Estrela at Benfica

Updated

Estrela

5.0%11.1%83.9%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.87
0Final Score 2

Benfica

Last Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+145
Benfica
Money Line
L 2-3 at Boavista-330
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara-1720
T 2-2 at Sporting CP+135
W 5-1 at Portimonense-485
W 0-1 vs Braga-185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+1400-+1500+1500+1455+1500+1500+1579.3
Benfica-600--675-625-610-625-610-459.8
Draw+600-+675+700+672+700+700+739.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+2500----+1600+1600+1579.3
Benfica-1250-----800-800-459.8
Draw+1050----+850+850+739.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +1400 to +1300
Benfica ML moved from -625 to -675

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +2000 to +1600
No Steam Moves On Benfica ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105-o3½-112o3½-115o3½-108o3½-115o3½-108o3½-104
Underu3¼-115-u3½-108u3½-105u3½-108u3½-105u3½-105u3½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-104
Under-----u3½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.6%
 
No58.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.17%
Exactly 218.89%
Exactly 418.74%
Exactly 67.44%
Exactly 81.58%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.95%
Exactly 321.73%
Exactly 512.93%
Exactly 73.67%
Exactly 90.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 055.89%
Exactly 132.52%
Exactly 29.46%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 05.68%
Exactly 116.29%
Exactly 223.36%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 416.02%
Exactly 59.19%
Exactly 64.39%
Exactly 71.80%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.24%
Exactly 225.83%
Exactly 45.49%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.33%
Exactly 313.75%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 076.38%
Exactly 120.58%
Exactly 22.77%
Exactly 30.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 026.50%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 223.37%
Exactly 310.35%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals1.06%
Wins by 3+ goals0.16%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals64.69%
Wins by 3+ goals42.67%
Wins by 4+ goals24.02%
Wins by 5+ goals11.63%
Wins by 6+ goals4.88%
Wins by 7+ goals1.78%
Wins by 8+ goals0.54%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Benfica
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal3.88%
Wins by 2 goals0.90%
Wins by 3 goals0.15%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal19.13%
Wins by 2 goals22.02%
Wins by 3 goals18.65%
Wins by 4 goals12.39%
Wins by 5 goals6.75%
Wins by 6 goals3.11%
Wins by 7 goals1.24%
Wins by 8 goals0.43%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.83%3.17%
1.585.88%14.12%
2.566.99%33.01%
3.545.26%54.74%
4.526.52%73.48%
5.513.59%86.41%
6.56.15%93.85%
7.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.11%55.89%
1.511.60%88.40%
2.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.32%5.68%
1.578.03%21.97%
2.554.67%45.33%
3.532.33%67.67%
4.516.31%83.69%
5.57.12%92.88%
6.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.76%20.24%
1.547.43%52.57%
2.521.60%78.40%
3.57.85%92.15%
4.52.35%97.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Benfica
Score012345
0
3.17%
9.10%
13.06%
12.48%
8.95%
5.14%
1
1.85%
5.30%
7.60%
7.26%
5.21%
2.99%
2
0.54%
1.54%
2.21%
2.11%
1.52%
0.87%
3
0.10%
0.30%
0.43%
0.41%
0.29%
0.17%
Estrela
1-01.85%
2-00.54%
2-11.54%
3-00.10%
3-10.30%
3-20.43%
Draw
0-03.17%
1-15.30%
2-22.21%
3-30.41%
Benfica
0-19.10%
0-213.06%
1-27.60%
0-312.48%
1-37.26%
2-32.11%
0-48.95%
1-45.21%
2-41.52%
3-40.29%
0-55.14%
1-52.99%
2-50.87%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Benfica
Score0123456
0
20.24%
26.88%
17.85%
7.90%
2.62%
0.70%
0.15%
1
5.45%
7.24%
4.81%
2.13%
0.71%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.73%
0.98%
0.65%
0.29%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Estrela
1-05.45%
2-00.73%
2-10.98%
Draw
0-020.24%
1-17.24%
2-20.65%
Benfica
0-126.88%
0-217.85%
1-24.81%
0-37.90%
1-32.13%
2-30.29%
0-42.62%
1-40.71%
0-50.70%
1-50.19%
0-60.15%
Braga at Chaves
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