Chaves at Estoril

Updated

Chaves

21.9%26.1%52.0%
Chaves WinDrawEstoril Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.51
2Final Score 0

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Portimonense+130
L 3-1 vs Porto+900
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+250
L 3-2 vs Sporting CP+800
T 0-0 at FC Vizela+400
Estoril
Money Line
L 2-3 at Porto+1300
L 3-0 vs FC Vizela+165
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1650
L 3-1 vs Pacos+105
L 0-2 at Rio Ave+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+215+261+240+263+264+263+264+281.2
Estoril+135+116+115+112+122+112+122+122.6
Draw+205+233+220+230+231+230+233+246.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+240----+285+285+281.2
Estoril+125----+105+105+122.6
Draw+220----+230+230+246.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +275 to +263
Estoril ML moved from +120 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 30.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chaves ML
Estoril ML moved from +125 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108o2½+110o2¼-115o2¼-109o2½+117o2¼-109o2¼-109o2¼+101
Underu2¼-128u2½-130u2¼-105u2¼-111u2½-132u2¼-111u2½-130u2¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+101
Under-----u2¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.25%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 412.38%
Exactly 62.34%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.02%
Exactly 320.80%
Exactly 55.89%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 041.68%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.96%
Exactly 34.65%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 022.19%
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 312.62%
Exactly 44.75%
Exactly 51.43%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.22%
Exactly 220.17%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 066.69%
Exactly 127.02%
Exactly 25.47%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 049.81%
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 212.10%
Exactly 32.81%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals7.12%
Wins by 3+ goals1.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals26.59%
Wins by 3+ goals10.67%
Wins by 4+ goals3.43%
Wins by 5+ goals0.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal14.73%
Wins by 2 goals5.38%
Wins by 3 goals1.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal25.35%
Wins by 2 goals15.91%
Wins by 3 goals7.24%
Wins by 4 goals2.56%
Wins by 5 goals0.73%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.75%9.25%
1.568.73%31.27%
2.542.52%57.48%
3.521.72%78.28%
4.59.34%90.66%
5.53.45%96.55%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.32%41.68%
1.521.84%78.16%
2.55.88%94.12%
3.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.81%22.19%
1.544.40%55.60%
2.519.25%80.75%
3.56.63%93.37%
4.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.78%33.22%
1.530.18%69.82%
2.510.00%90.00%
3.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Estoril
Score012345
0
9.25%
13.93%
10.48%
5.26%
1.98%
0.60%
1
8.09%
12.19%
9.17%
4.60%
1.73%
0.52%
2
3.54%
5.33%
4.01%
2.01%
0.76%
0.23%
3
1.03%
1.56%
1.17%
0.59%
0.22%
0.07%
4
0.23%
0.34%
0.26%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
Chaves
1-08.09%
2-03.54%
2-15.33%
3-01.03%
3-11.56%
3-21.17%
4-00.23%
4-10.34%
4-20.26%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-09.25%
1-112.19%
2-24.01%
3-30.59%
Estoril
0-113.93%
0-210.48%
1-29.17%
0-35.26%
1-34.60%
2-32.01%
0-41.98%
1-41.73%
2-40.76%
3-40.22%
0-50.60%
1-50.52%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Estoril
Score01234
0
33.22%
23.15%
8.07%
1.87%
0.33%
1
13.46%
9.38%
3.27%
0.76%
0.13%
2
2.73%
1.90%
0.66%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.37%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-013.46%
2-02.73%
2-11.90%
3-00.37%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-033.22%
1-19.38%
2-20.66%
Estoril
0-123.15%
0-28.07%
1-23.27%
0-31.87%
1-30.76%
2-30.15%
0-40.33%
1-40.13%
Paços at Arouca
Marítimo at Casa Pia AC