Arouca at Sporting CP

Updated

Arouca

5.8%13.0%81.2%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.62
1Final Score 1

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Maritimo+120
W 1-0 at Famalicao+315
T 1-1 vs Pacos+120
W 2-0 at Vitoria+310
W 0-2 vs Casa Pia AC+145
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 4-3 at Casa Pia AC-260
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC-255
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara-1000
W 0-3 vs Boavista-370
W 1-0 at Portimonense-315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1298+1183+1100+1200+1122+1200+1200+1263.6
Sporting CP-435-416-435-450-435-450-416-354.5
Draw+544+542+500+550+609+550+609+581.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1425----+1100+1100+1263.6
Sporting CP-525-----425-425-354.5
Draw+600----+540+540+581.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 10.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1154 to +1122
Sporting CP ML moved from -428 to -435

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1200 to +1000
Sporting CP ML moved from -400 to -470

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-101o3-105o3-105o3-107o3+104o3-107o3+104o3+103
Underu3-117u3-113u3-115u3-113u3-119u3-113u3-113u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+103
Under-----u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-112 to o3¼+100
The Under moved from u3¼-120 to u3-113

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.9%
 
No60.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.16%
Exactly 221.03%
Exactly 417.72%
Exactly 65.97%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.23%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 511.27%
Exactly 72.71%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 056.93%
Exactly 132.07%
Exactly 29.03%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 07.31%
Exactly 119.12%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 414.27%
Exactly 57.46%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 80.40%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.94%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 44.49%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 312.20%
Exactly 51.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 077.04%
Exactly 120.09%
Exactly 22.62%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals60.07%
Wins by 3+ goals37.41%
Wins by 4+ goals19.68%
Wins by 5+ goals8.85%
Wins by 6+ goals3.44%
Wins by 7+ goals1.16%
Wins by 8+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Sporting CP
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal4.55%
Wins by 2 goals1.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal21.13%
Wins by 2 goals22.66%
Wins by 3 goals17.73%
Wins by 4 goals10.83%
Wins by 5 goals5.41%
Wins by 6 goals2.28%
Wins by 7 goals0.83%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.84%4.16%
1.582.61%17.39%
2.561.58%38.42%
3.539.29%60.71%
4.521.58%78.42%
5.510.31%89.69%
6.54.34%95.66%
7.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.07%56.93%
1.511.00%89.00%
2.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.69%7.31%
1.573.58%26.42%
2.548.57%51.43%
3.526.76%73.24%
4.512.49%87.51%
5.55.02%94.98%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.06%22.94%
1.543.28%56.72%
2.518.42%81.58%
3.56.22%93.78%
4.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
4.16%
10.88%
14.24%
12.42%
8.12%
4.25%
1
2.34%
6.13%
8.02%
6.99%
4.58%
2.39%
2
0.66%
1.73%
2.26%
1.97%
1.29%
0.67%
3
0.12%
0.32%
0.42%
0.37%
0.24%
0.13%
Arouca
1-02.34%
2-00.66%
2-11.73%
3-00.12%
3-10.32%
3-20.42%
Draw
0-04.16%
1-16.13%
2-22.26%
3-30.37%
Sporting CP
0-110.88%
0-214.24%
1-28.02%
0-312.42%
1-36.99%
2-31.97%
0-48.12%
1-44.58%
2-41.29%
3-40.24%
0-54.25%
1-52.39%
2-50.67%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score0123456
0
22.94%
27.79%
16.83%
6.80%
2.06%
0.50%
0.10%
1
5.98%
7.25%
4.39%
1.77%
0.54%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.78%
0.95%
0.57%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-05.98%
2-00.78%
2-10.95%
Draw
0-022.94%
1-17.25%
2-20.57%
Sporting CP
0-127.79%
0-216.83%
1-24.39%
0-36.80%
1-31.77%
2-30.23%
0-42.06%
1-40.54%
0-50.50%
1-50.13%
0-60.10%