Porto at Braga

Updated

Porto

38.4%28.0%33.6%
Porto WinDrawBraga Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.12
0Final Score 0

Braga

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Estoril-480
W 3-1 at Chaves-310
L 2-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-620
W 0-1 vs Rio Ave-525
W 2-1 at Sporting CP+190
Braga
Money Line
W 4-0 at FC Vizela-105
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave-200
L 1-2 at Vitoria+100
W 0-2 vs Arouca-225
W 2-1 at Maritimo-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+125+125+130+122+125+122+130+133.1
Braga+215+229+215+223+233+223+233+239.1
Draw+225+242+220+245+257+245+257+262.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+125----+120+120+133.1
Braga+220----+230+230+239.1
Draw+240----+240+240+262.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Porto ML
Braga ML moved from +242 to +223

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Porto ML
Braga ML moved from +240 to +225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-109o2½-108o2½-104o2½-107o2½-104o2½-104o2½+105
Underu2½-108u2½-107u2½-112u2½-116u2½-108u2½-116u2½-107u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+105
Under-----u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.57%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 412.09%
Exactly 62.22%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.46%
Exactly 320.61%
Exactly 55.67%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 029.48%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 032.48%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.54%
Exactly 37.70%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.75%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 41.96%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 056.81%
Exactly 132.12%
Exactly 29.08%
Exactly 31.71%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 059.41%
Exactly 130.94%
Exactly 28.05%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals16.55%
Wins by 3+ goals5.52%
Wins by 4+ goals1.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals13.46%
Wins by 3+ goals4.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Braga
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Porto
Wins by 1 goal21.79%
Wins by 2 goals11.03%
Wins by 3 goals4.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal20.07%
Wins by 2 goals9.35%
Wins by 3 goals3.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.43%9.57%
1.567.96%32.04%
2.541.61%58.39%
3.521.01%78.99%
4.58.92%91.08%
5.53.25%96.75%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.52%29.48%
1.534.51%65.49%
2.512.52%87.48%
3.53.57%96.43%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.52%32.48%
1.531.00%69.00%
2.510.46%89.54%
3.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.25%33.75%
1.529.59%70.41%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Braga
Score012345
0
9.57%
10.77%
6.06%
2.27%
0.64%
0.14%
1
11.69%
13.15%
7.40%
2.77%
0.78%
0.18%
2
7.14%
8.03%
4.52%
1.69%
0.48%
0.11%
3
2.91%
3.27%
1.84%
0.69%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.89%
1.00%
0.56%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.24%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-011.69%
2-07.14%
2-18.03%
3-02.91%
3-13.27%
3-21.84%
4-00.89%
4-11.00%
4-20.56%
4-30.21%
5-00.22%
5-10.24%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.57%
1-113.15%
2-24.52%
3-30.69%
Braga
0-110.77%
0-26.06%
1-27.40%
0-32.27%
1-32.77%
2-31.69%
0-40.64%
1-40.78%
2-40.48%
3-40.19%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Braga
Score01234
0
33.75%
17.57%
4.58%
0.79%
0.10%
1
19.08%
9.94%
2.59%
0.45%
0.06%
2
5.40%
2.81%
0.73%
0.13%
0.02%
3
1.02%
0.53%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Porto
1-019.08%
2-05.40%
2-12.81%
3-01.02%
3-10.53%
3-20.14%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-033.75%
1-19.94%
2-20.73%
Braga
0-117.57%
0-24.58%
1-22.59%
0-30.79%
1-30.45%
2-30.13%
0-40.10%
Marítimo at Casa Pia AC
Famalicão at Boavista