Arouca at Chaves

Updated

Arouca

24.5%27.0%48.5%
Arouca WinDrawChaves Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.42
1Final Score 1

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Estoril+125
L 1-5 at Porto+1600
L 1-0 vs Rio Ave+130
W 1-0 at FC Vizela+305
W 0-1 vs Sporting CP+440
Chaves
Money Line
T 1-1 at Pacos+165
L 2-0 vs Famalicao+155
W 2-1 at Casa Pia AC+260
T 0-0 vs Santa Clara+140
L 0-5 at Benfica+2000

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+205+209+235+187+209+187+215+219.0
Chaves+150+145+115+144+153+144+153+161.2
Draw+195+224+235+210+219+210+235+229.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+235----+215+215+219.0
Chaves+120----+140+140+161.2
Draw+235----+215+215+229.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Chaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +215 to +209
Chaves ML moved from +128 to +119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Chaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +225 to +215
No Steam Moves On Chaves ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2½+117o2¼-112o2¼-106o2½+125o2¼-106o2¼-106o2½+131
Underu2¼-122u2½-137u2¼-108u2¼-114u2½-140u2¼-114u2½-137u2½-131
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+131
Under-----u2½-131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-142 to o2½+117
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.60%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 412.07%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.49%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 55.66%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 039.66%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.96%
Exactly 35.23%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 024.20%
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 224.36%
Exactly 311.52%
Exactly 44.09%
Exactly 51.16%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.79%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 065.17%
Exactly 127.90%
Exactly 25.97%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 051.84%
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 211.19%
Exactly 32.45%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals8.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals23.69%
Wins by 3+ goals9.04%
Wins by 4+ goals2.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Chaves
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal16.12%
Wins by 2 goals6.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal24.73%
Wins by 2 goals14.64%
Wins by 3 goals6.28%
Wins by 4 goals2.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.40%9.60%
1.567.91%32.09%
2.541.55%58.45%
3.520.96%79.04%
4.58.89%91.11%
5.53.24%96.76%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.34%39.66%
1.523.66%76.34%
2.56.70%93.30%
3.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.80%24.20%
1.541.47%58.53%
2.517.11%82.89%
3.55.59%94.41%
4.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.21%33.79%
1.529.55%70.45%
2.59.66%90.34%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Chaves
Score012345
0
9.60%
13.62%
9.66%
4.57%
1.62%
0.46%
1
8.88%
12.59%
8.93%
4.23%
1.50%
0.43%
2
4.10%
5.82%
4.13%
1.95%
0.69%
0.20%
3
1.26%
1.79%
1.27%
0.60%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.29%
0.41%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Arouca
1-08.88%
2-04.10%
2-15.82%
3-01.26%
3-11.79%
3-21.27%
4-00.29%
4-10.41%
4-20.29%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-09.60%
1-112.59%
2-24.13%
3-30.60%
Chaves
0-113.62%
0-29.66%
1-28.93%
0-34.57%
1-34.23%
2-31.95%
0-41.62%
1-41.50%
2-40.69%
3-40.21%
0-50.46%
1-50.43%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Chaves
Score01234
0
33.79%
22.20%
7.29%
1.60%
0.26%
1
14.47%
9.50%
3.12%
0.68%
0.11%
2
3.10%
2.03%
0.67%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.44%
0.29%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-014.47%
2-03.10%
2-12.03%
3-00.44%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-033.79%
1-19.50%
2-20.67%
Chaves
0-122.20%
0-27.29%
1-23.12%
0-31.60%
1-30.68%
2-30.15%
0-40.26%
1-40.11%
Boavista at Braga
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