%
4.56.66%93.34%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.26%36.74%
1.526.47%73.53%
2.58.05%91.95%
3.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.12%31.88%
1.531.68%68.32%
2.510.84%89.16%
3.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.95%37.05%
1.526.16%73.84%
2.57.90%92.10%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Estrela
Score012345
0
11.71%
13.39%
7.65%
2.92%
0.83%
0.19%
1
11.73%
13.41%
7.66%
2.92%
0.83%
0.19%
2
5.87%
6.71%
3.84%
1.46%
0.42%
0.10%
3
1.96%
2.24%
1.28%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.49%
0.56%
0.32%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Estoril
1-011.73%
2-05.87%
2-16.71%
3-01.96%
3-12.24%
3-21.28%
4-00.49%
4-10.56%
4-20.32%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.71%
1-113.41%
2-23.84%
3-30.49%
Estrela
0-113.39%
0-27.65%
1-27.66%
0-32.92%
1-32.92%
2-31.46%
0-40.83%
1-40.83%
2-40.42%
3-40.14%
0-50.19%
1-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Estrela
Score01234
0
37.05%
19.61%
5.19%
0.92%
0.12%
1
17.18%
9.09%
2.41%
0.42%
0.06%
2
3.98%
2.11%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.62%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-017.18%
2-03.98%
2-12.11%
3-00.62%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-037.05%
1-19.09%
2-20.56%
Estrela
0-119.61%
0-25.19%
1-22.41%
0-30.92%
1-30.42%
0-40.12%
Moreirense at Famalicão
Portimonense at Arouca