Arouca at Estoril

Updated

Arouca

33.3%30.2%36.6%
Arouca WinDrawEstoril Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.07
0Final Score 2

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Porto+800
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+225
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+170
T 1-1 at Sporting CP+1100
W 0-1 vs Maritimo+120
Estoril
Money Line
L 0-1 at Boavista+265
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara+110
L 0-1 at Benfica+1900
L 1-0 vs Portimonense+125
L 1-4 at Braga+1000

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+173+192+180+184+189+184+189+198.2
Estoril+180+165+160+168+171+168+171+181.4
Draw+215+213+205+208+208+208+213+223.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+185----+190+190+198.2
Estoril+155----+160+160+181.4
Draw+225----+210+210+223.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +192 to +184
Estoril ML moved from +165 to +155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +200 to +190
No Steam Moves On Estoril ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-131o2½+122o2¼-105o2¼+100o2½+132o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+109
Underu2+111u2½-144u2¼-115u2¼-120u2½-147u2¼-120u2½-144u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-146 to o2½+117
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.6%
 
No58.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.57%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.69%
Exactly 61.39%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 126.06%
Exactly 318.69%
Exactly 54.02%
Exactly 70.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 036.60%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.49%
Exactly 36.20%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 034.34%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.62%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.28%
Exactly 217.65%
Exactly 41.36%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 062.79%
Exactly 129.22%
Exactly 26.80%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 060.96%
Exactly 130.17%
Exactly 27.47%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals12.47%
Wins by 3+ goals3.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals14.42%
Wins by 3+ goals4.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Estoril
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal20.75%
Wins by 2 goals8.95%
Wins by 3 goals2.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal22.06%
Wins by 2 goals10.12%
Wins by 3 goals3.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.43%12.57%
1.561.37%38.63%
2.534.34%65.66%
3.515.65%84.35%
4.55.96%94.04%
5.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.40%36.60%
1.526.62%73.38%
2.58.13%91.87%
3.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.66%34.34%
1.528.96%71.04%
2.59.34%90.66%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.72%38.28%
1.524.97%75.03%
2.57.32%92.68%
3.51.67%98.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Estoril
Score012345
0
12.57%
13.43%
7.18%
2.56%
0.68%
0.15%
1
12.63%
13.50%
7.22%
2.57%
0.69%
0.15%
2
6.35%
6.79%
3.63%
1.29%
0.35%
0.07%
3
2.13%
2.27%
1.22%
0.43%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.53%
0.57%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-012.63%
2-06.35%
2-16.79%
3-02.13%
3-12.27%
3-21.22%
4-00.53%
4-10.57%
4-20.31%
4-30.11%
5-00.11%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-012.57%
1-113.50%
2-23.63%
3-30.43%
Estoril
0-113.43%
0-27.18%
1-27.22%
0-32.56%
1-32.57%
2-31.29%
0-40.68%
1-40.69%
2-40.35%
3-40.12%
0-50.15%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Estoril
Score0123
0
38.28%
18.94%
4.69%
0.77%
1
17.81%
8.82%
2.18%
0.36%
2
4.15%
2.05%
0.51%
0.08%
3
0.64%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
Arouca
1-017.81%
2-04.15%
2-12.05%
3-00.64%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-038.28%
1-18.82%
2-20.51%
Estoril
0-118.94%
0-24.69%
1-22.18%
0-30.77%
1-30.36%
Casa Pia AC at Porto
FC Vizela at Marítimo