Porto at Benfica

Updated

Porto

19.5%22.8%57.6%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.82
2Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-750
T 0-0 at Braga+120
W 2-3 vs Estoril-480
W 3-1 at Chaves-310
L 2-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-620
Benfica
Money Line
W 1-0 at Rio Ave-375
W 1-5 vs Vitoria-650
W 3-0 at Maritimo-385
W 2-0 at FC Vizela-300
W 1-3 vs Boavista-725

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+230+356+330+363+362+363+363+385.8
Benfica+125-119-120-121-120-121-119-109.1
Draw+210+261+245+250+278+250+278+267.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+290----+330+330+385.8
Benfica-105-----115-115-109.1
Draw+255----+255+255+267.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +375 to +362
Benfica ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Porto ML
No Steam Moves On Benfica ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+107o2¼-115o2¼-115o2½+114o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2¼-102u2½-127u2¼-105u2¼-105u2½-129u2¼-105u2½-127u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.24%
Exactly 224.01%
Exactly 415.40%
Exactly 63.95%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.31%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 58.54%
Exactly 71.57%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 038.44%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 016.23%
Exactly 129.51%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 316.26%
Exactly 47.39%
Exactly 52.69%
Exactly 60.81%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.68%
Exactly 222.83%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 39.78%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 064.24%
Exactly 128.43%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 043.09%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.27%
Exactly 34.28%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals6.61%
Wins by 3+ goals1.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals33.07%
Wins by 3+ goals15.31%
Wins by 4+ goals5.83%
Wins by 5+ goals1.84%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Benfica
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Porto
Wins by 1 goal12.89%
Wins by 2 goals4.90%
Wins by 3 goals1.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.51%
Wins by 2 goals17.75%
Wins by 3 goals9.49%
Wins by 4 goals3.98%
Wins by 5 goals1.37%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.76%6.24%
1.576.45%23.55%
2.552.44%47.56%
3.530.23%69.77%
4.514.83%85.17%
5.56.29%93.71%
6.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.56%38.44%
1.524.80%75.20%
2.57.24%92.76%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.77%16.23%
1.554.26%45.74%
2.527.43%72.57%
3.511.17%88.83%
4.53.77%96.23%
5.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.32%27.68%
1.536.77%63.23%
2.513.93%86.07%
3.54.16%95.84%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Benfica
Score012345
0
6.24%
11.35%
10.31%
6.25%
2.84%
1.03%
1
5.97%
10.85%
9.86%
5.98%
2.72%
0.99%
2
2.85%
5.18%
4.71%
2.86%
1.30%
0.47%
3
0.91%
1.65%
1.50%
0.91%
0.41%
0.15%
4
0.22%
0.39%
0.36%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Porto
1-05.97%
2-02.85%
2-15.18%
3-00.91%
3-11.65%
3-21.50%
4-00.22%
4-10.39%
4-20.36%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.24%
1-110.85%
2-24.71%
3-30.91%
Benfica
0-111.35%
0-210.31%
1-29.86%
0-36.25%
1-35.98%
2-32.86%
0-42.84%
1-42.72%
2-41.30%
3-40.41%
0-51.03%
1-50.99%
2-50.47%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Benfica
Score01234
0
27.68%
23.30%
9.81%
2.75%
0.58%
1
12.25%
10.31%
4.34%
1.22%
0.26%
2
2.71%
2.28%
0.96%
0.27%
0.06%
3
0.40%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Porto
1-012.25%
2-02.71%
2-12.28%
3-00.40%
3-10.34%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.68%
1-110.31%
2-20.96%
Benfica
0-123.30%
0-29.81%
1-24.34%
0-32.75%
1-31.22%
2-30.27%
0-40.58%
1-40.26%
FC Vizela at Santa Clara
Vitória at Boavista