Estoril at Benfica

Updated

Estoril

3.4%8.8%87.8%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.50Projected Goals 3.12
0Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Portimonense+125
L 1-4 at Braga+1000
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+175
L 2-0 vs Chaves+105
L 2-3 at Porto+1300
Benfica
Money Line
L 0-1 at Chaves-400
L 2-1 vs Porto-115
W 1-0 at Rio Ave-375
W 1-5 vs Vitoria-650
W 3-0 at Maritimo-385

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+2479+1819+1600+1800+1957+1800+1957+1893.8
Benfica-662-644-800-760-679-760-644-533.6
Draw+655+718+725+785+812+785+812+828.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+2100----+1900+1900+1893.8
Benfica-800-----900-900-533.6
Draw+775----+875+875+828.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +2124 to +1957
Benfica ML moved from -651 to -671

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +2000 to +1900
Benfica ML moved from -985 to -1005

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-127o3½+105o3¼-115o3½+100o3½+111o3½+100o3¼-115o3½+109
Underu3+107u3½-123u3¼-105u3½-120u3½-126u3½-120u3½-120u3½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+109
Under-----u3½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-120 to o3½-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.7%
 
No62.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.69%
Exactly 217.58%
Exactly 419.16%
Exactly 68.35%
Exactly 81.95%
Exactly 100.28%
 
Exactly 19.72%
Exactly 321.19%
Exactly 513.86%
Exactly 74.32%
Exactly 90.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 060.56%
Exactly 130.37%
Exactly 27.62%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 04.44%
Exactly 113.82%
Exactly 221.53%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 417.41%
Exactly 510.85%
Exactly 65.63%
Exactly 72.51%
Exactly 80.98%
Exactly 90.34%
Exactly 100.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.74%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 46.14%
Exactly 60.57%
 
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 314.66%
Exactly 52.06%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 079.28%
Exactly 118.41%
Exactly 22.14%
Exactly 30.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 023.64%
Exactly 134.09%
Exactly 224.59%
Exactly 311.82%
Exactly 44.26%
Exactly 51.23%
Exactly 60.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals0.63%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals70.91%
Wins by 3+ goals49.61%
Wins by 4+ goals29.88%
Wins by 5+ goals15.58%
Wins by 6+ goals7.09%
Wins by 7+ goals2.84%
Wins by 8+ goals1.00%
Wins by 9+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal2.71%
Wins by 2 goals0.55%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal16.85%
Wins by 2 goals21.30%
Wins by 3 goals19.73%
Wins by 4 goals14.30%
Wins by 5 goals8.48%
Wins by 6 goals4.25%
Wins by 7 goals1.84%
Wins by 8 goals0.70%
Wins by 9 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.31%2.69%
1.587.59%12.41%
2.570.02%29.98%
3.548.83%51.17%
4.529.67%70.33%
5.515.82%84.18%
6.57.47%92.53%
7.53.15%96.85%
8.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.44%60.56%
1.59.07%90.93%
2.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.56%4.44%
1.581.74%18.26%
2.560.21%39.79%
3.537.85%62.15%
4.520.44%79.56%
5.59.60%90.40%
6.53.96%96.04%
7.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.26%18.74%
1.549.88%50.12%
2.523.61%76.39%
3.58.94%91.06%
4.52.80%97.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Benfica
Score012345
0
2.69%
8.37%
13.04%
13.54%
10.54%
6.57%
1
1.35%
4.20%
6.54%
6.79%
5.29%
3.29%
2
0.34%
1.05%
1.64%
1.70%
1.33%
0.83%
Estoril
1-01.35%
2-00.34%
2-11.05%
Draw
0-02.69%
1-14.20%
2-21.64%
3-30.28%
Benfica
0-18.37%
0-213.04%
1-26.54%
0-313.54%
1-36.79%
2-31.70%
0-410.54%
1-45.29%
2-41.33%
3-40.22%
0-56.57%
1-53.29%
2-50.83%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Benfica
Score0123456
0
18.74%
27.03%
19.49%
9.37%
3.38%
0.97%
0.23%
1
4.35%
6.28%
4.53%
2.18%
0.78%
0.23%
0.05%
2
0.51%
0.73%
0.53%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Estoril
1-04.35%
2-00.51%
2-10.73%
Draw
0-018.74%
1-16.28%
2-20.53%
Benfica
0-127.03%
0-219.49%
1-24.53%
0-39.37%
1-32.18%
2-30.25%
0-43.38%
1-40.78%
0-50.97%
1-50.23%
0-60.23%
Gil Vicente FC at Portimonense
Chaves at Santa Clara