Estoril at Estrela

Updated

Estoril

31.6%29.5%38.9%
Estoril WinDrawEstrela Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 2

Estrela

Last Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave+160
L 3-4 at Arouca+285
W 1-3 vs Maritimo+140
T 2-2 at Casa Pia AC+255
W 0-2 vs Arouca+160
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-2 at Benfica+1600
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+195-+220+230+234+230+234+246.3
Estrela+165-+130+128+128+128+130+139.2
Draw+185-+215+225+229+225+229+241.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+160----+225+225+246.3
Estrela+185----+130+130+139.2
Draw+220----+220+220+241.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +250 to +235
Estrela ML moved from +142 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
Estrela ML moved from +170 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105-o2¼-108o2¼-113o2¼-109o2¼-113o2¼-108o2¼-103
Underu2¼-125-u2¼-112u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-103
Under-----u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.1%
 
No56.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.71%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.32%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.12%
Exactly 319.25%
Exactly 54.43%
Exactly 70.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 036.74%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.42%
Exactly 36.15%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 031.88%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.05%
Exactly 218.26%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.04%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 062.90%
Exactly 129.16%
Exactly 26.76%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 058.90%
Exactly 131.18%
Exactly 28.25%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals11.74%
Wins by 3+ goals3.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals16.09%
Wins by 3+ goals5.06%
Wins by 4+ goals1.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal19.85%
Wins by 2 goals8.46%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal22.66%
Wins by 2 goals11.02%
Wins by 3 goals3.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.29%11.71%
1.563.17%36.83%
2.536.24%63.76%
3.516.99%83.01%
4.56.66%93.34%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.26%36.74%
1.526.47%73.53%
2.58.05%91.95%
3.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.12%31.88%
1.531.68%68.32%
2.510.84%89.16%
3.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.95%37.05%
1.526.16%73.84%
2.57.90%92.10%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Estrela
Score012345
0
11.71%
13.39%
7.65%
2.92%
0.83%
0.19%
1
11.73%
13.41%
7.66%
2.92%
0.83%
0.19%
2
5.87%
6.71%
3.84%
1.46%
0.42%
0.10%
3
1.96%
2.24%
1.28%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.49%
0.56%
0.32%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Estoril
1-011.73%
2-05.87%
2-16.71%
3-01.96%
3-12.24%
3-21.28%
4-00.49%
4-10.56%
4-20.32%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.71%
1-113.41%
2-23.84%
3-30.49%
Estrela
0-113.39%
0-27.65%
1-27.66%
0-32.92%
1-32.92%
2-31.46%
0-40.83%
1-40.83%
2-40.42%
3-40.14%
0-50.19%
1-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Estrela
Score01234
0
37.05%
19.61%
5.19%
0.92%
0.12%
1
17.18%
9.09%
2.41%
0.42%
0.06%
2
3.98%
2.11%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.62%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-017.18%
2-03.98%
2-12.11%
3-00.62%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-037.05%
1-19.09%
2-20.56%
Estrela
0-119.61%
0-25.19%
1-22.41%
0-30.92%
1-30.42%
0-40.12%