Benfica at Arouca

Updated

Benfica

76.8%15.1%8.1%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.47Projected Goals 0.67
3Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 2-0 at Pacos-520
W 3-0 at Santa Clara-400
T 2-2 vs Sporting CP-120
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-625
L 0-3 at Braga-140
Arouca
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Portimonense+145
T 1-1 at Chaves+215
W 0-2 vs Estoril+125
L 1-5 at Porto+1600
L 1-0 vs Rio Ave+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-286-297-305-335-309-335-297-274.4
Arouca+827+903+775+950+937+950+950+969.0
Draw+424+421+400+440+459+440+459+476.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-310-----340-340-274.4
Arouca+800----+950+950+969.0
Draw+440----+450+450+476.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Benfica: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -298 to -308
Arouca ML moved from +947 to +937

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Benfica: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -320 to -340
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o3+116o2¾-118o2¾-115o3+120o2¾-115o3+120o3+126
Underu3-122u3-136u2¾-102u2¾-105u3-135u2¾-105u3-135u3-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+126
Under-----u3-126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.35%
Exactly 221.37%
Exactly 417.51%
Exactly 65.74%
Exactly 81.01%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.63%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.98%
Exactly 72.57%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 08.50%
Exactly 120.96%
Exactly 225.83%
Exactly 321.22%
Exactly 413.07%
Exactly 56.44%
Exactly 62.65%
Exactly 70.93%
Exactly 80.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 051.13%
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 211.50%
Exactly 32.57%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.42%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 44.33%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 311.94%
Exactly 51.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 031.95%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.80%
Exactly 37.91%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 073.30%
Exactly 122.77%
Exactly 23.54%
Exactly 30.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals54.28%
Wins by 3+ goals32.12%
Wins by 4+ goals15.97%
Wins by 5+ goals6.75%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.97%
Wins by 3+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal22.38%
Wins by 2 goals22.16%
Wins by 3 goals16.15%
Wins by 4 goals9.23%
Wins by 5 goals4.32%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal6.08%
Wins by 2 goals1.63%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.65%4.35%
1.582.02%17.98%
2.560.65%39.35%
3.538.31%61.69%
4.520.80%79.20%
5.59.82%90.18%
6.54.08%95.92%
7.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.50%8.50%
1.570.54%29.46%
2.544.71%55.29%
3.523.49%76.51%
4.510.42%89.58%
5.53.97%96.03%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.87%51.13%
1.514.57%85.43%
2.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.58%23.42%
1.542.59%57.41%
2.517.91%82.09%
3.55.97%94.03%
4.51.64%98.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Arouca
Score0123
0
4.35%
2.92%
0.98%
0.22%
1
10.72%
7.19%
2.41%
0.54%
2
13.21%
8.86%
2.97%
0.66%
3
10.85%
7.28%
2.44%
0.55%
4
6.68%
4.48%
1.50%
0.34%
5
3.30%
2.21%
0.74%
0.17%
Benfica
1-010.72%
2-013.21%
2-18.86%
3-010.85%
3-17.28%
3-22.44%
4-06.68%
4-14.48%
4-21.50%
4-30.34%
5-03.30%
5-12.21%
5-20.74%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-04.35%
1-17.19%
2-22.97%
3-30.55%
Arouca
0-12.92%
0-20.98%
1-22.41%
0-30.22%
1-30.54%
2-30.66%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Arouca
Score0123
0
23.42%
7.27%
1.13%
0.12%
1
26.72%
8.30%
1.29%
0.13%
2
15.25%
4.74%
0.74%
0.08%
3
5.80%
1.80%
0.28%
0.03%
4
1.65%
0.51%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.38%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Benfica
1-026.72%
2-015.25%
2-14.74%
3-05.80%
3-11.80%
3-20.28%
4-01.65%
4-10.51%
5-00.38%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-023.42%
1-18.30%
2-20.74%
Arouca
0-17.27%
0-21.13%
1-21.29%
0-30.12%
1-30.13%
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