Arouca at Vitória

Updated

Arouca

21.6%25.3%53.1%
Arouca WinDrawVitória Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.58
2Final Score 0

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Casa Pia AC+145
L 0-2 at Braga+640
W 0-1 vs Santa Clara+110
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+235
L 3-0 vs Benfica+950
Vitoria
Money Line
W 3-1 at Santa Clara+180
W 1-2 vs Braga+290
T 0-0 at Casa Pia AC+215
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-115
W 1-0 at Estoril+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+313+294+270+315+313+315+315+335.2
Vitória-102+109+110+100+110+100+110+109.7
Draw+242+224+210+225+222+225+225+240.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+285----+310+310+335.2
Vitória+105----+100+100+109.7
Draw+230----+230+230+240.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 10.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +270 to +260
Vitória ML moved from +100 to -100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +300 to +285
Vitória ML moved from +110 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2-134o2¼+105o2¼+105o2½+142o2¼+105o2-134o2¼+114
Underu2½-147u2+114u2¼-125u2¼-125u2½-157u2¼-125u2¼-125u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.34%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 413.23%
Exactly 62.72%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.72%
Exactly 321.31%
Exactly 56.57%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 040.44%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.57%
Exactly 35.00%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 020.63%
Exactly 132.56%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 313.52%
Exactly 45.34%
Exactly 51.68%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.66%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 065.76%
Exactly 127.56%
Exactly 25.78%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 048.15%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 212.86%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals7.16%
Wins by 3+ goals1.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals27.91%
Wins by 3+ goals11.59%
Wins by 4+ goals3.87%
Wins by 5+ goals1.02%
Wins by 6+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Vitoria
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal14.40%
Wins by 2 goals5.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.11%
Wins by 2 goals16.32%
Wins by 3 goals7.72%
Wins by 4 goals2.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.84%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.66%8.34%
1.570.93%29.07%
2.545.20%54.80%
3.523.89%76.11%
4.510.67%89.33%
5.54.09%95.91%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.56%40.44%
1.522.95%77.05%
2.56.37%93.63%
3.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.37%20.63%
1.546.81%53.19%
2.521.11%78.89%
3.57.59%92.41%
4.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.34%31.66%
1.531.92%68.08%
2.510.98%89.02%
3.52.96%97.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Vitoria
Score012345
0
8.34%
13.17%
10.39%
5.47%
2.16%
0.68%
1
7.55%
11.92%
9.41%
4.95%
1.95%
0.62%
2
3.42%
5.40%
4.26%
2.24%
0.88%
0.28%
3
1.03%
1.63%
1.29%
0.68%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.23%
0.37%
0.29%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Arouca
1-07.55%
2-03.42%
2-15.40%
3-01.03%
3-11.63%
3-21.29%
4-00.23%
4-10.37%
4-20.29%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.34%
1-111.92%
2-24.26%
3-30.68%
Vitoria
0-113.17%
0-210.39%
1-29.41%
0-35.47%
1-34.95%
2-32.24%
0-42.16%
1-41.95%
2-40.88%
3-40.27%
0-50.68%
1-50.62%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Vitoria
Score01234
0
31.66%
23.14%
8.46%
2.06%
0.38%
1
13.27%
9.70%
3.54%
0.86%
0.16%
2
2.78%
2.03%
0.74%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.39%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Arouca
1-013.27%
2-02.78%
2-12.03%
3-00.39%
3-10.28%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-031.66%
1-19.70%
2-20.74%
Vitoria
0-123.14%
0-28.46%
1-23.54%
0-32.06%
1-30.86%
2-30.18%
0-40.38%
1-40.16%
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