Marítimo at Estoril

Updated

Maritimo

27.6%29.2%43.1%
Marítimo WinDrawEstoril Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.22
1Final Score 3

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Maritimo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela-135
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+1500
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+105
L 2-1 vs Vitoria+140
L 2-3 at Famalicao+265
Estoril
Money Line
T 2-2 at Casa Pia AC+255
W 0-2 vs Arouca+160
L 0-1 at Boavista+265
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara+110
L 0-1 at Benfica+1900

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marítimo+307+233+215+240+239+240+240+256.7
Estoril-103+119+115+115+119+115+119+125.6
Draw+248+254+260+245+258+245+260+261.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marítimo+220----+190+190+256.7
Estoril+125----+140+140+125.6
Draw+240----+245+245+261.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marítimo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marítimo: 10.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marítimo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marítimo: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marítimo ML moved from +251 to +244
Estoril ML moved from +130 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marítimo: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Estoril: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marítimo: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marítimo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marítimo: 0.0%
Estoril: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marítimo ML moved from +215 to +190
Estoril ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2½-118o2½-118o2½-125o2½-116o2½-125o2½-116o2½-114
Underu2½-128u2½+100u2½-102u2½+105u2½+101u2½+105u2½+105u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-114
Under-----u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.2%
 
No57.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.86%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.21%
Exactly 61.55%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.29%
Exactly 319.15%
Exactly 54.35%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Maritimo
Exactly 040.13%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.73%
Exactly 35.09%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 029.56%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.27%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Maritimo
Exactly 065.52%
Exactly 127.70%
Exactly 25.86%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 056.88%
Exactly 132.09%
Exactly 29.06%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Maritimo
Wins by 2+ goals9.51%
Wins by 3+ goals2.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals18.98%
Wins by 3+ goals6.42%
Wins by 4+ goals1.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Maritimo
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Maritimo
Wins by 1 goal18.09%
Wins by 2 goals7.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal24.14%
Wins by 2 goals12.57%
Wins by 3 goals4.69%
Wins by 4 goals1.36%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.14%11.86%
1.562.85%37.15%
2.535.90%64.10%
3.516.74%83.26%
4.56.53%93.47%
5.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Maritimo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.87%40.13%
1.523.23%76.77%
2.56.50%93.50%
3.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.44%29.56%
1.534.41%65.59%
2.512.46%87.54%
3.53.54%96.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.73%37.27%
1.525.95%74.05%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Marítimo
Estoril
Score012345
0
11.86%
14.46%
8.81%
3.58%
1.09%
0.27%
1
10.83%
13.20%
8.04%
3.27%
1.00%
0.24%
2
4.95%
6.03%
3.67%
1.49%
0.45%
0.11%
3
1.51%
1.83%
1.12%
0.45%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.34%
0.42%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Maritimo
1-010.83%
2-04.95%
2-16.03%
3-01.51%
3-11.83%
3-21.12%
4-00.34%
4-10.42%
4-20.26%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-011.86%
1-113.20%
2-23.67%
3-30.45%
Estoril
0-114.46%
0-28.81%
1-28.04%
0-33.58%
1-33.27%
2-31.49%
0-41.09%
1-41.00%
2-40.45%
3-40.14%
0-50.27%
1-50.24%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Marítimo
Estoril
Score01234
0
37.27%
21.03%
5.93%
1.12%
0.16%
1
15.76%
8.89%
2.51%
0.47%
0.07%
2
3.33%
1.88%
0.53%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.47%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Maritimo
1-015.76%
2-03.33%
2-11.88%
3-00.47%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-037.27%
1-18.89%
2-20.53%
Estoril
0-121.03%
0-25.93%
1-22.51%
0-31.12%
1-30.47%
0-40.16%
Casa Pia AC at Gil Vicente FC
Boavista at Chaves