Arouca at Braga

Updated

Arouca

9.1%16.4%74.5%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.34
0Final Score 2

Braga

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Santa Clara+110
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+235
L 3-0 vs Benfica+950
W 0-4 vs Portimonense+145
T 1-1 at Chaves+215
Braga
Money Line
W 2-1 at Maritimo-120
W 1-4 vs Famalicao-190
L 0-5 at Sporting CP+325
W 2-1 at Pacos-250
W 0-1 vs Boavista-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+800+678+600+665+714+665+714+703.0
Braga-325-225-235-227-241-227-225-195.3
Draw+420+356+340+345+376+345+376+367.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+725----+640+640+703.0
Braga-260-----225-225-195.3
Draw+380----+350+350+367.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +722 to +714
Braga ML moved from -217 to -225

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +590 to +575
Braga ML moved from -215 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o2½-137o2¾-105o2¾-104o3+125o2¾-104o2½-137o2¾+105
Underu3-120u2½+115u2¾-115u2¾-116u3-140u2¾-116u3-140u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+105
Under-----u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-108 to u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.89%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 416.91%
Exactly 65.13%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.75%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.21%
Exactly 72.21%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 050.62%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.73%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 09.65%
Exactly 122.57%
Exactly 226.38%
Exactly 320.56%
Exactly 412.01%
Exactly 55.62%
Exactly 62.19%
Exactly 70.73%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.72%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 311.25%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 072.96%
Exactly 123.00%
Exactly 23.62%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 033.88%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.85%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals2.26%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals51.20%
Wins by 3+ goals29.19%
Wins by 4+ goals13.92%
Wins by 5+ goals5.63%
Wins by 6+ goals1.94%
Wins by 7+ goals0.55%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal6.77%
Wins by 2 goals1.85%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal23.27%
Wins by 2 goals22.01%
Wins by 3 goals15.27%
Wins by 4 goals8.29%
Wins by 5 goals3.69%
Wins by 6 goals1.38%
Wins by 7 goals0.44%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.11%4.89%
1.580.36%19.64%
2.558.10%41.90%
3.535.69%64.31%
4.518.79%81.21%
5.58.58%91.42%
6.53.45%96.55%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.38%50.62%
1.514.92%85.08%
2.53.18%96.82%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.35%9.65%
1.567.78%32.22%
2.541.39%58.61%
3.520.84%79.16%
4.58.82%91.18%
5.53.21%96.79%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.28%24.72%
1.540.73%59.27%
2.516.59%83.41%
3.55.35%94.65%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Braga
Score012345
0
4.89%
11.42%
13.35%
10.41%
6.08%
2.84%
1
3.33%
7.78%
9.09%
7.08%
4.14%
1.94%
2
1.13%
2.65%
3.09%
2.41%
1.41%
0.66%
3
0.26%
0.60%
0.70%
0.55%
0.32%
0.15%
Arouca
1-03.33%
2-01.13%
2-12.65%
3-00.26%
3-10.60%
3-20.70%
Draw
0-04.89%
1-17.78%
2-23.09%
3-30.55%
Braga
0-111.42%
0-213.35%
1-29.09%
0-310.41%
1-37.08%
2-32.41%
0-46.08%
1-44.14%
2-41.41%
3-40.32%
0-52.84%
1-51.94%
2-50.66%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Braga
Score012345
0
24.72%
26.76%
14.48%
5.22%
1.41%
0.31%
1
7.79%
8.43%
4.56%
1.65%
0.45%
0.10%
2
1.23%
1.33%
0.72%
0.26%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-07.79%
2-01.23%
2-11.33%
3-00.13%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-024.72%
1-18.43%
2-20.72%
Braga
0-126.76%
0-214.48%
1-24.56%
0-35.22%
1-31.65%
2-30.26%
0-41.41%
1-40.45%
0-50.31%